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TAYD

Taylor Devices Inc. Common Stock (TAYD) fair value

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery · NASDAQ · United States
$56.02-0.12%
Market cap $181MNext earnings 2025-08-13Updated Oct 24, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 78% above our fair value
Price
$56.02
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$31.47
Model range
$17.76 to $39.51
Fair value $31.47
Price $56.02
3 models fit Taylor Devices Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze51
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionTaylor Devices Inc. Common Stock (TAYD)
Fair value (3 models)
$31.47
ACCE price target
$56.30
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CEST; previously $32.87 since 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CEST.
Price used: $56.02 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
78.0% above
-43.8% to fair value
ACCE score
44
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
1 covering
P/E
27.2x
forward 11.4x
1-year return
+31.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Taylor Devices Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Taylor Devices makes seismic dampers, shock and vibration isolation systems, and tuned mass dampers for buildings, bridges and aerospace structures, with a meaningful share of revenue tied to nonresidential construction and defense-adjacent programs. Its niche engineering position is the core of the case: the products are specified into projects at design stage, which gives it pricing power on a small base but also makes revenue lumpy as large contracts start and finish. Revenue fell 26.4% year over year and operating margin is just 0.5%, against a 41.2% gross margin, so the gap between gross profit and operating profit is the first thing to dig into, likely overhead and engineering spend absorbing the decline. The stock trades at 11.4 times forward earnings against 27.3 times trailing, which signals the market expects a sharp earnings recovery that the trailing figures do not yet show, so the question is whether backlog supports that rebound. With a 47 out of 100 score, no index membership and a 9.9% return on equity, this is a small, cyclical industrial whose forward multiple deserves verification against order intake before any further work is justified.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Revenue and earnings collapse
    Revenue fell 26.4% year over year and earnings fell 79.7%, with Q4 EPS missing consensus by 83.7%. Operating margin is only 0.5%, leaving little cushion if the decline continues.
  • moderate
    Insider selling outweighs buying
    Last 10 disclosed insider trades total $0.90M in sales against $0.06M in purchases. Insiders own just 2.3% of the company.
  • moderate
    Score down 12 points in 90 days
    The ACCE score fell from 59 to 47 over 90 days, driven mainly by weaker growth and valuation components (Growth 7/100, Valuation 56/100).

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-08-31 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Taylor Devices has compounded revenue at an average of 13.1% a year over five years, showing sustained demand for its shock and vibration products.
  • The company is shrinking its share count, with diluted shares down 4.0% in the last fiscal year, which lifts each holder's slice of earnings.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 26.4% year over year in the latest quarter, a sharp reversal from the company's long-run growth record.
  • At a forward P/E of 13.4x, the stock trades below the sector median of 23.9x, yet the consensus fair value of $32.87 sits 45.1% under the share price.
  • The latest earnings per share missed expectations by 83.7%, reporting 0.14 against 0.86 expected.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TAYD's valuation models land
Price
$56.02
Model fair value
$31.47
Model range
$17.76 to $39.51
Fair value $31.47
Price $56.02
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 1 covering analyst
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+3.6%
1 month
-10.9%
3 months
+3.3%
6 months
-3.4%
YTD
-4.2%
1 year
+31.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$56.02
24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CESTFair value$31.47$32.87$56.02
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$56.30first publication$56.33
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$32.87$35.84$58.92
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$35.84$36.57$61.01
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.57$37.14$63.23
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$37.14$36.26$62.88
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.26$36.75$60.08
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.75$37.26$59.98
1 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$37.26$52.29$60.00

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value56Quality51Momentum61Total44
Valuation
Trailing P/E
27.2x
Forward P/E
11.4x
PEG
no data
P/B
2.75x
EV / Revenue
3.8x
Book value/sh
$22.71
Enterprise value
$159M
Profitability
ROE
9.9%
FCF yield
2.70%
ROIC
9.6%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
no data
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.94

Price

+23.5% · 1Y

Ask anything about TAYD

Answered from Taylor Devices Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 14.6x27.2xhigh 289.6x
ROEbetter than 60% of peers
low 4%10%high 22%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 3.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TAYD Taylor Devices Inc. Common Stock$56.02$3178% above27.2x9.9%5144
6103.T Okuma Corporation¥4485.00--16.8x6.5%6375
1980.T Dai-Dan Co., Ltd.¥2919.00¥336213% below14.6x21.9%7364
5631.T The Japan Steel Works, Ltd.¥6147.00--22.1x10.2%5544
6324.T Harmonic Drive Systems Inc.¥4895.00--289.6x3.7%5553
6268.T Nabtesco Corporation¥4118.00¥39734% above25.2x7.0%6353
6134.T Fuji Corporation¥5948.00--24.9x-7575

Sector report card

Where TAYD ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 2, 2026
    TAYLOR DEVICES ANNOUNCES FIRST QUARTER RESULTS
  • PR Newswire•Aug 18, 2026
    TAYLOR DEVICES ANNOUNCES FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL YEAR RESULTS INCLUDING RECORD HIGH FIRM ORDER BACKLOG FOR FISCAL YEAR 2026
  • PR Newswire•Jul 7, 2026
    TAYLOR DEVICES TO EXHIBIT AT THE FARNBOROUGH INTERNATIONAL AIRSHOW FOR THE FIRST TIME IN THE COMPANY'S HISTORY
1 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
18 filings of 35
October 2026
Oct 19
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-16
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-02
View on SEC →
Oct 2
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-08-31
View on SEC →
15 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR