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TECK
ACCE-researched

Teck Resources Ltd Ordinary Shares (TECK) fair value

Basic Materials · Copper · NYSE · United States
$59.05+0.25%
Market cap $28.9BNext earnings 2026-10-29Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 77% above our fair value
Price
$59.05
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$33.42
Model range
$28.34 to $40.26
Fair value $33.42
Price $59.05
3 models fit Teck Resources Ltd Ordinary Shares and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze55
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionTeck Resources Ltd Ordinary Shares (TECK)
Fair value (3 models)
$33.42
ACCE price target
$66.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $33.02 since 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $59.05 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
76.7% above
-43.4% to fair value
ACCE score
74
out of 100
Analysts
41% buy
17 covering
P/E
16.0x
forward 17.3x
1-year return
+39.0%
Dividend yield
0.80%

Teck Resources Ltd Ordinary Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Teck Resources mines and smelts copper, zinc and metallurgical coal, with its largest growth asset being the Quebrada Blanca copper operation in northern Chile and the Highland Valley copper mine in British Columbia. Its edge is a long-life, low-cost copper base in jurisdictions that are stable enough to finance, which matters as copper supply tightens against electrification demand. Reported revenue growth of 78.2% and a 43.1% operating margin show how much operating leverage is in the current copper price cycle, though a trailing P/E of 18.4 and forward P/E of 17.9 suggest the market is not fully pricing that cash flow yet. The 8.7% ROE is modest, reflecting a capital-heavy balance sheet and the cyclical nature of earnings, so the question for a deeper look is how durable the margin expansion is at normalized metal prices. The name is outside major index memberships, which may be worth examining as a source of mispricing or of liquidity risk.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    FCF of -$1.0B despite $33.4B market cap and strong earnings growth. Capital intensity or working capital drag requires scrutiny.
  • moderate
    Sequential revenue decline
    QoQ revenue down 8.6% after 78.2% YoY growth. Suggests cyclical headwind or one-time driver in prior period.
  • moderate
    Valuation score weakness
    ACCE Valuation component 61/100, well below Growth (100) and Momentum (97).

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-09 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Net margin of 17.8% and share buybacks reducing dilution by 4.7% boost per-share earnings.
  • Forward P/E of 17.3x sits in line with the sector median of 17.2x despite recent upside surprise.
Why it could disappoint
  • Negative free cash flow of CAD 1.0B last twelve months signals heavy capex despite strong margins.
  • Consensus fair value of 34.06 sits 49.9% below the current share price of 68.05.
  • Analyst mean target of 56.47 implies 17.0% downside from current levels over the next year.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 29, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TECK's valuation models land
Price
$59.05
Model fair value
$33.42
Model range
$28.34 to $40.26
Fair value $33.42
Price $59.05
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed41% buy · 17 covering analysts
● Strong buy 6● Buy 1● Hold 6● Sell 1● Strong sell 3
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-8.6%
1 month
-11.6%
3 months
-1.9%
6 months
-1.9%
YTD
+23.3%
1 year
+39.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$33.42$33.02$64.62
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$64.62
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$33.02$34.06$67.54
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$34.06$58.30$64.82
6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$58.30$59.01$97.63
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$59.01$57.82$97.63
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$57.82$58.94$92.31
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$58.94$60.01$93.41
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$66.00first publication$65.52
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$60.01$58.97$91.80

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value65Quality70Momentum61Total74
Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.0x
Forward P/E
17.3x
PEG
3.97
P/B
1.67x
EV / Revenue
3.6x
Book value/sh
C$40.05
Enterprise value
$35.5B
Profitability
ROE
8.7%
FCF yield
-2.35%
ROIC
3.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.41
Dividend yield
0.80%
Beta
1.65

Price

+38.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about TECK

Answered from Teck Resources Ltd Ordinary Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0x16.0xhigh 24.2x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low -1%9%high 24%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%0.8%high 2.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TECK Teck Resources Ltd Ordinary Shares$59.05$3377% above16.0x8.7%7074
TECK-B.TO Teck Resources BC$82.58C$4681% above16.2x8.7%7075
ANTO.L Antofagasta£30.25£1687% above24.2x17.8%7963
FM.TO First Quantum MineralsC$34.09C$17101% above--1.2%4053
LUN.TO Lundin Mining CorporationC$29.51C$3618% below13.7x24.3%9176
HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. Ordinary Shares (Canada)$21.89$1914% above12.8x16.7%8271
HBM.TO Hudbay Minerals Inc.C$30.67C$2429% above11.8x16.7%8270

Sector report card

Where TECK ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • TMX Newsfile•Oct 13, 2026
    Trinity Silver Announces El Nevado Gold & Silver Project Option Agreement in Chile's Maricunga Gold Belt
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 7, 2026
    Teck Named to Forbes World’s Top Companies for Women 2026 List
  • TMX Newsfile•Oct 7, 2026
    Gold Hart Copper Appoints Renowned Chilean Mining Executive Mr. Alejandro Vasquez to Technical Advisory Board
15 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
39 filings of 40
October 2026
Oct 8
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-07
View on SEC →
Oct 7
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-06
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 1
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-01
View on SEC →
36 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR