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REZI

Resideo Technologies Inc. Common Stock (REZI) fair value

Industrials · Industrial Distribution · NYSE · United States
$17.86+0.39%
Market cap $2.7BNext earnings 2026-11-10Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 56% below our fair value
Price
$17.86
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$40.38
Model range
$19.85 to $55.19
Fair value $40.38
Price $17.86
3 models fit Resideo Technologies Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Bronze44
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionResideo Technologies Inc. Common Stock (REZI)
Fair value (3 models)
$40.38
ACCE price target
$19.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $39.76 since 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $17.86 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
55.8% below
+126.1% to fair value
ACCE score
52
out of 100
Analysts
80% buy
5 covering
P/E
7.5x
forward 8.7x
1-year return
-41.0%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Resideo Technologies Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Resideo makes the sensors, thermostats, alarm systems and water-leak detection hardware that go into homes and buildings, and it also runs a distribution business that sells HVAC and security products to contractors. The structural case rests on the installed base and recurring service demand in residential and commercial building controls, a slow-moving market where replacement cycles and building-code upgrades provide some visibility. Revenue growth is only 2.0%, so the near-term story depends on margin repair rather than top-line momentum; the operating margin of 7.9% against a 29.2% gross margin shows how much of the gross profit is absorbed by overhead. At a trailing P/E of 7.0 and a forward P/E of 9.9, the market is pricing in little improvement, while a 15.2% ROE says the existing book is earning a reasonable return. The screen score of 52/100 and absence from any major index mean this is a small, under-followed name, so a deeper look should focus on whether the margin gap can close.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Free cash flow deeply negative
    Free cash flow is -$1.25B against a $2.7B market cap, while debt-to-equity sits at 1.11. The business is burning cash faster than it can comfortably carry its debt load.
  • moderate
    Revenue growth slowing
    Revenue grew just 2.0% year over year, well below the 8.1% five-year CAGR. The top line has decelerated sharply.
  • moderate
    Operating margin thin
    Operating margin of 7.9% and net margin of 5.6% leave little cushion. The 928.2% earnings jump looks like a low base effect rather than durable improvement.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest stands at 9.7% of float. Heavy short positioning alongside negative free cash flow signals that skeptics see a real problem.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-23 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy at 80%, with 4 of 5 covering analysts positive.
  • The analysts' mean price target of $29.83 sits 67.7% above the current share price.
  • Latest earnings per share beat expectations by 23.0%, with 0.75 reported against 0.61 expected.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow over the last 12 months was negative at -$1.3B, a serious worry for any investor.
  • Return on invested capital is negative at -7.0%, so new capital is not earning back its cost.
  • Debt is 1.11 times equity, and demand for housing-linked products adds exposure if home sales weaken.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 10, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where REZI's valuation models land
Price
$17.86
Model fair value
$40.38
Model range
$19.85 to $55.19
Fair value $40.38
Price $17.86
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish80% buy · 5 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 1● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+8.5%
1 month
-4.4%
3 months
-25.7%
6 months
-37.5%
YTD
-26.9%
1 year
-41.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$16.46
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$40.38$39.76$16.46
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$39.76$51.51$16.63
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$19.00first publication$17.07
9 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$51.51$28.86$17.56
6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.86$36.92$18.35
23 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.92$36.18$18.81
18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.18$55.83$18.67
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$55.83$56.70$19.11
10 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$56.70$57.28$19.64

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth55Value83Quality52Momentum17Total52
Valuation
Trailing P/E
7.5x
Forward P/E
8.7x
PEG
0.01
P/B
1.14x
EV / Revenue
0.8x
Book value/sh
$16.66
Enterprise value
$6.4B
Profitability
ROE
15.2%
FCF yield
-46.20%
ROIC
-7.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.11
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.50

Price

-42.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about REZI

Answered from Resideo Technologies Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0x7.5xhigh 36.0x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low -12%15%high 24%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 3.8%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
REZI Resideo Technologies Inc. Common Stock $17.86$4056% below7.5x15.2%5252
DAE.SW Dätwyler Holding AGCHF 130.60CHF 8456% above27.0x24.4%6045
DNOW DNOW Inc. Common Stock$15.69$976% above--11.6%3568
BUFAB.ST Bufab AB (publ)kr 132.60kr 7091% above36.0x17.3%5965
GFTU.L Grafton Group plc£9.93£1326% below14.6x8.0%5259
DXPE DXP Enterprises Inc. Common Stock$156.26$65141% above27.8x18.5%5664
BOSN.SW Bossard Holding AGCHF 254.00CHF 13785% above18.8x23.4%6470

Sector report card

Where REZI ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 2, 2026
    Thermostat Market Outlook 2026-2035 - Featuring Profiles of 3 of the Leading Companies: Google Nest, Carrier Corporation, and Resideo Technologies
  • PR Newswire•Sep 16, 2026
    New First Alert® Smoke and Carbon Monoxide Alarms Make Home Safety Simple
  • PR Newswire•Aug 31, 2026
    Resideo To Participate at Upcoming Investor Conferences
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 3
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-01
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR