TXN

ACCE-researched
Texas Instruments Incorporated Common Stock
Technology · Semiconductors · NASDAQ · United States
$266.64+3.29%
Market cap $243.5BNext earnings 2026-10-20Updated Sep 20, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$266.64+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 4 of 6 models
Now $266.64
$266.64
$112.58$235.28
AvoidSilver68
Price vs fair value
89.8% above
-47.3% to fair value
ACCE score
73
out of 100
Analysts
43% buy
37 covering
P/E
40.5x
forward 25.0x
1-year return
+46.8%
Dividend yield
2.28%
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Overview

⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flags
  • high
    Extreme valuation premium
    P/E 53.2x and EV/EBITDA 33.1x on a 5-year revenue CAGR of only 3.2% implies significant growth expectations already priced in.
  • high
    ACCE Value score collapse
    Value sub-score is 14/100, signaling the stock is deeply overvalued relative to fundamentals despite strong quality metrics.
  • moderate
    Heavy insider selling
    Last 10 disclosed transactions show $29.24M in sales and zero buys, suggesting insiders see limited upside at current prices.
  • moderate
    FCF thin vs market cap
    FCF of $2.6B against $283.5B market cap implies a FCF yield of ~0.9%, leaving little margin of safety for investors.
Reports in 29 days, last quarter beat by 0.1%.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Price

+48.4% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed43% buy · 37 covering analysts
● Strong buy 14● Buy 2● Hold 19● Sell 0● Strong sell 2
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 20.3x40.5xhigh 278.4x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 12%35%high 87%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%2.3%high 10.0%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
2454.TWMediaTek$235.9B77.523.9%0.010.5%-Compare
MRVLMarvell Technology Inc. Common Stock$219.5B80.616.5%0.3110.0%-Compare
ARMArm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares$294.4B278.413.4%0.010.0%-Compare
QCOMQUALCOMM Incorporated Common Stock$189.8B20.333.8%0.702.1%-Compare
285A.TKioxia Holdings Corporation$184.0B54.187.1%34.840.0%-Compare
ADIAnalog Devices Inc. Common Stock$182.1B44.612.2%0.251.2%-Compare

Sector report card

Where TXN ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 29 days, last quarter beat by 0.1%.

Press releases mentioning this company

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Recent performance

1 week
-0.8%
1 month
-0.3%
3 months
-17.4%
6 months
+42.4%
YTD
+53.7%
1 year
+46.8%

SEC filings

40 filings
September 2026
Sep 17
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-17
August 2026
Aug 31
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-27
July 2026
Jul 31
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-07-24
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR