3 models fit Resideo Technologies Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Bronze44
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionResideo Technologies Inc. Common Stock (REZI)
Fair value (3 models)
$40.38
ACCE price target
$19.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $39.76 since 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $17.86 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
55.8% below
+126.1% to fair value
ACCE score
52
out of 100
Analysts
80% buy
5 covering
P/E
7.5x
forward 8.7x
1-year return
-41.0%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Resideo Technologies Inc. Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Resideo makes the sensors, thermostats, alarm systems and water-leak detection hardware that go into homes and buildings, and it also runs a distribution business that sells HVAC and security products to contractors. The structural case rests on the installed base and recurring service demand in residential and commercial building controls, a slow-moving market where replacement cycles and building-code upgrades provide some visibility. Revenue growth is only 2.0%, so the near-term story depends on margin repair rather than top-line momentum; the operating margin of 7.9% against a 29.2% gross margin shows how much of the gross profit is absorbed by overhead. At a trailing P/E of 7.0 and a forward P/E of 9.9, the market is pricing in little improvement, while a 15.2% ROE says the existing book is earning a reasonable return. The screen score of 52/100 and absence from any major index mean this is a small, under-followed name, so a deeper look should focus on whether the margin gap can close.
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Free cash flow deeply negative
Free cash flow is -$1.25B against a $2.7B market cap, while debt-to-equity sits at 1.11. The business is burning cash faster than it can comfortably carry its debt load.
moderate
Revenue growth slowing
Revenue grew just 2.0% year over year, well below the 8.1% five-year CAGR. The top line has decelerated sharply.
moderate
Operating margin thin
Operating margin of 7.9% and net margin of 5.6% leave little cushion. The 928.2% earnings jump looks like a low base effect rather than durable improvement.
moderate
Elevated short interest
Short interest stands at 9.7% of float. Heavy short positioning alongside negative free cash flow signals that skeptics see a real problem.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-23 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy at 80%, with 4 of 5 covering analysts positive.
The analysts' mean price target of $29.83 sits 67.7% above the current share price.
Latest earnings per share beat expectations by 23.0%, with 0.75 reported against 0.61 expected.
Why it could disappoint
Free cash flow over the last 12 months was negative at -$1.3B, a serious worry for any investor.
Return on invested capital is negative at -7.0%, so new capital is not earning back its cost.
Debt is 1.11 times equity, and demand for housing-linked products adds exposure if home sales weaken.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Nov 10, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
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Where REZI's valuation models land
Price
$17.86
Model fair value
$40.38
Model range
$19.85 to $55.19
Fair value $40.38
Price $17.86
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
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