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TNK

Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) fair value

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream · NYSE · United States
$99.47+4.36%
Market cap $3.4BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 20% above our fair value
Price
$99.47
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$82.94
Model range
$60.28 to $116
Fair value $82.94
Price $99.47
3 models fit Teekay Tankers Ltd. and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Silver79
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionTeekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK)
Fair value (3 models)
$82.94
ACCE price target
$108
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $181 since 30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $99.47 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
19.9% above
-16.6% to fair value
ACCE score
95
out of 100
Analysts
60% buy
5 covering
P/E
5.9x
forward 8.9x
1-year return
+68.9%
Dividend yield
1.05%

Teekay Tankers Ltd. in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Teekay Tankers owns and operates a fleet of crude oil and product tankers, earning mostly spot and short-term time-charter rates on very large crude carriers (VLCCs) and Suezmax and Aframax vessels. The core advantage is operating leverage to tanker freight rates: with an operating margin of 50% and a return on equity of 28%, the company converts strong charter rates into cash faster than most of the shipping universe. Revenue growth of 63% reflects a sharp upcycle in rates, and the forward P/E of 8.3 against a trailing 5.8 implies the market expects earnings to ease from current levels, so the thesis rests on how durable those rates prove. At a 5.8 trailing multiple and a $3.4B market cap, the stock is priced for mean reversion in freight rates, which makes it a candidate for a deeper look into fleet employment, charter coverage, and the orderbook.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 1 flagAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Cyclical earnings spike
    Revenue grew 63.0% and earnings 259.4% year on year, while the 5-year revenue CAGR is only 1.4%. Tanker earnings swing with freight rates, so the current margins may not persist.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $113M, giving the business real cash to work with.
  • Net margin of 51.3% and return on equity of 28.0% show the company turns revenue into unusually high profit.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $96.80 sits below the current price, so the bulls are not leaning on the target.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue grew 63.0% over the last year, far above its 1.4% average annual growth over five years, which looks like a peak.
  • A trailing P/E of 6.4x and a free cash flow yield of 3.1% suggest the market expects earnings to fall back from current levels.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TNK's valuation models land
Price
$99.47
Model fair value
$82.94
Model range
$60.28 to $116
Fair value $82.94
Price $99.47
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish60% buy · 5 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 1● Hold 1● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.7%
1 month
+5.2%
3 months
+31.2%
6 months
+31.0%
YTD
+86.2%
1 year
+68.9%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$96.82
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$108first publication$106
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$82.58$181$107
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$181$183$95.71
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$183$143$94.07
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$143$186$94.54
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$186$189$101
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$189$146$101
1 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$146$179$88.70
29 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$179$146$88.20

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value88Quality96Momentum97Total95
Valuation
Trailing P/E
5.9x
Forward P/E
8.9x
PEG
0.02
P/B
0.94x
EV / Revenue
1.1x
Book value/sh
$68.51
Enterprise value
$1.1B
Profitability
ROE
28.0%
FCF yield
3.27%
ROIC
13.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.03
Dividend yield
1.05%
Beta
-0.12

Price

+69.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about TNK

Answered from Teekay Tankers Ltd. fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 5.9x5.9xhigh 32.4x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 10%28%high 39%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 1.1%1.1%high 20.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd.$99.47$8320% above5.9x28.0%9695
TPZ.TO Topaz Energy Corp.C$30.47C$11177% above27.5x10.5%8169
BWLPG.OL BW LPG Limitedkr 235.20kr 63663% below8.1x25.5%7776
BWLP BW LPG Limited Common Shares$25.57$2911% below8.7x25.5%7777
DHT DHT Holdings Inc.$24.60$11115% above8.4x39.2%9692
GEI.TO Gibson Energy Inc.C$33.61C$14137% above32.4x17.9%2664
TRMD TORM plc Class A Common Stock$39.89$437% below6.6x26.8%9293

Sector report card

Where TNK ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 14, 2026
    Teekay Group To Announce Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Results On July 29, 2026
35 filings of 40
September 2026
Sep 16
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 25
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-21
View on SEC →
Aug 25
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-21
View on SEC →
32 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR