BMY

ACCE-researched
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Common Stock
Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General · NYSE · United States
$62.62-0.70%
Market cap $127.9BNext earnings 2026-10-29Updated Sep 20, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$62.62+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 3 of 6 models
Now $62.62
$62.62
$26.52$66.26
AvoidSilver75
Price vs fair value
43.7% above
-30.4% to fair value
ACCE score
78
out of 100
Analysts
34% buy
29 covering
P/E
13.8x
forward 9.7x
1-year return
+39.1%
Dividend yield
3.98%
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Overview

ACCE thesis

Bristol-Myers Squibb manufactures and markets prescription pharmaceuticals across oncology, immunology, and cardiovascular disease, with blockbuster drugs including Revlimid, Opdivo, and Eliquis generating over $30 billion in combined annual revenue. The company's deep immunology franchise, anchored by CAR-T therapies and checkpoint inhibitors, creates sustainable competitive moats in high-barrier therapeutic areas where switching costs are prohibitive. BMY's $74 billion Celgene acquisition in 2019 is finally paying dividends as the integration completes and cost synergies flow through to margins. Trading at 9.2x forward earnings despite 38.7% ROE signals the market hasn't recognized the earnings power emerging from this restructured portfolio. The Revlimid patent cliff that spooked investors is largely behind us, with new drug launches and pipeline assets like deucravacitinib positioning BMY for accelerating growth through 2025.

Written May 14, 2026
Investor warnings · 4 flags
  • high
    Elevated leverage ratio
    Debt/Equity of 2.44 signals heavy debt load, likely from acquisitions, constraining financial flexibility and amplifying downside risk.
  • high
    Sharp QoQ revenue decline
    Quarter-over-quarter revenue fell 8.1%, suggesting near-term demand weakness or product cycle headwinds despite modest YoY growth of 2.6%.
  • moderate
    Insider selling, no buying
    Last 10 disclosed transactions show $3.70M in sales and zero buys, indicating insiders are not adding exposure at current prices.
  • moderate
    Large forward P/E discount
    Forward P/E of 9.1 vs trailing 16.6 implies consensus expects significant earnings decline ahead, not just multiple compression.
Reports in 37 days, last quarter beat by 0.3%.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Price

+39.2% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish34% buy · 29 covering analysts
Strong buy 6 Buy 4 Hold 18 Sell 0 Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 9.9x13.8xhigh 36.5x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 5%47%high 60%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 3.6%4.0%high 6.2%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
PFEPfizer Inc. Common Stock$158.1B36.55.0%0.746.2%-Compare
GSKGSK plc American Depositary Shares (Each representing two Ordinary Shares)$102.3B16.233.4%1.033.6%-Compare
SNYSanofi ADS$101.8B23.05.7%0.265.7%-Compare
SAN.PASanofi$101.7B22.95.7%0.265.5%-Compare
GSK.LGSK$100.4B15.933.4%1.033.6%-Compare
NVONovo Nordisk A/S Common Stock$175.8B9.959.8%0.674.2%-Compare

Sector report card

Where BMY ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 37 days, last quarter beat by 0.3%.

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Recent performance

1 week
-2.3%
1 month
-6.6%
3 months
+12.8%
6 months
+6.2%
YTD
+16.1%
1 year
+39.1%

SEC filings

40 filings
September 2026
Sep 10
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-09
Sep 3
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-01
August 2026
Aug 26
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-25
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR