2 models fit Sinclair Inc. Class A Common Stock and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze42
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionSinclair Inc. Class A Common Stock (SBGI)
Fair value (2 models)
$6.38
ACCE price target
$12.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST; previously $6.30 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
Price used: $12.39 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
94.2% above
-48.5% to fair value
ACCE score
46
out of 100
Analysts
29% buy
7 covering
P/E
16.1x
forward -6.3x
1-year return
-7.8%
Dividend yield
7.82%
Sinclair Inc. Class A Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Sinclair owns and operates local television stations in US markets, runs the Tennis Channel and other cable networks, and sells the local ad inventory and retransmission fees that fund them. At a $917M market cap and a 16.5 trailing P/E, the stock looks cheap on earnings, but the 32.1 forward multiple tells you the market expects profits to fall, which is typical for broadcasters going into a political-ad cycle that has to be offset by a weak non-political year. The 6.6% operating margin against a 45.4% gross margin shows how much of the revenue goes to programming, retrans and overhead, so small swings in ad pricing move earnings a lot. Revenue growth of 7.1% and a 20.4% ROE are respectable, but leverage and the cable-cord-cutting decline in pay-TV subscribers cap how far the multiple can re-rate. With a composite score of 44/100 and no index membership, this is a small, leveraged, cyclical name that warrants a deeper look only if the portfolio needs exposure to local broadcast consolidation and political advertising.
⚠ Investor warnings · 5 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Earnings collapsing despite revenue growth
Revenue grew 7.1% YoY but earnings fell 40.8%, and the operating margin is only 6.6% with net margin at 1.6%. Profit is not keeping pace with sales.
high
Heavy leverage and thin cushion
Debt/Equity is 10.20 against EV/EBITDA of 7.3 and a forward P/E of 32.1 versus trailing 16.3, so earnings expectations are sharply lower and debt is large relative to equity.
high
Extreme short interest
Short interest stands at 28.4% of float, a heavy bearish bet that signals the market's skepticism about the equity and the debt load.
moderate
Long-term revenue shrinkage
The five-year revenue CAGR is -11.8%, and the quarter-over-quarter change is -3.5%, so the top line has been contracting over the longer period.
moderate
Price well above model fair value
At $12.39 the stock trades 94.2% above the model fair value of $6.38, and sits 3.2% above the ACCE price target of $12.00.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $115M, and the stock yields 12.7% on that cash generation.
Revenue grew 7.1% year over year, and analysts' mean price target of $17.57 sits 37.3% above the current share price.
The dividend yield of 7.9% gives holders a meaningful cash return while they wait for the business to recover.
Why it could disappoint
The latest earnings per share missed expectations by 715.4%, with a loss of $1.06 against an expected $0.13.
The model fair value of $6.38 sits 94.2% below the current price, and only 2 of 4 valuation models support it.
Debt to equity of 10.20 is very high, and the diluted share count rose 4.6% last fiscal year, diluting existing holders.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where SBGI's valuation models land
Price
$12.39
Model fair value
$6.38
Model range
$5.81 to $6.66
Fair value $6.38
Price $12.39
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality
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