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TFG.AS

Tetragon Financial Group Limited (TFG.AS) fair value

Financial Services · Asset Management · Euronext Amsterdam · Netherlands
$14.90-0.67%
Market cap $1.2BNext earnings 2025-07-29Updated Oct 22, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 59% below our fair value
Price
$14.90
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$35.91
Model range
$26.14 to $47.64
Fair value $35.91
Price $14.90
2 models fit Tetragon Financial Group Limited and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Silver75
Valued as a fund or holding company: Net asset value, Dividend discount, and P/E comparison.
ACCE opinionTetragon Financial Group Limited (TFG.AS)
Fair value (2 models)
$35.91
ACCE price target
$15.50
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CEST.
Rating published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
Price used: $14.90 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison and Net asset value.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
58.5% below
+141.0% to fair value
ACCE score
60
out of 100
P/E
12.1x
1-year return
-21.6%
Dividend yield
3.20%

Tetragon Financial Group Limited in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Tetragon Financial Group is a Guernsey-listed holding company whose main asset is a portfolio of collateralised loan obligation equity and related credit investments, alongside its Tetragon Financial Management asset manager and a stake in Cardiff Bay-linked positions. Its edge is a permanent-capital structure that lets it hold illiquid credit through cycles without redemption pressure, which is what drives its fee and carry income. The near-term story is whether realised gains and NAV compounding keep pace with the 8.6% revenue growth the market is currently paying for. Why it is worth a look now: the stock trades on a trailing P/E of 12.2 with a reported ROE of only 4.9%, so the discount to book and the quality of earnings need checking before any conclusion is drawn.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TFG.AS's valuation models land
Price
$14.90
Model fair value
$35.91
Model range
$26.14 to $47.64
Fair value $35.91
Price $14.90
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Net asset value
Dividend discount
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+3.5%
1 month
+4.9%
3 months
+8.4%
6 months
+9.2%
YTD
-14.1%
1 year
-21.6%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CESTACCE price target$15.50first publication$15.00
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$15.00
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair value$35.91first publication$15.00

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth40Value72Quality80Momentum47Total60
Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.1x
Forward P/E
no data
PEG
no data
P/B
0.32x
EV / Revenue
7.4x
Book value/sh
$44.49
Enterprise value
$1.4B
Profitability
ROE
4.9%
FCF yield
-30.19%
ROIC
14.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.09
Dividend yield
3.20%
Beta
-0.16

Price

-22.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about TFG.AS

Answered from Tetragon Financial Group Limited fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 60% of peers
low 7.8x12.1xhigh 21.3x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -23%5%high 47%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%3.2%high 6.8%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TFG.AS Tetragon Financial Group Limited$14.90$3659% below12.1x4.9%8060
CUPRUM.SN CuprumCLP 94.00--21.3x16.8%9065
HABITAT.SN A.F.P. HabitatCLP 1313.50--7.8x47.0%10075
PROVIDA.SN A.F.P. ProvidaCLP 4990.00--18.5x13.4%9069
NUAM.SN Holding Bursátil Regional S.A.CLP 8363.80--19.8x8.1%8580
KINV-A.ST Kinnevik ABkr 74.00----22.9%6432
PFCORFICOL.CL Corficolombiana preferredCOP 18120.00--12.1x7.0%4568

Sector report card

Where TFG.AS ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…