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SBLK

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. Common Shares (SBLK) fair value

Industrials · Marine Shipping · NASDAQ · United States
$28.98+1.15%
Market cap $3.4BNext earnings 2026-11-17Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 9% above our fair value
Price
$28.98
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$26.66
Model range
$18.61 to $37.67
Fair value $26.66
Price $28.98
3 models fit Star Bulk Carriers Corp. Common Shares and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Gold85
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionStar Bulk Carriers Corp. Common Shares (SBLK)
Fair value (3 models)
$26.66
ACCE price target
$31.00
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST; previously $26.25 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: $28.98 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
8.7% above
-8.0% to fair value
ACCE score
87
out of 100
Analysts
80% buy
5 covering
P/E
11.4x
forward 7.8x
1-year return
+63.5%
Dividend yield
6.56%

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. Common Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Star Bulk Carriers operates a fleet of dry bulk vessels, mainly Capesize and Panamax ships, that carry iron ore, coal and grain on long-haul routes, with time charters and spot voyages making up the bulk of its earnings. Its edge is scale and cost discipline in an industry where charter rates swing hard, and a 39.7% operating margin alongside a 47.3% gross margin suggests the fleet is earning well above what most dry bulk peers manage through the cycle. Revenue growth of 44.5% points to a strong freight market and a fleet that is being deployed at high utilisation. Trading at 7.1 times forward earnings against 11.4 times trailing, the market is pricing in a normalisation in earnings, so the case rests on whether elevated rates hold longer than that multiple assumes. Worth a deeper look to test the rate outlook and the durability of the margin structure.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 1 flagAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Cyclical earnings spike
    Earnings grew 388194% YoY and revenue 44.5%, off a near-zero base. Shipping earnings track freight rates, so this year's margins may not repeat.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $212M, and the 10-Q shows revenue growth of +44.5% year over year.
  • At $28.98 the stock trades at 7.1x forward earnings against a sector median of 23.8x, and it pays a 6.8% dividend yield.
  • Four analysts with coverage rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and their mean price target sits +22.6% above the current price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Management's own filing shows return on invested capital of just 1.9%, well short of what a cyclical shipping business needs to justify its capital.
  • The company's own risk file flags that dry bulk rates are cyclical and that recent earnings jumped sharply, so the current profit level may not last.
  • Consensus model fair value of $26.66 sits 8.7% below the share price, and the reverse DCF implies cash flow growth of +4.3% a year forever.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 17, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where SBLK's valuation models land
Price
$28.98
Model fair value
$26.66
Model range
$18.61 to $37.67
Fair value $26.66
Price $28.98
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish80% buy · 5 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 1● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
9 buys · 8 sells
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+4.3%
1 month
-4.7%
3 months
+3.0%
6 months
+19.6%
YTD
+50.8%
1 year
+63.5%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$28.09
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTFair value$26.66$26.25$28.09
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$26.25$27.40$27.98
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$31.00first publication$29.70
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$27.40$27.81$30.40
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$27.81$23.52$32.48
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$23.52$28.69$31.21
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.69$29.40$31.17
6 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$29.40$30.02$32.42
4 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$30.02$29.52$31.82

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value88Quality77Momentum84Total87
Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.4x
Forward P/E
7.8x
PEG
0.00
P/B
1.40x
EV / Revenue
3.5x
Book value/sh
$22.52
Enterprise value
$4.2B
Profitability
ROE
11.7%
FCF yield
6.37%
ROIC
1.9%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.50
Dividend yield
6.56%
Beta
0.76

Price

+65.5% · 1Y

Ask anything about SBLK

Answered from Star Bulk Carriers Corp. Common Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0x11.4xhigh 25.3x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low -1%12%high 62%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%6.6%high 10.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
SBLK Star Bulk Carriers Corp. Common Shares$28.98$279% above11.4x11.7%7787
ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. Ordinary Shares$29.35--25.3x3.6%4669
ECO Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp. Common Stock$94.73$5474% above8.8x61.6%9191
DAC Danaos Corporation Common Stock$158.34$26540% below5.4x14.1%8684
VAPORES.SN VaporesCLP 48.30----0.7%1436
HAFN Hafnia Limited Common Shares$10.50$1842% below8.1x26.6%8893
CKN.L Clarkson PLC£49.62£547% below19.8x15.3%7680

Sector report card

Where SBLK ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 15, 2026
    Navigating the Future of Shipping: Leadership Insights - Q3 2026
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 9, 2026
    Star Bulk Carriers Corp. Announces Renewal of Existing ATM Equity Offering Programs
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 9, 2026
    Star Bulk Announces Strategic Partnership with Hermes World Maritime S.A.
11 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 14
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-13
View on SEC →
Oct 9
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-09
View on SEC →
Oct 7
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-05
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR