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NYT
ACCE-researched

New York Times Company (The) Common Stock (NYT) fair value

Communication Services · Publishing · NYSE · United States
$69.58+0.23%
Market cap $11.2BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 95% above our fair value
Price
$69.58
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$35.64
Model range
$24.37 to $47.57
Fair value $35.64
Price $69.58
4 models fit New York Times Company (The) Common Stock and they partly agree: 2 of 4 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze47
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionNew York Times Company (The) Common Stock (NYT)
Fair value (4 models)
$35.64
ACCE price target
$72.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $40.77 since 5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $69.58 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
95.2% above
-48.8% to fair value
ACCE score
60
out of 100
Analysts
70% buy
10 covering
P/E
28.9x
forward 21.1x
1-year return
+22.1%
Dividend yield
1.19%

New York Times Company (The) Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

The New York Times sells digital subscriptions to its news, Games and Cooking apps, Wirecutter product reviews and The Athletic sports coverage, alongside a shrinking print edition and a small advertising business. Its advantage is scale in subscription news: the company runs one of the few paid digital news franchises with a deep bundle, which lets it keep pricing power and a 51.0% gross margin while most publishers have struggled to monetize online. Revenue grew 11.3% over the period, and the forward P/E of 21.4 sits well below the trailing 27.9, implying the market expects earnings to catch up with the top line. With a $10.8B market cap, a 19.7% ROE and a 17.1% operating margin, the business is profitable enough to merit a closer look, though the score of 61/100 and the absence from any index mean it has not yet drawn wide institutional attention. The open question for a deeper dive is whether margin expansion from the bundle can keep pace with the cost of building new products and defending the core news franchise.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    ACCE score collapse
    Score fell 10 points in 90 days (70 to 60). Quality remains strong at 84, but Growth (60) and Valuation (51) have deteriorated sharply.
  • moderate
    Valuation multiple compression
    Forward P/E of 21.2 sits above historical media averages. EV/EBITDA of 18.1 is elevated for a mature publisher with 7% five-year revenue CAGR.
  • moderate
    Growth deceleration risk
    Five-year revenue CAGR of 7.0% trails recent YoY of 11.3%. Earnings growth of 14.0% may not sustain if top-line momentum slows further.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue growth of 11.3% year over year significantly outpaces the 7.0% five-year average, showing accelerating momentum.
  • Strong capital efficiency with 19.7% ROE and 13.7% ROIC demonstrates the business converts shareholder capital into profits effectively.
  • Fortress balance sheet with 0.01 debt to equity and 4.3% free cash flow yield provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Why it could disappoint
  • Current valuation implies only 8.4% annual cash flow growth over five years, leaving little upside if growth disappoints.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where NYT's valuation models land
Price
$69.58
Model fair value
$35.64
Model range
$24.37 to $47.57
Fair value $35.64
Price $69.58
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish70% buy · 10 covering analysts
● Strong buy 6● Buy 1● Hold 3● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.7%
1 month
+12.4%
3 months
-2.9%
6 months
-14.0%
YTD
+0.2%
1 year
+22.1%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$35.64$40.77$68.07
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$68.07
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$40.77$41.24$62.70
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$41.24$42.19$63.83
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$72.00first publication$63.83
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$42.19$42.66$70.21
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$42.66$43.11$69.94
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$43.11$42.46$71.71
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$42.46$42.91$66.88
1 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$42.91$47.37$68.16

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth60Value49Quality84Momentum45Total60
Valuation
Trailing P/E
28.9x
Forward P/E
21.1x
PEG
3.79
P/B
5.16x
EV / Revenue
3.3x
Book value/sh
$12.68
Enterprise value
$10.0B
Profitability
ROE
19.7%
FCF yield
4.92%
ROIC
13.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.02
Dividend yield
1.19%
Beta
0.92

Price

+22.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about NYT

Answered from New York Times Company (The) Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 20% of peers
low 12.5x28.9xhigh 48.6x
ROEbetter than 80% of peers
low 5%20%high 26%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%1.2%high 2.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
NYT New York Times Company (The) Common Stock$69.58$3695% above28.9x19.7%8460
PSON.L Pearson plc£13.71£1031% above27.4x9.2%6364
PSO Pearson Plc Common Stock$18.39$1523% above27.2x9.2%6362
INF.L Informa£8.49£634% above48.6x4.5%5545
SPG.DE Springer Nature AG & Co. KGaA€20.65€225% below12.5x17.1%7957
9468.T Kadokawa Corporation¥3806.00----4949
WLYB John Wiley & Sons Inc. Common Stock$54.08$4131% above14.6x25.9%7373

Sector report card

Where NYT ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 25, 2026
    The New York Times Company Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend
  • PR Newswire•Sep 17, 2026
    American Savings Bank Jumps More Than 6% in Trading Debut: NYSE Content Update
  • Business Wire•Sep 2, 2026
    The New York Times Company's Executive Vice President and CFO William Bardeen to Participate in the Citi 2026 Global TMT Conference
1 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 9
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-09
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 13
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-10
View on SEC →
Aug 12
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-10
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR