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PTRN

Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock (PTRN) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail · NASDAQ · United States
$16.19-2.06%
Market cap $2.9BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 44% above our fair value
Price
$16.19
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$11.27
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionPattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock (PTRN)
Fair value (3 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$21.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $16.19 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
52
out of 100
Analysts
89% buy
9 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 0.0x
1-year return
-1.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Pattern Group runs a marketplace and fulfilment platform for online sellers on Amazon, Walmart and other third-party channels, selling its own consumer brands alongside outsourced operations. Its edge is the operating infrastructure behind those sales: a 43.9% gross margin and 46.6% revenue growth suggest demand for its services is accelerating faster than the cost of running them. The main near-term test is whether that top-line momentum converts into operating leverage, since a 4.0% operating margin leaves little room for error. At a $3.1B market cap with a 0.0 P/E (reflecting negative or unreported trailing earnings) and only a 4.9% ROE, the stock is priced on growth rather than current profit. That makes it worth a deeper look mainly to judge whether margins can expand as the business scales.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Heavy insider selling
    Insiders sold $167.10M across the last 10 disclosed trades against $3.86M of buys, a sell-to-buy ratio of roughly 43 to 1.
  • moderate
    Earnings falling while revenue rises
    Revenue grew 46.6% year over year but earnings fell 16.7%, and the net margin is only 0.9%, so growth is not yet reaching the bottom line.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest stands at 16.8% of float, which signals meaningful bearish positioning and can amplify volatility in either direction.
  • moderate
    Stretched enterprise valuation
    EV/EBITDA of 95.7 prices in very high future earnings growth, leaving little margin for error if operating margin of 4.0% stalls.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 15, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 46.6% over the past year, and has averaged 36.2% a year over five years.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $79M, and the latest quarter beat expected earnings by 25.0%.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin is just 0.9%, so very little of each sales dollar becomes profit.
  • Return on invested capital of 2.2% sits well below what the business needs to earn on the money put into it.
  • The diluted share count rose 3.1% last year, which dilutes existing shareholders' stake in the company.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where PTRN's valuation models land
Price
$16.19
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$11.27
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish89% buy · 9 covering analysts
● Strong buy 6● Buy 2● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-6.1%
1 month
-16.4%
3 months
-27.0%
6 months
+19.9%
YTD
+40.3%
1 year
-1.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$21.00first publication$18.42
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.95$2.63$17.82
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.63$3.22$17.02
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.22$5.45$17.94
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$5.45$3.40$20.41
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.40$2.61$19.43
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.61$2.67$19.44
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.67$2.70$20.05
9 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.70$2.67$20.20
6 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.67$2.76$20.20

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value25Quality51Momentum68Total52
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
0.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
5.61x
EV / Revenue
1.1x
Book value/sh
$3.66
Enterprise value
$3.3B
Profitability
ROE
4.9%
FCF yield
2.69%
ROIC
2.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.05
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
no data

Price

-10.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about PTRN

Answered from Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 47.0x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low 5%5%high 52%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 4.9%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
PTRN Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock$16.19---4.9%5152
4385.T Mercari, Inc.¥3704.00--16.5x29.9%7960
RVLV Revolve Group Inc. Class A Common Stock$22.26$1369% above21.8x14.3%6560
VIPS Vipshop Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares each representing two ordinary shares$12.54$2039% below4.2x23.5%6556
LQDT Liquidity Services Inc. Common Stock$44.85$2393% above44.0x15.0%7273
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. Ordinary Shares$41.36$19121% above47.0x17.0%7574
3092.T ZOZO, Inc.¥1260.50--23.4x51.8%10070

Sector report card

Where PTRN ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 7, 2026
    Pattern to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 15, 2026
    The Best Founders in America Oversubscribe Beanstalk 2026, Three Weeks Before Opening
  • Business Wire•Aug 26, 2026
    Pattern to Present at Upcoming Investor Conference
8 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
24 filings of 36
September 2026
Sep 3
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-01
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 12
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-11
View on SEC →
Aug 6
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
21 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR