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UTI

Universal Technical Institute Inc Common Stock (UTI) fair value

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services · NYSE · United States
$21.85+0.88%
Market cap $1.2BNext earnings 2026-11-18Updated Oct 20, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 24% above our fair value
Price
$21.85
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$17.56
Model range
$12.39 to $24.89
Fair value $17.56
Price $21.85
4 models fit Universal Technical Institute Inc Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionUniversal Technical Institute Inc Common Stock (UTI)
Fair value (4 models)
$17.56
ACCE price target
$19.50
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CEST; previously $25.40 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CEST.
Price used: $21.85 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
24.4% above
-19.6% to fair value
ACCE score
37
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
6 covering
P/E
35.8x
forward 23.5x
1-year return
-35.6%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Universal Technical Institute Inc Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Universal Technical Institute runs campus-based training for automotive, diesel, collision repair, welding and HVAC technicians, along with its Concorde Career Colleges and NASCAR Technical Institute brands. Its moat is mostly brand and manufacturer partnerships: the OEM-sponsored programs with Ford, GM, Toyota and similar makers feed students into dealer networks that keep recruiting from the same schools, and that pipeline is hard to replicate in a few years. Revenue growth of 7.2% is the number to watch, since management is trying to convert enrollment gains into operating leverage; the 2.0% operating margin says that conversion has not happened yet. The stock trades at 34.2 times trailing earnings and 27.2 times forward, a premium that assumes margin expansion arrives on schedule. The score of 37/100 and the absence of index membership reflect that the market has not yet paid for that expansion, so the question for a deeper look is whether a 55.1% gross margin can be carried down to operating profit as campus costs are absorbed.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings collapsing year over year
    Earnings are down 78.9% YoY while revenue grew 7.2%, with a net margin of just 3.9%. Operating margin of 2.0% leaves little cushion.
  • high
    Heavy insider selling
    Last 10 disclosed insider transactions total $128.45M in sales against only $0.30M in buys, a strong one-directional signal.
  • moderate
    Score down sharply in 90 days
    The ACCE score fell 15 points from 52 to 37 over 90 days, with Momentum at 17 and Growth at 28 pulling it lower.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest stands at 13.9% of shares, meaning a meaningful bearish bet is in place against the stock.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 7.2% over the past year and has averaged 22.7% a year over five years, showing the business is still expanding.
  • Free cash flow of $55M over the last twelve months gives the company real cash generation, with a 4.9% free cash flow yield at the current price.
Why it could disappoint
  • The stock trades 24.4% $17.56, and the shares are priced at 34.3x trailing earnings against a sector median forward P/E of 18.6x.
  • Diluted share count rose 9.4% last fiscal year, diluting existing shareholders, while debt to equity of 0.85 adds balance sheet strain.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 18, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where UTI's valuation models land
Price
$21.85
Model fair value
$17.56
Model range
$12.39 to $24.89
Fair value $17.56
Price $21.85
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 6 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 1● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+6.2%
1 month
+7.0%
3 months
-42.2%
6 months
-38.4%
YTD
-16.4%
1 year
-35.6%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$20.81
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTFair value$17.56$25.40$20.81
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$25.40$30.86$20.66
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$19.50first publication$20.64
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$30.86$18.42$20.64
6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$18.42$19.18$19.38
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$19.18$16.42$19.38
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$16.42$17.18$18.47
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$17.18$18.12$20.30
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$18.12$18.56$21.47

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth28Value57Quality46Momentum17Total37
Valuation
Trailing P/E
35.8x
Forward P/E
23.5x
PEG
no data
P/B
3.27x
EV / Revenue
1.5x
Book value/sh
$6.25
Enterprise value
$1.3B
Profitability
ROE
10.5%
FCF yield
4.83%
ROIC
8.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.85
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.19

Price

-36.6% · 1Y

Ask anything about UTI

Answered from Universal Technical Institute Inc Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0x35.8xhigh 35.8x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low -15%11%high 25%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 4.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
UTI Universal Technical Institute Inc Common Stock$21.85$1824% above35.8x10.5%4637
AFYA Afya Limited Class A Common Shares$14.91$3253% below9.1x16.7%8675
ACAD.ST AcadeMedia AB (publ)kr 109.60kr 25257% below11.4x14.0%5166
COUR Coursera Inc. Common Stock$5.07$1566% below--15.2%4345
APEI American Public Education Inc. Common Stock$48.86$3731% above19.7x15.6%6464
PXED Phoenix Education Partners Inc. Common Stock$24.57$4039% below10.6x25.3%8653
STRA Strategic Education Inc. Common Stock$81.59$10522% below13.6x8.2%7171

Sector report card

Where UTI ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Sep 29, 2026
    myKaarma and Universal Technical Institute Announce Pilot Program at UTI-Atlanta
  • PR Newswire•Sep 9, 2026
    Heartland Dental awards $34,500 in scholarships to students at Concorde Career Colleges campuses nationwide
  • PR Newswire•Sep 2, 2026
    Universal Technical Institute, Inc. Celebrates Opening of New San Antonio Campus
7 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 30
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-28
View on SEC →
Sep 23
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-21
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 31
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-27
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR