Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
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Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionSiTime Corporation Common Stock (SITM)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$430
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $580 since 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $460 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
46
out of 100
Analysts
91% buy
11 covering
P/E
821.8x
forward 30.8x
1-year return
+68.2%
Dividend yield
0.00%
SiTime Corporation Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
SiTime designs timing components, the MEMS oscillators and clock chips that set the timing for processors, memory, networking gear and automotive electronics, and it has been moving into the timing needs of AI servers and data-center hardware. Its edge is a silicon MEMS approach that competes with the quartz crystals that have dominated timing for decades, which gives it a lower-cost, more integrated product set and a shorter path to design wins. Revenue growth of 126.5% is the headline number, and it points to a sharp cyclical rebound and new high-content sockets rather than a steady compounding story, so the question for a PM is how much of that run-rate is durable. Trailing earnings are thin, with an operating margin of 10.6% against a 58.7% gross margin, and the trailing P/E of 1035 reflects that, while the forward P/E of 38.8 shows the market is pricing a large step-up in profit. The 57/100 score and the absence of index membership suggest the name sits outside most mainstream screens, which is why it merits a closer look at the margin trajectory and customer concentration before any position is considered.
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Earnings collapse vs revenue growth
Revenue up 126.5% YoY but earnings down 60.6%. Net margin only 3.0% despite 58.7% gross margin signals severe operating leverage deterioration or one-time charges.
high
Valuation disconnect from fundamentals
P/E 1093.5 and EV/EBITDA 410.2 are extreme multiples. Current price $612.37 sits above ACCE fair value $580 and near top of $420-$800 range despite earnings headwinds.
moderate
Insider selling pressure
Last 10 disclosures show $14.59M in sales, zero buys. Insiders own 10.8% but are net sellers into strength.
moderate
Weak return on equity
ROE of 1.3% is anaemic for a $18.4B market cap semiconductor company, suggesting capital is not being deployed efficiently despite high revenue growth.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Revenue surged 126.5% year over year, and analysts rate 91% of the stock Buy or Strong Buy.
Earnings beat expectations by 57.5%, and the mean analyst price target implies 38.7% upside.
The stock trades at a forward P/E of 41.0x versus the sector median of 29.3x, reflecting growth premium.
Why it could disappoint
Net margin is only 3.0% and ROE is 1.3%, so earnings conversion lags revenue growth sharply.
The trailing P/E of 1093.5x is extreme, and the reverse DCF implies just 10.9% perpetual cash flow growth.
Share count diluted 8.0% last year, and free cash flow yield is only 0.1% at current price.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where SITM's valuation models land
Price
$460.22
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$309
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
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