Taylor Devices Inc. Common Stock (TAYD) fair value
Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery · NASDAQ · United States
$56.02-0.12%
Market cap $181MNext earnings 2025-08-13Updated Oct 24, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 78% above our fair value
Price
$56.02
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$31.47
Model range
$17.76 to $39.51
Fair value $31.47
Price $56.02
3 models fit Taylor Devices Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze51
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionTaylor Devices Inc. Common Stock (TAYD)
Fair value (3 models)
$31.47
ACCE price target
$56.30
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CEST; previously $32.87 since 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CEST.
Price used: $56.02 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
78.0% above
-43.8% to fair value
ACCE score
44
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
1 covering
P/E
27.2x
forward 11.4x
1-year return
+31.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Taylor Devices Inc. Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
Overview
ACCE thesis
Taylor Devices makes seismic dampers, shock and vibration isolation systems, and tuned mass dampers for buildings, bridges and aerospace structures, with a meaningful share of revenue tied to nonresidential construction and defense-adjacent programs. Its niche engineering position is the core of the case: the products are specified into projects at design stage, which gives it pricing power on a small base but also makes revenue lumpy as large contracts start and finish. Revenue fell 26.4% year over year and operating margin is just 0.5%, against a 41.2% gross margin, so the gap between gross profit and operating profit is the first thing to dig into, likely overhead and engineering spend absorbing the decline. The stock trades at 11.4 times forward earnings against 27.3 times trailing, which signals the market expects a sharp earnings recovery that the trailing figures do not yet show, so the question is whether backlog supports that rebound. With a 47 out of 100 score, no index membership and a 9.9% return on equity, this is a small, cyclical industrial whose forward multiple deserves verification against order intake before any further work is justified.
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Revenue and earnings collapse
Revenue fell 26.4% year over year and earnings fell 79.7%, with Q4 EPS missing consensus by 83.7%. Operating margin is only 0.5%, leaving little cushion if the decline continues.
moderate
Insider selling outweighs buying
Last 10 disclosed insider trades total $0.90M in sales against $0.06M in purchases. Insiders own just 2.3% of the company.
moderate
Score down 12 points in 90 days
The ACCE score fell from 59 to 47 over 90 days, driven mainly by weaker growth and valuation components (Growth 7/100, Valuation 56/100).
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-08-31 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Taylor Devices has compounded revenue at an average of 13.1% a year over five years, showing sustained demand for its shock and vibration products.
The company is shrinking its share count, with diluted shares down 4.0% in the last fiscal year, which lifts each holder's slice of earnings.
Why it could disappoint
Revenue fell 26.4% year over year in the latest quarter, a sharp reversal from the company's long-run growth record.
At a forward P/E of 13.4x, the stock trades below the sector median of 23.9x, yet the consensus fair value of $32.87 sits 45.1% under the share price.
The latest earnings per share missed expectations by 83.7%, reporting 0.14 against 0.86 expected.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Walk me through this stock
Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.
PRO
Ask ACCE
Valuation
INVESTOR
Where TAYD's valuation models land
Price
$56.02
Model fair value
$31.47
Model range
$17.76 to $39.51
Fair value $31.47
Price $56.02
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.
See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.
Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.
+A plain reason under every score
+Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores