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VACN.SW
ACCE-researched

VAT Group AG (VACN.SW) fair value

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery · SIX · Switzerland
CHF 560.20-1.72%
Market cap CHF 16.8BNext earnings 2027-03-02Updated Oct 22, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 232% above our fair value
Price
CHF 560.20
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
CHF 169
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionVAT Group AG (VACN.SW)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
CHF 610
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CEST.
Price used: CHF 560 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
45
out of 100
P/E
82.5x
forward 29.7x
1-year return
+67.1%
Dividend yield
1.23%

VAT Group AG in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

VAT Group makes vacuum valves for semiconductor equipment, flat-panel display and industrial process tools, where its high-precision gate valves and vacuum isolation products are specified into tools built by the major wafer-fab equipment makers. The moat comes from qualification: once a valve is designed into a tool platform, it is rarely swapped out, which supports the 61.4% gross margin and 30.1% ROE. Revenue fell 8.3% in the latest reported period, so the near-term question is whether semiconductor capital spending turns and restocks the order book that the cyclical downturn drained. The stock trades at 30.2 times forward earnings against 82.5 times trailing, a gap that says the market is paying for a recovery in earnings rather than the current year's numbers. With a 21.4% operating margin and no index membership at a 17.1 billion CHF market cap, the name sits in a less-followed corner of the sector, which is worth a closer look if you want a cyclical semiconductor-capex exposure with pricing power built into the product.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Revenue and earnings shrinking
    Revenue fell 8.3% year on year and earnings fell 6.5%, even though the five-year revenue CAGR is 9.2%. The business is contracting right now.
  • moderate
    Extreme valuation multiples
    Trailing P/E is 88.5 and EV/EBITDA is 68.7 at CHF 560.20. Those multiples leave little room for the current decline to persist.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Net margin of 20.2% and return on equity of 30.1% show the business turns a large share of sales into profit for shareholders.
  • Revenue grew 9.2% a year on average over five years, a longer record than the latest year's decline.
  • Analysts' mean price target of CHF 736.17 sits 22.6% above the current share price, suggesting room for upside in their view.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 8.3% in the latest year, breaking a long run of growth and raising doubts about near-term momentum.
  • A trailing P/E of 88.5x and a free cash flow yield of 1.3% leave little margin for error if earnings disappoint.
  • Earnings per share came in at 3.53 against 3.71 expected, a 4.9% miss, which weakens confidence in the forecasts.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Mar 2, 2027
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where VACN.SW's valuation models land
Price
CHF 560.20
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
CHF 169
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
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  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

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Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

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Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
-8.0%
1 month
-15.4%
3 months
-13.9%
6 months
-4.2%
YTD
+45.2%
1 year
+67.1%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CESTACCE price targetCHF 610first publicationCHF 601

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in CHF. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value19Quality92Momentum61Total45
Valuation
Trailing P/E
82.5x
Forward P/E
29.7x
PEG
no data
P/B
28.96x
EV / Revenue
19.6x
Book value/sh
CHF 22.88
Enterprise value
CHF 20.1B
Profitability
ROE
30.1%
FCF yield
1.41%
ROIC
16.9%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.31
Dividend yield
1.23%
Beta
1.48

Price

+62.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about VACN.SW

Answered from VAT Group AG fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 16.1x82.5xhigh 88.1x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low 10%30%high 33%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.3%1.2%high 1.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
VACN.SW VAT Group AGCHF 560.20--82.5x30.1%9245
ALFA.ST Alfa Laval AB (publ)kr 539.80kr 34357% above27.2x19.1%7355
6273.T SMC¥61820.00--24.2x9.8%8174
7013.T IHI Corporation¥2450.00--16.1x33.4%7759
VWS.CO Vestas Wind Systemskr 185.60kr 25026% below22.6x30.9%5869
BHEL.NS Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited₹387.50--55.4x11.3%6367
ABB.NS ABB India Limited₹6140.00--88.1x19.1%7947

Sector report card

Where VACN.SW ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…