UAL

ACCE-researched
United Airlines Holdings Inc. Common Stock
Industrials · Airlines · NASDAQ · United States
$108.71+0.99%
Market cap $35.3BNext earnings 2026-10-21Updated Sep 19, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$108.71+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 4 of 6 models
Now $108.71
$108.71
$104.74$237.39
Strong BuySilver78
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Price vs fair value
42.9% below
+75.2% to fair value
ACCE score
66
out of 100
Analysts
88% buy
25 covering
P/E
10.1x
forward 6.9x
1-year return
+3.2%
Dividend yield
0.00%
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Overview

⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flags
  • high
    ACCE score collapse
    Score dropped 22 points in 90 days (100→78), with Quality sub-score at only 60, signaling meaningful deterioration in fundamentals.
  • high
    Heavy leverage risk
    Debt/Equity of 1.64 is elevated for a cyclical airline; any demand shock or fuel spike could stress debt servicing capacity.
  • moderate
    QoQ revenue deceleration
    Sequential revenue growth turned negative at -5.1% QoQ despite strong YoY of +10.6%, suggesting momentum is fading.
  • moderate
    Insider selling, no buying
    Insiders sold $4.85M with zero purchases in last 10 disclosed transactions, a cautious signal at current price levels.
Reports in 30 days, last quarter beat by 0.0%.

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Price

+4.3% · 1Y

Valuation

INVESTOR
Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, reverse DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests
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Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish88% buy · 25 covering analysts
● Strong buy 16● Buy 6● Hold 2● Sell 0● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street
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Smart Money

PRO
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 80% of peers
low 7.6x10.1xhigh 25.6x
ROEbetter than 80% of peers
low 7%23%high 42%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 6.8%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
RYAAYRyanair Holdings plc American Depositary Shares$27.7B13.122.4%0.131.7%-Compare
IAG.LInternational Consolidated Airlines Group$24.4B7.642.1%0.962.3%-Compare
DALDelta Air Lines Inc. Common Stock$52.4B13.220.1%0.681.0%-Compare
LUVSouthwest Airlines Company Common Stock$20.0B25.611.1%0.611.8%-Compare
INDIGO.NSInterGlobe Aviation Limited$19.8B--1112.710.2%-Compare
C6L.SISingapore Airlines$16.1B21.77.2%60.216.8%-Compare

Sector report card

Where UAL ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 30 days, last quarter beat by 0.0%.

Press releases mentioning this company

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Recent performance

1 week
-1.0%
1 month
-6.1%
3 months
-8.1%
6 months
+20.9%
YTD
-2.8%
1 year
+3.2%

SEC filings

40 filings
August 2026
Aug 27
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-25
Aug 21
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-19
Aug 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-03
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