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TK
ACCE-researched

Teekay Corporation Ltd. Common Stock (TK) fair value

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream · NYSE · United States
$14.72+4.32%
Market cap $1.2BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 17, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 9% above our fair value
Price
$14.72
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$13.47
Model range
$4.02 to $21.81
Fair value $13.47
Price $14.72
3 models fit Teekay Corporation Ltd. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Silver78
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionTeekay Corporation Ltd. Common Stock (TK)
Fair value (3 models)
$13.47
ACCE price target
$15.00
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $14.46 since 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $14.72 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
9.3% above
-8.5% to fair value
ACCE score
95
out of 100
P/E
6.8x
forward 9.6x
1-year return
+61.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Teekay Corporation Ltd. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Teekay Corporation owns a stake in Teekay Tankers, which operates crude and product tankers, and so earns from tanker charter rates. A modern fleet and a strong balance sheet give it staying power through weak rate periods. Tanker rates are the driver. Revenue grew 43.5% with a 46.9% operating margin and 27.1% ROE, at 7.5x trailing and 9.6x forward earnings.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Five-year revenue decline
    Five-year revenue CAGR is -3.7% even though the latest year shows +43.5% growth. The recent rebound may not be a durable trend yet.
  • moderate
    Forward P/E far above trailing
    Trailing P/E is 7.0 but forward P/E is 33.7, implying expected earnings fall sharply. Trailing earnings growth of +242.6% may not persist.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 15, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Teekay's net margin of 15.8% and return on equity of 27.1% show the business is turning its sales into strong profit.
  • Free cash flow of $109M over the last twelve months, with debt to equity at just 0.06, leaves the balance sheet in good shape.
  • The share count fell 7.7% in the last fiscal year, so each remaining share owns a bigger slice of the company.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue has shrunk on average by 3.7% a year over five years, so the recent jump may not be the start of a lasting trend.
  • At a forward P/E of 33.7x against a sector median of 16.0x, the shares look expensive relative to peers.
  • The share price of $14.51 sits almost exactly on consensus fair value of $14.46, and analysts' mean target of $5.00 is far below the price.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TK's valuation models land
Price
$14.72
Model fair value
$13.47
Model range
$4.02 to $21.81
Fair value $13.47
Price $14.72
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+4.7%
1 month
+8.9%
3 months
+31.4%
6 months
+13.6%
YTD
+63.0%
1 year
+61.9%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$13.47$14.46$14.06
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$14.46$23.33$15.56
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$15.00first publication$15.27
6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$23.33$22.98$14.84
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$22.98$22.62$14.11
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$22.62$23.07$13.70
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$23.07$23.45$13.66
23 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$23.45$23.83$14.36
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$23.83$24.37$14.38
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$24.37$27.79$14.38

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value96Quality93Momentum90Total95
Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.8x
Forward P/E
9.6x
PEG
0.03
P/B
1.59x
EV / Revenue
0.0x
Book value/sh
$8.67
Enterprise value
$-23,861,749
Profitability
ROE
27.1%
FCF yield
8.77%
ROIC
10.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.06
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.24

Price

+61.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about TK

Answered from Teekay Corporation Ltd. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 5.9x6.8xhigh 32.4x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 10%27%high 39%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 20.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TK Teekay Corporation Ltd. Common Stock$14.72$139% above6.8x27.1%9395
TGNO4.BA Transportadora de Gas del Norte SA Class CARS 3007.50--5.9x18.0%9164
TPZ.TO Topaz Energy Corp.C$30.47C$11177% above27.5x10.5%8169
BWLPG.OL BW LPG Limitedkr 235.20kr 63663% below8.1x25.5%7776
BWLP BW LPG Limited Common Shares$25.57$2911% below8.7x25.5%7777
DHT DHT Holdings Inc.$24.60$11115% above8.4x39.2%9692
GEI.TO Gibson Energy Inc.C$33.61C$14137% above32.4x17.9%2664

Sector report card

Where TK ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 29, 2026
    Teekay Corporation Ltd. Second Quarter 2026 Update
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 15, 2026
    Teekay Group Publishes 2025 Sustainability Report
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 14, 2026
    Teekay Group To Announce Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Results On July 29, 2026
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
25 filings of 40
September 2026
Sep 18
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-17
View on SEC →
Sep 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-11
View on SEC →
Sep 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-10
View on SEC →
22 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR