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MMM
ACCE-researched

3M Company Common Stock (MMM) fair value

Industrials · Conglomerates · NYSE · United States
$173.46-1.20%
Market cap $89.5BNext earnings 2026-10-20Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 105% above our fair value
Price
$173.46
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$84.75
Model range
$53.12 to $110
Fair value $84.75
Price $173
3 models fit 3M Company Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver66
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinion3M Company Common Stock (MMM)
Fair value (3 models)
$84.75
ACCE price target
$177
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CEST; previously $86.44 since 22 Oct 2026, 10:18 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 21 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST; previously $162 since 19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $173 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
104.7% above
-51.1% to fair value
ACCE score
63
out of 100
Analysts
47% buy
19 covering
P/E
25.9x
forward 17.5x
1-year return
+1.1%
Dividend yield
1.78%

3M Company Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

3M makes a broad range of industrial and consumer products, including abrasives, adhesives, tapes, respirators, safety and industrial filtration, and health care consumables, sold largely to manufacturers around the world. The business rests on a deep catalogue of materials science know-how and a large installed base of specified products, which gives it pricing power and steady demand in less cyclical categories. Revenue growth is slow at 2.5%, so the case depends on margin discipline and portfolio simplification following the separation of its healthcare and consumer units rather than on top-line acceleration. Trading at 17.5 times forward earnings against 25.9 times trailing, the market is pricing in a meaningful earnings recovery, with a 20.3% operating margin and 39.4% gross margin showing the underlying franchise is still profitable. The ROE of 81.9% is inflated by a small equity base after years of buybacks and restructuring charges, so it should be read with care, but the score of 63 out of 100 and the earnings step-up implied by the forward multiple make it worth a deeper look at the cash flow and litigation picture.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 24, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Leveraged balance sheet
    Debt/Equity of 2.75 with FCF of $1.4B. Leverage this high leaves little room if earnings soften, and the thin equity base inflates ROE to +81.9%.
  • moderate
    Long-run revenue decline
    5y revenue CAGR of -5.0% against +2.5% YoY growth now. One recovering year does not yet reverse a multi-year shrinking top line.
  • moderate
    Trades above model fair value
    Price of $173.46 sits 104.7% above the model fair value of $84.75, and 2.0% below the ACCE price target of $177.00. The valuation case rests on the ACCE target rather than on the models.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-22 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Forward P/E of 17.7x sits below the sector median of 23.2x, so the stock is cheaper than its peers on earnings expectations.
  • Net margin of 11.9% and return on invested capital of 15.1% show the business turns sales and capital into solid profit.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $189.26 sits 7.8% above the share price, and the latest earnings beat expectations by 4.2%.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue growth of 2.5% this year follows a 5-year average decline of 5.0% per year, so volume growth is not yet proven.
  • Debt to equity of 2.75 and free cash flow of $1.4B leave little room to absorb further litigation settlements.
  • Consensus model fair value of $84.75 sits 104.7% below the share price of $173.46, and the reverse DCF implies 7.2% yearly cash flow growth forever.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where MMM's valuation models land
Price
$173.46
Model fair value
$84.75
Model range
$53.12 to $110
Fair value $84.75
Price $173
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed47% buy · 19 covering analysts
● Strong buy 8● Buy 1● Hold 8● Sell 2● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
0 buys · 1 sell
Since Apr 28, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
7 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+5.3%
1 month
+1.9%
3 months
+0.5%
6 months
+18.8%
YTD
+8.3%
1 year
+1.1%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $MMM ACCE Score Jumps 10 Points to 59 - What's Driving It
    3M's ACCE composite score moved from 49 to 59. Here's what the subscore breakdown tells us about the shift and what to watch next.
    2026-07-24

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CESTFair value$84.75$86.44$176
22 Oct 2026, 10:18 CESTFair value$86.44$94.78$175
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$94.78$88.25$171
21 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price target$177$162$171
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTFair value$88.25$90.80$162
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$165
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$90.80$93.34$165
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$93.34$148$164
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$148$150$162
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$150$153$169

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth55Value51Quality68Momentum77Total63
Valuation
Trailing P/E
25.9x
Forward P/E
17.5x
PEG
0.80
P/B
29.75x
EV / Revenue
3.9x
Book value/sh
$8.87
Enterprise value
$97.0B
Profitability
ROE
81.9%
FCF yield
1.55%
ROIC
15.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
2.75
Dividend yield
1.78%
Beta
1.06

Price

+2.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about MMM

Answered from 3M Company Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 13.2x25.9xhigh 32.9x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low 10%82%high 82%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 1.0%1.8%high 2.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
MMM 3M Company Common Stock$173.46$85105% above25.9x81.9%6863
8031.T Mitsui & Co., Ltd.¥4982.00--15.2x11.4%4762
8001.T ITOCHU Corporation¥2327.00--18.3x14.1%5668
8058.T Mitsubishi Corporation¥4795.00--20.0x10.1%3955
8002.T Marubeni Corporation¥4960.00--14.1x14.2%5258
8053.T Sumitomo Corporation¥1702.50--13.2x13.6%5167
6501.T Hitachi¥5816.00¥398546% above32.9x13.3%6868

Sector report card

Where MMM ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 21, 2026
    3M and AWS collaborate to advance optical connectivity innovation
  • PR Newswire•Oct 6, 2026
    3M Announces Upcoming Investor Event
  • PR Newswire•Sep 21, 2026
    Command DÉCOR Collection Brings Premium Metal Design to Damage-Free Hanging
7 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 20
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-20
View on SEC →
Oct 20
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
Oct 19
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-19
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR