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TV

Grupo Televisa S.A.B. Common Stock (TV) fair value

Communication Services · Telecom Services · NYSE · United States
$2.36-1.26%
Market cap $1.3BNext earnings 2026-10-29Updated Oct 17, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 65% below our fair value
Price
$2.36
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $6.65
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionGrupo Televisa S.A.B. Common Stock (TV)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$2.70
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $2.36 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
41
out of 100
Analysts
33% buy
9 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 833.3x
1-year return
-2.1%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Grupo Televisa S.A.B. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Grupo Televisa runs Mexico's largest broadcast network, pay-TV operator Sky, and a publishing and content business, and its real franchise is the sheer scale of Mexican advertising and subscription revenue it controls. The thesis here is weak on the numbers we were given: revenue is shrinking 3.0% year over year, ROE is negative at -8.0%, and the forward P/E of 833x signals earnings close to zero rather than a cheap multiple. The 38.3% gross margin and 11.0% operating margin show the core operations still earn money, so the question is whether that cash generation can stabilise a shrinking top line against streaming competition. The composite score of 41/100 and absence from any index suggest the market has little reason to revisit the name without a clear turn in revenue. It merits a deeper look only if the work on the rev decline and the path back to positive earnings turns up a credible catalyst.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Revenue shrinking, not growing
    Revenue is down 3.0% year over year and has compounded at -3.6% over five years, so the top line is contracting rather than stabilising.
  • high
    Net margin negative, ROE negative
    Net margin is -16.3% and ROE is -8.0%, meaning the business is losing money on both sales and equity despite a +11.0% operating margin.
  • moderate
    Quality score deteriorated sharply
    The ACCE score fell 18 points from 59 to 41 over 90 days, with the momentum and quality components weakest at 25 and 39.
  • moderate
    Leverage elevated against equity
    Debt to equity sits at 0.98, and with negative ROE the balance sheet is carrying debt without a profitable return to service it.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months came to MXN 9.7B, so the business still generates real cash despite falling sales.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $3.94 sits 59.6% above the current $2.36 share price, implying meaningful upside in their view.
  • The stock trades at a 41.1% free cash flow yield, which would be very high if the cash flow proves durable.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 3.0% year over year and has declined on average 3.6% per year over five years, with no sign of recovery.
  • The company lost 16.3% of revenue as net profit, and return on equity is negative at -8.0%.
  • Latest earnings missed badly, with EPS of -0.05 against 0.01 expected, a 600.0% negative surprise.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TV's valuation models land
Price
$2.36
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $6.65
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish33% buy · 9 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 1● Hold 6● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-4.5%
1 month
-2.9%
3 months
-14.2%
6 months
-23.4%
YTD
-18.9%
1 year
-2.1%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$2.70first publication$2.21

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth43Value57Quality39Momentum25Total41
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
833.3x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.22x
EV / Revenue
1.2x
Book value/sh
MXN 10.32
Enterprise value
$3.9B
Profitability
ROE
-8.0%
FCF yield
41.09%
ROIC
-4.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.98
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.02

Price

-1.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about TV

Answered from Grupo Televisa S.A.B. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 77.4x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -8%-8%high 34%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 3.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TV Grupo Televisa S.A.B. Common Stock$2.36----8.0%3941
ENTEL.SN Empresa Nacional de Telecomunicaciones SACLP 4240.00--6.5x10.6%5873
CVH.BA Cablevision Holding SAARS 9270.00--3.9x10.4%5070
CTC.SN Telefonica Chile S.A.CLP 390.00----6.6%4748
SINCH.ST Sinch AB (publ)kr 46.44kr 4113% above77.4x1.9%3458
3774.T Internet Initiative Japan Inc.¥3500.00--25.6x16.3%5671
TATACOMM.NS Tata Communications Limited₹1654.40--42.8x33.8%5758

Sector report card

Where TV ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
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40 filings
October 2026
Oct 13
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-13
View on SEC →
Oct 13
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-09
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 21
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-18
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37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR