Industrials · Conglomerates · NYSE · United States
$173.46-1.20%
Market cap $89.5BNext earnings 2026-10-20Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 105% above our fair value
Price
$173.46
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$84.75
Model range
$53.12 to $110
Fair value $84.75
Price $173
3 models fit 3M Company Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver66
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinion3M Company Common Stock (MMM)
Fair value (3 models)
$84.75
ACCE price target
$177
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CEST; previously $86.44 since 22 Oct 2026, 10:18 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 21 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST; previously $162 since 19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $173 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
104.7% above
-51.1% to fair value
ACCE score
63
out of 100
Analysts
47% buy
19 covering
P/E
25.9x
forward 17.5x
1-year return
+1.1%
Dividend yield
1.78%
3M Company Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
3M makes a broad range of industrial and consumer products, including abrasives, adhesives, tapes, respirators, safety and industrial filtration, and health care consumables, sold largely to manufacturers around the world. The business rests on a deep catalogue of materials science know-how and a large installed base of specified products, which gives it pricing power and steady demand in less cyclical categories. Revenue growth is slow at 2.5%, so the case depends on margin discipline and portfolio simplification following the separation of its healthcare and consumer units rather than on top-line acceleration. Trading at 17.5 times forward earnings against 25.9 times trailing, the market is pricing in a meaningful earnings recovery, with a 20.3% operating margin and 39.4% gross margin showing the underlying franchise is still profitable. The ROE of 81.9% is inflated by a small equity base after years of buybacks and restructuring charges, so it should be read with care, but the score of 63 out of 100 and the earnings step-up implied by the forward multiple make it worth a deeper look at the cash flow and litigation picture.
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Leveraged balance sheet
Debt/Equity of 2.75 with FCF of $1.4B. Leverage this high leaves little room if earnings soften, and the thin equity base inflates ROE to +81.9%.
moderate
Long-run revenue decline
5y revenue CAGR of -5.0% against +2.5% YoY growth now. One recovering year does not yet reverse a multi-year shrinking top line.
moderate
Trades above model fair value
Price of $173.46 sits 104.7% above the model fair value of $84.75, and 2.0% below the ACCE price target of $177.00. The valuation case rests on the ACCE target rather than on the models.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-22 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Forward P/E of 17.7x sits below the sector median of 23.2x, so the stock is cheaper than its peers on earnings expectations.
Net margin of 11.9% and return on invested capital of 15.1% show the business turns sales and capital into solid profit.
Analysts' mean price target of $189.26 sits 7.8% above the share price, and the latest earnings beat expectations by 4.2%.
Why it could disappoint
Revenue growth of 2.5% this year follows a 5-year average decline of 5.0% per year, so volume growth is not yet proven.
Debt to equity of 2.75 and free cash flow of $1.4B leave little room to absorb further litigation settlements.
Consensus model fair value of $84.75 sits 104.7% below the share price of $173.46, and the reverse DCF implies 7.2% yearly cash flow growth forever.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Walk me through this stock
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where MMM's valuation models land
Price
$173.46
Model fair value
$84.75
Model range
$53.12 to $110
Fair value $84.75
Price $173
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.
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+Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores