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QLYS
ACCE-researched

Qualys Inc. Common Stock (QLYS) fair value

Technology · Software - Infrastructure · NASDAQ · United States
$216.70+4.08%
Market cap $7.3BNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Oct 24, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 48% above our fair value
Price
$216.70
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$146
Model range
$108 to $203
Fair value $146
Price $217
3 models fit Qualys Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze57
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionQualys Inc. Common Stock (QLYS)
Fair value (3 models)
$146
ACCE price target
$212
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CEST; previously $175 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 24 Oct 2026, 03:20 CEST; previously $182 since 27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CEST.
Price used: $217 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
48.4% above
-32.6% to fair value
ACCE score
78
out of 100
Analysts
18% buy
22 covering
P/E
36.1x
forward 21.9x
1-year return
+69.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Qualys Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Qualys sells cloud-delivered security and compliance tools, chiefly VMDR (vulnerability management, detection and response), which scans customers' networks and endpoints, flags exposures and tracks remediation from a single console. Its edge is a large installed base of enterprise and public-sector customers on a subscription model that sustains an 83.4% gross margin and a 34.0% operating margin, paired with a 38.6% return on equity. Near-term growth is driven by upselling additional modules and the shift from periodic scanning toward continuous risk management, which is what the 11.0% revenue growth rate reflects. At a 34.3x trailing P/E that falls to 23.4x forward, the market is pricing in earnings expansion rather than a premium on current profits. The stock is a $7.0B company with no index membership, a combination worth a closer look for a concentrated book, though the 11% growth rate is the figure to test against competitors before forming a view.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Valuation premium to fair value
    Forward P/E of 24.0 and P/S of 10.0 reflect elevated pricing relative to 11% revenue growth.
  • moderate
    Insider selling without offsetting buys
    Last 10 disclosures show $2.29M in insider sales against $0.00M in buys. No material insider conviction signal.
  • moderate
    High short interest
    Short interest at 13.8% is elevated. Combined with premium valuation, suggests meaningful skepticism among sophisticated investors.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-11 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Management converts revenue into cash efficiently, generating 29.4% net margins and 38.6% ROE.
  • The company trades below sector median forward P/E at 24.0x versus 29.3x, despite consistent 11% revenue growth.
  • Strong capital discipline: debt to equity of 0.09 and share buybacks reduced dilution by 2.4% last year.
Why it could disappoint
  • Consensus fair value is 16.6% below the current share price of $202.42, with analyst mean target at $179.36.
  • At 35.1x trailing P/E, the stock prices in growth well above the 7.4% perpetual cash flow growth the valuation implies.
  • Only 18% of analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and just 3 of 5 valuation models support current consensus fair value.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where QLYS's valuation models land
Price
$216.70
Model fair value
$146
Model range
$108 to $203
Fair value $146
Price $217
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish18% buy · 22 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 1● Hold 17● Sell 0● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+19.7%
1 month
+17.3%
3 months
+57.6%
6 months
+156.9%
YTD
+63.1%
1 year
+69.4%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $QLYS ACCE Score Jumps 13 Points to 71 - What Drove It
    Qualys Inc. ($QLYS) ACCE composite score rose from 58 to 71, a 13-point gain. Here's what likely drove the move and what it signals now.
    2026-06-02

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$217
24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CESTFair value$146$175$217
24 Oct 2026, 03:20 CESTACCE price target$212$182$217
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$175$169$193
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$169$167$202
6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$167$172$193
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$172$168$187
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$168$164$172
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$182first publication$172
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$164$171$172

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth68Value48Quality100Momentum97Total78
Valuation
Trailing P/E
36.1x
Forward P/E
21.9x
PEG
2.24
P/B
11.37x
EV / Revenue
8.6x
Book value/sh
$16.23
Enterprise value
$6.0B
Profitability
ROE
38.6%
FCF yield
4.15%
ROIC
24.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.17
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.60

Price

+69.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about QLYS

Answered from Qualys Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0x36.1xhigh 161.4x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low -3%39%high 62%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 4.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
QLYS Qualys Inc. Common Stock$216.70$14648% above36.1x38.6%10078
4716.T Oracle Corporation Japan¥10000.00--19.1x-4655
OFSS.NS Oracle Financial Services Software Limited₹9677.00--24.7x49.9%9681
4704.T Trend Micro Incorporated¥7260.00--27.2x30.0%8665
DOCN DigitalOcean Holdings Inc. Common Stock$93.22$40131% above42.4x62.3%7048
PAYTM.NS One97 Communications Limited₹1616.10--161.4x-5961
SAIL SailPoint Inc. Common Stock$21.79----2.9%4747

Sector report card

Where QLYS ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 14, 2026
    Qualys Unveils TruRisk Eliminate 2.0 with TruConfidence to Power Autonomous RemOps
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 2, 2026
    Prevalent AI Appoints Nitin Maini as CTO to Accelerate the Evolution of its AI-Powered Data Fabric
  • PR Newswire•Jul 21, 2026
    Qualys to Report Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on August 4, 2026
1 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 21
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-20
View on SEC →
Oct 15
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-14
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 22
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-21
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR