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SWEC-B.ST
ACCE-researched

Sweco AB (publ) (SWEC-B.ST) fair value

Industrials · Engineering & Construction · Nasdaq Stockholm · Sweden
kr 138.20+1.02%
Market cap kr 49.9BNext earnings 2026-10-29Updated Oct 22, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 18% above our fair value
Price
kr 138.20
Model fair valueConfidence: good
kr 117
Model range
kr 51.11 to kr 166
Fair value kr 117
Price kr 138
5 models fit Sweco AB (publ) and they disagree: 0 of 5 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Bronze48
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionSweco AB (publ) (SWEC-B.ST)
Fair value (5 models)
kr 117
ACCE price target
kr 143
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CEST.
Rating published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
Price used: kr 138 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
17.7% above
-15.0% to fair value
ACCE score
64
out of 100
P/E
21.9x
forward 19.1x
1-year return
-12.0%
Dividend yield
2.70%

Sweco AB (publ) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Sweco is a Stockholm-based engineering and architecture consultancy whose revenue comes from design, planning and advisory work on buildings, infrastructure, energy and environmental projects, billed mostly on hours and fees rather than as a contractor taking construction risk. Its structural appeal is that demand is tied to public and private spending on grids, transport, water and housing, and its scale in the Nordics and Europe gives it a deep pool of engineers in a market where skilled staff are the binding constraint. The growth driver is the energy transition and infrastructure renewal, which keeps the order book supported even as private property activity softens. Revenue is growing 9.4%, ROE is 18.8%, and the operating margin of 10.4% sits above what a labour-based business would usually earn, while the forward P/E of 18.9 against a trailing 21.7 implies earnings are expected to rise. The case for a deeper look rests on whether that margin and growth hold through a slower property cycle.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Sweco grew revenue 9.4% year over year, ahead of its 8.7% average annual pace over the past five years.
  • The company generated SEK 3.6B of free cash flow over the last twelve months, and the stock offers a 7.5% free cash flow yield.
  • Analysts' mean price target of SEK 170.33 sits 28.8% above the current share price, and the stock pays a 2.8% dividend yield.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on invested capital is 9.6%, which is modest against a 18.8% return on equity, suggesting leverage is doing much of the work.
  • Net margin of 7.0% leaves little room for error if revenue growth slows or costs rise.
  • At 21.1x trailing earnings, the shares already price in a lot of good news, even with the forward multiple falling to 16.6x.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 29, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where SWEC-B.ST's valuation models land
Price
kr 138.20
Model fair value
kr 117
Model range
kr 51.11 to kr 166
Fair value kr 117
Price kr 138
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
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Analysts

Wall Street consensus

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  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

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Company insiders
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Last 90 days
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No trades filed
Last 180 days
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No trades filed
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+2.8%
1 month
+6.1%
3 months
+4.0%
6 months
-1.8%
YTD
-8.4%
1 year
-12.0%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CESTACCE price targetkr 143first publicationkr 132
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publicationkr 132
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair valuekr 117first publicationkr 132

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in SEK. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth68Value70Quality69Momentum49Total64
Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.9x
Forward P/E
19.1x
PEG
1.04
P/B
3.72x
EV / Revenue
1.6x
Book value/sh
kr 35.03
Enterprise value
kr 53.5B
Profitability
ROE
18.8%
FCF yield
7.23%
ROIC
9.6%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.53
Dividend yield
2.70%
Beta
0.87

Price

-12.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about SWEC-B.ST

Answered from Sweco AB (publ) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 4.6x21.9xhigh 42.4x
ROEbetter than 80% of peers
low 10%19%high 24%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.9%2.7%high 6.9%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
SWEC-B.ST Sweco AB (publ)kr 138.20kr 11718% above21.9x18.8%6964
1721.T COMSYS Holdings Corporation¥5609.00--16.8x10.2%5167
RVNL.NS Rail Vikas Nigam Limited₹187.18--42.4x-4537
1942.T Kandenko Co.,Ltd.¥5104.00¥740431% below16.4x16.9%6446
1944.T Kinden Corporation¥6325.00¥67096% below16.4x14.6%6060
5076.T INFRONEER Holdings Inc.¥2237.00--4.6x23.7%5269
1959.T Kraftia Corporation¥7558.00¥889015% below13.1x12.3%6444

Sector report card

Where SWEC-B.ST ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…