Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
8.3% above
-7.7% to fair value
ACCE score
56
out of 100
Analysts
50% buy
14 covering
P/E
22.4x
forward 15.2x
1-year return
+4.0%
Dividend yield
2.64%
Sysco Corporation Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Sysco is the largest U.S. foodservice distributor, moving everything from fresh produce and proteins to dry goods and kitchen supplies to restaurants, hospitals, schools and hotels through a network of roughly 330 distribution facilities. Its scale is the core advantage: purchasing density and a broad delivery footprint are hard for smaller regional distributors to match, and the business sits in a defensive category where customers keep buying food regardless of the cycle. Revenue growth of 4.7% and a forward P/E of 14.7 against a trailing 21.5 suggest earnings are expected to recover, though thin operating margins of 4.8% leave little room for error on input costs or labor. The stock's 77.7% ROE is flattered by leverage and buybacks, so the cash generation and margin trajectory deserve more scrutiny than the headline return figure. The score of 52 and absence from major indices mean this is not a screen favourite, which is worth checking against whether the forward earnings estimates hold up.
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Leverage and FCF coverage
Debt/Equity of 5.61 is elevated for a food distributor. FCF of $1.9B must service substantial debt; sustainability depends on continued operational stability.
moderate
Sequential revenue decline
QoQ revenue down 1.2% despite 4.7% YoY growth suggests recent momentum loss or seasonal headwind worth monitoring.
moderate
ACCE quality score weak
Quality score of 49/100 lags valuation (70) and growth (40). Operational efficiency or earnings quality may not justify premium multiples.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-11 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Analyst consensus values the stock at $84.75, implying 8.5% upside, with 50% of analysts rating it Buy or Strong Buy.
Forward P/E of 15.2x trades below the sector median of 18.1x despite a 10.5% five-year revenue growth rate.
Why it could disappoint
Debt to equity of 5.61x leaves the balance sheet highly leveraged with limited cushion against margin compression or rate increases.
Net margin of 2.1% is razor-thin, meaning fuel or input cost spikes would quickly erode earnings without pricing power.
Current price implies only 3.8% annual cash flow growth over five years, below historical 10.5% revenue growth and the 5.2% risk-free rate.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Nov 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where SYY's valuation models land
Price
$81.37
Model fair value
$75.11
Model range
$56.79 to $95.07
Fair value $75.11
Price $81.37
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.
+A plain reason under every score
+Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores