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RL
ACCE-researched

Ralph Lauren Corporation Common Stock (RL) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing · NYSE · United States
$377.40-1.19%
Market cap $22.5BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 140% above our fair value
Price
$377.40
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$157
Model range
$127 to $186
Fair value $157
Price $377
4 models fit Ralph Lauren Corporation Common Stock and they partly agree: 2 of 4 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver66
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionRalph Lauren Corporation Common Stock (RL)
Fair value (4 models)
$157
ACCE price target
$365
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST; previously $160 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST.
Price used: $377 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
140.2% above
-58.4% to fair value
ACCE score
69
out of 100
Analysts
89% buy
19 covering
P/E
23.7x
forward 18.1x
1-year return
+12.2%
Dividend yield
1.05%

Ralph Lauren Corporation Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Ralph Lauren designs and sells premium apparel, footwear, accessories and home goods under its Ralph Lauren, Polo and Club Monaco labels, sold through owned stores, its own websites and wholesale accounts. Its moat is brand pricing power: a 70.3% gross margin is what lets it spend on marketing and still earn an 18.4% operating margin, and a 37.5% return on equity shows that capital is being put to work at a high rate. The main growth engine is revenue growth of 14.0%, which is well above what most apparel peers are reporting, and a leaner forward multiple of 17.8 against a trailing 23.5 implies the market expects earnings to keep rising. The stock looks interesting now because the business is compounding quickly while the forward multiple sits below the trailing one, which is worth testing against the margin durability and the sustainability of that top-line growth. The 69/100 score and absence from major indices suggest the name is under-followed, so a deeper look at the consistency of growth across regions and channels is warranted.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    ACCE score deterioration
    Score fell 7 points in 90 days (76 to 69). Valuation (V:62) and Momentum (M:63) are notably weak relative to Quality (Q:81).
  • moderate
    Sequential revenue decline
    QoQ growth at -1.0% despite YoY +14.0%, signalling recent momentum loss. Forward P/E of 17.7 assumes earnings growth that may not materialize.
  • moderate
    Insider selling without offsetting buys
    Last 10 disclosures show $3.74M in sales and $0.00M in buys. Insiders own only +2.5%, suggesting limited conviction at current levels.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue accelerated to 14.0% year-over-year growth, well above the 8.0% five-year average, showing momentum.
  • Return on equity of 37.5% and ROIC of 18.0% demonstrate the company deploys capital far more efficiently than peers.
  • Analyst consensus rates 89% of coverage as Buy or Strong Buy, with mean target implying 20.3% upside from current price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Consensus fair value of $165.69 sits 55.4% below the current $371.28 share price across all four valuation models.
  • Debt to equity of 1.10 is elevated, limiting financial flexibility if luxury consumer spending weakens materially.
  • Trailing P/E of 23.4x commands a premium to the 17.5% sector median forward P/E, leaving little margin for error.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where RL's valuation models land
Price
$377.40
Model fair value
$157
Model range
$127 to $186
Fair value $157
Price $377
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish89% buy · 19 covering analysts
● Strong buy 12● Buy 5● Hold 1● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-2.1%
1 month
+11.8%
3 months
+1.0%
6 months
+1.7%
YTD
+6.7%
1 year
+12.2%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $RL Earnings: Revenue +16.6%, EPS +20.4% in Latest Quarter
    Ralph Lauren reported 16.6% revenue growth and 20.4% EPS growth. ACCE score sits at 74/100 with shares at $378.51 and an analyst target of $412.81.
    2026-05-22

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$386
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTFair value$157$160$386
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$160$166$374
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$166$231$371
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$231$236$357
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$236$232$352
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$365first publication$337
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$232$236$339
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$236$239$337
7 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$239$243$351

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth68Value62Quality81Momentum63Total69
Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.7x
Forward P/E
18.1x
PEG
1.11
P/B
7.58x
EV / Revenue
2.6x
Book value/sh
$45.66
Enterprise value
$21.7B
Profitability
ROE
37.5%
FCF yield
3.29%
ROIC
13.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.05
Dividend yield
1.05%
Beta
1.35

Price

+12.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about RL

Answered from Ralph Lauren Corporation Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 50% of peers
low 14.1x23.7xhigh 31.3x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low 9%38%high 38%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 1.1%1.1%high 4.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
RL Ralph Lauren Corporation Common Stock$377.40$157140% above23.7x37.5%8169
HM-B.ST H & M Hennes & Mauritz Bkr 173.50kr 11748% above21.1x33.3%6559
MONC.MI Moncler€44.06€2761% above18.2x18.1%8452
LEVI Levi Strauss & Co Class A Common Stock$21.36$1369% above14.1x26.3%7756
GIL Gildan Activewear Inc. Class A Sub. Vot. Common Stock$41.03--30.9x8.7%5150
GIL.TO Gildan ActivewearC$57.50--31.3x8.7%5150
VFC V.F. Corporation Common Stock$17.48$1153% above25.4x17.9%4652

Sector report card

Where RL ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 15, 2026
    Ralph Lauren Announces First Year Progress Against Its Timeless by Design 2030 Global Citizenship & Sustainability Strategy
  • Business Wire•Sep 11, 2026
    Ralph Lauren Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividend
  • Business Wire•Sep 8, 2026
    Ralph Lauren to Establish Its First Cancer Center in Asia with the National Cancer Center of Korea
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 14
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-09
View on SEC →
Oct 14
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-09
View on SEC →
Oct 14
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-09
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR