AACCE Investments
ScreenerStocksIndicesPicksETFsBlogPricing

© 2026 ACCE Investments. All rights reserved.

ACCE Investments - Institutional-grade stock research for retail investors | BetaList
IndicesStocksETFsScreenerBlogGlossaryCompareMarket dataAdvisors
TermsPrivacyCookiesDisclaimerLegal noticeProfessional termsAboutContact
NXRT

NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. Common Stock (NXRT) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Residential · NYSE · United States
$18.76-1.73%
Market cap $968MNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$18.76
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$18.71
Model range
$12.88 to $24.53
Fair value $18.71
Price $18.76
2 models fit NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)
Valued as a REIT (property company): Price to FFO, Dividend discount, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionNexPoint Residential Trust Inc. Common Stock (NXRT)
Fair value (2 models)
$18.71
ACCE price target
$19.50
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $31.76 since 12 Aug 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $18.76 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
0.3% above
-0.3% to fair value
ACCE score
40
out of 100
Analysts
17% buy
6 covering
1-year return
-39.7%
Dividend yield
11.11%

NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

NexPoint Residential Trust owns and operates apartment communities, concentrated in Sunbelt metros such as Dallas, Houston, Atlanta and Phoenix, and earns its revenue from monthly rent collections across that portfolio. The case rests on a mix of scale in these markets and an operating margin of 11.2% on 60.0% gross margins, which shows the properties themselves convert rent into profit even though the trust reports negative return on equity of -11.1%. Revenue growth of 2.4% is modest, and the 88.5x forward P/E against zero trailing earnings tells you the market is pricing in a recovery in per-share earnings that the current numbers do not yet show. The stock carries a score of 38/100 and sits outside any major index, which limits passive demand and makes it a name a portfolio manager would have to justify on its own merits. It warrants a deeper look only if the rent growth and occupancy trends in its Sunbelt markets are turning up, because that is the variable that would close the gap between today's earnings and the forward estimate.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Leverage well above norm
    Debt/Equity of 5.27 and net margin of -13.2% leave little cushion if rents soften or refinancing costs rise. ROE of -11.1% shows the equity base is shrinking in value terms.
  • moderate
    Short interest elevated
    Short interest sits at 10.8% of float, meaning a meaningful bet against the shares. Combined with a 2-point score slip over 90 days, sentiment is not improving.
  • moderate
    Weak quality and momentum scores
    ACCE Quality scores 38 and Momentum only 17, with revenue growing just 2.4% YoY. The 371.8% earnings jump is off a depressed base and should not be read as durable improvement.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months came to $84M, which is a meaningful cash stream for the business.
  • The stock trades at a free cash flow yield of 8.4%, and the dividend yield stands at 11.0%.
  • Analysts' mean price target is $26.50, which sits 36.3% above the current share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Debt to equity of 5.27 leaves the balance sheet heavily reliant on borrowed money.
  • Net margin is -13.2% and return on equity is -11.1%, so the company is losing money on its revenue and equity.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where NXRT's valuation models land
Price
$18.76
Model fair value
$18.71
Model range
$12.88 to $24.53
Fair value $18.71
Price $18.76
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Price to FFO
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.

See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish17% buy · 6 covering analysts
● Strong buy 0● Buy 1● Hold 4● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.1%
1 month
-9.5%
3 months
-28.0%
6 months
-28.4%
YTD
-37.7%
1 year
-39.7%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$18.37
13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$19.50first publication$19.35
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$18.86$31.76$19.66
12 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$31.76$32.82$25.02
29 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$32.82$32.28$26.46
27 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$32.28$33.09$26.07
22 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$33.09$32.72$26.19
18 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$32.72$34.02$26.50
14 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$34.02$33.56$27.80
10 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$33.56$34.38$27.44

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

Get the full NXRT page, free

Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the full page.

Snapshot

Growth55Value51Quality38Momentum17Total40
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
-8.5x
PEG
no data
P/B
2.14x
EV / Revenue
8.4x
Book value/sh
$9.70
Enterprise value
$2.1B
Profitability
ROE
-11.1%
FCF yield
8.49%
ROIC
-1.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
5.27
Dividend yield
11.11%
Beta
1.21

Price

-40.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about NXRT

Answered from NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -11%-11%high 348%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.5%11.1%high 11.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
NXRT NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. Common Stock$18.76$19At fair value--11.1%3840
EAI Entergy Arkansas LLC First Mortgage Bonds 4.875% Series Due September 1 2066$18.33--5.4x0.0%2623
CSR D/B/A Centerspace Common Stock$57.45--45.2x3.4%5333
YVIV.MC Vivenio Residencial SOCIMI, S.A.€1.35--13.5x6.4%8156
UMH UMH Properties Inc. Common Stock$15.45--128.9x3.4%5752
ALTA.PA Altarea SCA€73.30--48.4x3.5%3737
UZE Array Digital Infrastructure Inc. 5.500% Senior Notes due 2070$15.21$2437% below-348.3%5729

Sector report card

Where NXRT ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 6, 2026
    NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call
  • PR Newswire•Sep 4, 2026
    Bloom Energy, Illumina, and Everpure Set to Join S&P 500; Others to Join S&P 100, S&P MidCap 400, and S&P SmallCap 600
  • PR Newswire•Aug 4, 2026
    NEXPOINT RESIDENTIAL TRUST, INC. REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTS
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
35 filings
October 2026
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 5
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
Aug 4
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-04
View on SEC →
32 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR