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TRST

TrustCo Bank Corp NY Common Stock (TRST) fair value

Financial Services · Banks - Regional · NASDAQ · United States
$55.73+0.47%
Market cap $945MNext earnings 2026-10-21Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 48% above our fair value
Price
$55.73
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$37.58
Model range
$28.67 to $55.01
Fair value $37.58
Price $55.73
4 models fit TrustCo Bank Corp NY Common Stock and they partly agree: 2 of 4 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze56
Valued as a bank: Residual income, P/E comparison, Dividend discount, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionTrustCo Bank Corp NY Common Stock (TRST)
Fair value (4 models)
$37.58
ACCE price target
$50.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST; previously $40.62 since 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $55.73 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison, Graham number, Dividend discount, and Residual income.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
48.3% above
-32.6% to fair value
ACCE score
73
out of 100
P/E
15.0x
forward 14.0x
1-year return
+50.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%

TrustCo Bank Corp NY Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

TrustCo Bank Corp NY is the holding company for Trustco Bank, a regional lender whose core business is residential mortgages, consumer loans and deposits gathered through its branch network across upstate New York. The franchise is a conservative, deposit-funded bank, and its return profile reflects that: a 9.7% ROE and a 46.7% operating margin on a business that trades at 15.0 times trailing earnings and 14.0 times forward earnings. Revenue grew 10.7%, which is a stronger top-line print than most regional peers managed in the same period, and the forward multiple implies the market expects earnings to keep rising. The case for a closer look rests on whether that growth is durable, meaning whether net interest income can keep expanding without loan quality or funding costs eroding the gain. At a $920M market cap with no index membership, the name is small enough that the research gap is probably wider than for larger banks, which is worth testing before drawing conclusions.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 10.7% over the last year, ahead of its 7.3% average annual pace over five years.
  • The stock trades at 14.0x forward earnings, against a sector median of 11.7x, and pays a 2.8% dividend yield.
  • Earnings per share beat expectations by 18.4% in the latest quarter, and the share count fell 3.7% last year.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on equity of 9.7% and return on invested capital of 5.9% are modest for a bank asking a premium multiple.
  • Consensus fair value of $40.02 sits 26.3% below the $54.26 share price, and all four valuation models agree.
  • The mean analyst price target of $26.00 is 52.1% below the current share price.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TRST's valuation models land
Price
$55.73
Model fair value
$37.58
Model range
$28.67 to $55.01
Fair value $37.58
Price $55.73
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
Graham number
P/E comparison
Residual income
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.6%
1 month
+0.3%
3 months
-2.8%
6 months
+20.8%
YTD
+34.8%
1 year
+50.9%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair value$37.58$40.62$55.47
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$40.62$37.68$54.73
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$37.68$40.02$54.31
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$54.31
13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$50.00first publication$53.59
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$40.02$48.62$54.76
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$48.62$50.13$54.29
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$50.13$51.01$55.54
18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$51.01$52.02$57.37
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$52.02$52.83$58.45

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth68Value54Quality85Momentum84Total73
Valuation
Trailing P/E
15.0x
Forward P/E
14.0x
PEG
0.62
P/B
1.45x
EV / Revenue
5.6x
Book value/sh
$38.08
Enterprise value
$371M
Profitability
ROE
9.7%
FCF yield
4.84%
ROIC
5.9%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.23
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.66

Price

+47.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about TRST

Answered from TrustCo Bank Corp NY Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 8.2x15.0xhigh 15.4x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 6%10%high 10%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 5.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TRST TrustCo Bank Corp NY Common Stock$55.73$3848% above15.0x9.7%8573
BPAT.BA Banco PatagoniaARS 1775.00--10.1x5.9%7462
BBAR.BA BBVA Banco Frances SAARS 7240.00--11.0x8.1%7168
BMA.BA Banco Macro SA BARS 10870.00--15.4x7.1%7957
BOGOTA.CL Banco de BogotaCOP 38240.00--9.0x9.2%6149
PFDAVVNDA.CL Davivienda Group preferredCOP 28740.00--8.2x10.3%5382
ITAUCL.SN Banco Itau ChileCLP 22500.00--12.3x9.4%8171

Sector report card

Where TRST ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 13, 2026
    TrustCo to Release Third Quarter 2026 Results on October 21, 2026; Conference Call on October 22, 2026
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 16, 2026
    TrustCo Announces Addition of Patricia Fusco and Bryan L. Guentner to Board of Directors
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 18, 2026
    TrustCo Increases Dividend 5.3%: Long-Term Commitment to Payouts Supported by Solid Earnings and Strong Capital Position More Great News For Our Shareholders
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 13
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-13
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 16
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-15
View on SEC →
Sep 3
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-02
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR