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SBSW

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limited ADS (SBSW) fair value

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining · NYSE · United States
$9.21-1.18%
Market cap $6.7BNext earnings 2026-09-01Updated Oct 16, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 23% below our fair value
Price
$9.21
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$11.93
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionD/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limited ADS (SBSW)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$9.40
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $9.21 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
61
out of 100
Analysts
60% buy
5 covering
P/E
7.8x
forward 2.9x
1-year return
-17.4%
Dividend yield
8.69%

D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limited ADS in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Sibanye-Stillwater mines platinum group metals, gold and chrome in South Africa, and runs a growing set of PGM and battery-metals operations in the United States, the largest of which is the Stillwater mine in Montana. The structural case rests on PGM supply concentrated in South Africa and Russia, where a single operator at this scale is hard to replicate, and on a production base the company is rebuilding after several difficult years. Revenue grew 64.3% over the last year and return on equity sits at 34.7%, with operating margin near 30%, figures that reflect a strong price cycle and cost discipline rather than volume growth alone. At a trailing P/E of 8.4 and a forward P/E of 2.9, the market is pricing in a sharp earnings reversal, so the debate is whether metal prices and South African labour and power conditions hold up long enough to justify a deeper look. The score of 62/100 and absence from major indices suggest the name is under-followed, which is worth a closer check of the cost curve and balance sheet.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where SBSW's valuation models land
Price
$9.21
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$11.93
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish60% buy · 5 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 1● Hold 2● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

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  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-8.9%
1 month
-12.7%
3 months
+10.2%
6 months
-27.6%
YTD
-35.4%
1 year
-17.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$9.40first publication$9.91

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value86Quality77Momentum17Total61
Valuation
Trailing P/E
7.8x
Forward P/E
2.9x
PEG
no data
P/B
2.26x
EV / Revenue
0.8x
Book value/sh
ZAR 2.32
Enterprise value
$8.5B
Profitability
ROE
34.7%
FCF yield
1.51%
ROIC
-5.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.11
Dividend yield
8.69%
Beta
0.92

Price

-17.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about SBSW

Answered from D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limited ADS fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0x7.8xhigh 19.6x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -38%35%high 42%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%8.7%high 8.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
SBSW D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limited ADS$9.21--7.8x34.7%7761
BVN Buenaventura Mining Company Inc.$28.49$1948% above6.9x27.8%10075
TFPM.TO Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.C$41.12C$3228% above14.2x20.2%9569
TFPM Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. Common Shares$29.37$2235% above14.5x20.2%9569
HL Hecla Mining Company Common Stock$14.11$1048% above19.6x22.2%9273
HOC.L Hochschild Mining plc£4.49£341% above9.5x42.2%8979
PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp. Common Shares$17.26----37.8%3120

Sector report card

Where SBSW ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•May 6, 2026
    Sibanye Stillwater Limited ("Sibanye-Stillwater" or the "Group"), through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Stillwater Mining Company (the "Offeror"), announced today its offers to purchase for cash of its 4.000% Senior Notes due 2026 and 4.500% Senior Notes due 2029
30 filings
May 2026
May 20
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-05-20
View on SEC →
May 13
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-05-13
View on SEC →
May 11
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-05-11
View on SEC →
27 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR