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PEG
ACCE-researched

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Common Stock (PEG) fair value

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric · NYSE · United States
$72.02-0.96%
Market cap $36.2BNext earnings 2026-11-02Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 35% above our fair value
Price
$72.02
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$53.30
Model range
$21.18 to $80.18
Fair value $53.30
Price $72.02
3 models fit Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)
Valued as a utility: Dividend discount, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionPublic Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Common Stock (PEG)
Fair value (3 models)
$53.30
ACCE price target
$73.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST; previously $54.94 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
Price used: $72.02 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
35.1% above
-26.0% to fair value
ACCE score
41
out of 100
Analysts
41% buy
22 covering
P/E
17.7x
forward 15.0x
1-year return
-12.9%
Dividend yield
3.66%

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Public Service Enterprise Group owns New Jersey Power & Light and PSE&G, a regulated electric and gas utility serving most of New Jersey, plus a shrinking nuclear and fossil generation fleet that it has been selling down. The core advantage is the regulated rate base: PSE&G earns an allowed return on infrastructure it builds, which gives visibility on earnings that few sectors match. At 15.1x forward earnings against 17.6x trailing, the market expects earnings to rise, though the 8.9% revenue decline and 11.8% ROE mean the case rests on the regulated capital program rather than on the top line. The reason to look harder now is the gap between that forward multiple and a return on equity that is only modest, which will decide whether the rate base growth converts into shareholder value. The composite score of 39/100 and absence from any index suggest the name has been out of favour, so the question is whether the fundamentals are stabilising or still deteriorating.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings collapse and score deterioration
    Earnings down 42.7% YoY; ACCE score fell 24 points in 90 days (63 to 39). Moat score (M:31) signals competitive weakness or margin pressure ahead.
  • high
    Revenue decline with weak FCF
    Revenue down 8.9% YoY and 33.6% QoQ. FCF of $108M is thin for a $36B utility; debt/equity 1.42 limits financial flexibility if earnings don't recover.
  • moderate
    Insider selling without offsetting buys
    Last 10 disclosures show $1.82M in sales, zero buys. Modest signal but consistent with confidence erosion given score collapse.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Five-year revenue growth of 7.5% annually shows the utility's underlying business is expanding despite current headwinds.
  • Net margin of 16.0% and latest earnings beat of 7.5% suggest operational efficiency and earnings power.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow yield of only 0.3% on $108M annual FCF signals minimal cash return relative to market value.
  • Debt to equity of 1.42 combined with ROIC of 4.2% means borrowed capital is not generating returns above its cost.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 2, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where PEG's valuation models land
Price
$72.02
Model fair value
$53.30
Model range
$21.18 to $80.18
Fair value $53.30
Price $72.02
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed41% buy · 22 covering analysts
● Strong buy 7● Buy 2● Hold 13● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+0.7%
1 month
+7.0%
3 months
-9.8%
6 months
-10.8%
YTD
-10.3%
1 year
-12.9%

SEC filings

Held by ETFs

ETFs we cover that hold Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Common Stock among their largest holdings, by weight.

  • XLU · Utilities Select Sector SPDR2.7% of the fund
  • VPU · Vanguard Utilities ETF2.3% of the fund
Holdings as of 2026-10-24

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$53.30$54.94$70.86
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$70.86
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$54.94$57.86$70.56
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$57.86$69.80$72.28
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$69.80$68.49$71.73
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$68.49$69.78$66.56
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$69.78$70.64$69.77
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$73.00first publication$69.77
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$70.64$71.36$70.98
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$71.36$72.58$72.39

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value54Quality61Momentum40Total41
Valuation
Trailing P/E
17.7x
Forward P/E
15.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.99x
EV / Revenue
4.7x
Book value/sh
$34.80
Enterprise value
$58.9B
Profitability
ROE
11.8%
FCF yield
0.90%
ROIC
4.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.44
Dividend yield
3.66%
Beta
0.52

Price

-13.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about PEG

Answered from Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 9.4x17.7xhigh 23.5x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low 7%12%high 14%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 1.5%3.7%high 4.5%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
PEG Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Common Stock$72.02$5335% above17.7x11.8%6141
WEC WEC Energy Group Inc. Common Stock$111.09--21.1x12.0%6051
PCG Pacific Gas & Electric Co. Common Stock$12.63--9.4x9.3%5350
ED Consolidated Edison Inc. Common Stock$115.74$1141% above18.4x9.0%6564
NTPC.NS NTPC Limited₹298.00₹35315% below10.4x13.7%7053
AEE Ameren Corporation Common Stock$108.04$9612% above18.8x11.9%6952
FTS Fortis Inc. Common Shares$57.95--23.5x7.5%6956

Sector report card

Where PEG ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 13, 2026
    PSEG To Announce Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results On November 2
  • PR Newswire•Oct 2, 2026
    PSEG Releases 2026 Sustainability Report Showcasing Continued Progress on Sustainability, Reliability and Customer and Community Support
  • PR Newswire•Oct 2, 2026
    PSEG Releases 2026 Sustainability Report Showcasing Continued Progress on Sustainability, Reliability and Customer and Community Support
10 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 20
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-16
View on SEC →
Oct 20
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-16
View on SEC →
Oct 20
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-16
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR