PFE

ACCE-researched
Pfizer Inc. Common Stock
Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General · NYSE · United States
$27.74+0.29%
Market cap $157.7BNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Sep 20, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$27.74+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 4 of 6 models
Now $27.74
$27.74
$16.09$21.60
AvoidBronze57
Price vs fair value
53.6% above
-34.9% to fair value
ACCE score
58
out of 100
Analysts
36% buy
25 covering
P/E
36.4x
forward 9.5x
1-year return
+15.4%
Dividend yield
6.22%
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Overview

ACCE thesis

Pfizer discovers, manufactures, and sells small-molecule drugs, biologics, and vaccines across oncology, infectious disease, and rare disease - with Paxlovid, Eliquis, and Ibrance as current revenue anchors. The company's manufacturing scale and global distribution infrastructure, built out aggressively during COVID, creates a fixed-cost base that competitors can't replicate overnight. The real story right now is the $43B Seagen acquisition closing in late 2023, which drops a deep oncology ADC pipeline directly into Pfizer's commercial engine - Padcev and Tukysa alone address markets where pricing power is exceptional. At a forward P/E of 8.2 against a gross margin of 74.8%, the market is pricing in LOE cliff damage from Eliquis and Paxlovid normalization as a permanent impairment rather than a cyclical reset. If even two or three of the Seagen-derived assets hit label expansions by 2026, the current multiple looks like a crowded-short setup unwinding in slow motion.

Written Jun 28, 2026
Investor warnings · 3 flags
  • high
    Earnings decline accelerating
    EPS down 10.1% YoY and QoQ revenue -17.7%, signalling sharp sequential deterioration beyond headline annual growth of +5.4%.
  • moderate
    Weak growth quality score
    ACCE Growth sub-score of 28/100 reflects poor forward growth visibility despite modest 5.4% YoY revenue gain.
  • moderate
    Low overall ACCE score
    Composite score 56/100 with Momentum at 40 suggests weak price trend; stock trades ~14% below model fair value of $28.50.
Reports in 42 days, last quarter beat by 0.1%.

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Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Price

+15.4% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

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The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish36% buy · 25 covering analysts
Strong buy 7 Buy 2 Hold 15 Sell 0 Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0x36.4xhigh 36.4x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -21%5%high 91%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 2.1%6.2%high 6.2%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
GILDGilead Sciences Inc. Common Stock$186.1B--20.7%1.102.1%-Compare
NVONovo Nordisk A/S Common Stock$191.0B10.759.8%0.674.2%-Compare
NOVO-B.CONovo Nordisk B$191.2B10.759.8%0.634.2%-Compare
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company Common Stock$127.9B13.846.6%2.444.0%-Compare
AMGNAmgen Inc. Common Stock$208.5B24.091.5%6.312.6%-Compare
SAN.PASanofi$101.9B22.95.7%0.265.5%-Compare

Sector report card

Where PFE ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 42 days, last quarter beat by 0.1%.

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Recent performance

1 week
+0.1%
1 month
-1.2%
3 months
+12.2%
6 months
+1.7%
YTD
+11.4%
1 year
+15.4%

SEC filings

40 filings
September 2026
Sep 16
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
Sep 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-31
August 2026
Aug 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-14
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR