AACCE Investments
ScreenerStocksIndicesPicksETFsBlogPricing

© 2026 ACCE Investments. All rights reserved.

ACCE Investments - Institutional-grade stock research for retail investors | BetaList
IndicesStocksETFsScreenerBlogGlossaryCompareMarket dataAdvisors
TermsPrivacyCookiesDisclaimerLegal noticeProfessional termsAboutContact
TCBS

Texas Community Bancshares Inc. Common Stock (TCBS) fair value

Financial Services · Banks - Regional · NASDAQ · United States
$17.23+0.17%
Market cap $49MNext earnings 2026-11-06Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 45% above our fair value
Price
$17.23
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$11.85
Model range
$5.71 to $20.44
Fair value $11.85
Price $17.23
2 models fit Texas Community Bancshares Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze51
Valued as a bank: Residual income, Dividend discount, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionTexas Community Bancshares Inc. Common Stock (TCBS)
Fair value (2 models)
$11.85
ACCE price target
$15.45
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $11.83 since 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CEST.
Price used: $17.23 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount, Graham number, and Residual income.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
45.4% above
-31.2% to fair value
ACCE score
64
out of 100
P/E
14.2x
forward 0.0x
1-year return
+7.1%
Dividend yield
1.16%

Texas Community Bancshares Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Texas Community Bancshares is the holding company for Mineola Community Bank, a small Texas lender that takes retail deposits and writes residential mortgages, home equity loans and commercial real estate credit across its East Texas branch footprint. The thesis rests on a community bank franchise with a roughly 50 million dollar market cap, where a 13.5% revenue growth rate and a trailing P/E of 14.3 suggest the market is pricing it as a modest-growth, under-followed name rather than a turnaround. Returns are the weak spot: a 6.2% ROE is thin for a bank and leaves little room for error if credit costs rise or deposit competition squeezes net interest margin. The forward P/E reads 0.0, which likely reflects missing consensus estimates rather than a real earnings forecast, so the valuation case has to be built from the trailing numbers and balance sheet. Worth a deeper look only if the analyst can confirm loan quality, deposit costs and capital levels, and explain why ROE should rise from here.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Score drifted lower
    ACCE score fell from 63 to 60 over 90 days. Valuation sub-score is weak at 40, with the stock trading 45.4% above the model fair value of $11.85.
  • moderate
    Price above ACCE target
    At $17.20 the stock sits 11.5% above the ACCE price target of $15.45, so the market is already paying more than our target assumes.
  • moderate
    Insider selling outweighs buying
    Last 10 disclosed insider trades total $0.22M in sales against $0.05M in buys, though insiders still hold 24.4% of shares.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 13.5% year over year and has averaged 15.7% a year over five years, showing sustained top-line expansion.
  • Net margin of 20.1% and free cash flow of $973,000 over the last twelve months show the business turns sales into cash.
  • The diluted share count fell 4.4% last fiscal year, which lifts each remaining shareholder's slice of earnings.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on equity of 6.2% and return on invested capital of 2.3% are weak returns on the money shareholders and lenders have put in.
  • The share price trades 45.4% above the model fair value of $11.85, and two of three valuation models sit in that consensus.
  • Debt to equity of 0.85 and a free cash flow yield of 2.0% leave little cushion if earnings weaken.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 6, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TCBS's valuation models land
Price
$17.23
Model fair value
$11.85
Model range
$5.71 to $20.44
Fair value $11.85
Price $17.23
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
Graham number
Residual income
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.

See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+1.4%
1 month
+1.4%
3 months
-2.9%
6 months
+1.9%
YTD
-4.1%
1 year
+7.1%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$16.95
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.95$11.83$17.26
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$15.45first publication$17.00
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.83$10.55$17.00
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.55$10.76$17.15
30 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.76$10.92$17.31
22 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.92$11.06$17.53
2 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.06first publication$17.97

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

Get the full TCBS page, free

Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the full page.

Snapshot

Growth76Value40Quality76Momentum63Total64
Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.2x
Forward P/E
0.0x
PEG
0.27
P/B
0.88x
EV / Revenue
5.5x
Book value/sh
$20.41
Enterprise value
$77M
Profitability
ROE
6.2%
FCF yield
1.97%
ROIC
2.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.85
Dividend yield
1.16%
Beta
-0.03

Price

+7.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about TCBS

Answered from Texas Community Bancshares Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 8.2x14.2xhigh 15.4x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low 6%6%high 10%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%1.2%high 5.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TCBS Texas Community Bancshares Inc. Common Stock$17.23$1245% above14.2x6.2%7664
BPAT.BA Banco PatagoniaARS 1775.00--10.1x5.9%7462
BBAR.BA BBVA Banco Frances SAARS 7240.00--11.0x8.1%7168
BMA.BA Banco Macro SA BARS 10870.00--15.4x7.1%7957
BOGOTA.CL Banco de BogotaCOP 38240.00--9.0x9.2%6149
PFDAVVNDA.CL Davivienda Group preferredCOP 28740.00--8.2x10.3%5382
ITAUCL.SN Banco Itau ChileCLP 22500.00--12.3x9.4%8171

Sector report card

Where TCBS ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Aug 25, 2026
    Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend
  • PR Newswire•May 19, 2026
    Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. Increases Quarterly Cash Dividend
  • PR Newswire•Apr 24, 2026
    TEXAS COMMUNITY BANCSHARES, INC. REPORTS UNAUDITED FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE FIRST QUARTER ENDED MARCH 31, 2026
13 filings of 35
August 2026
Aug 11
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
June 2026
Jun 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-06-10
View on SEC →
Jun 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-06-10
View on SEC →
10 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR