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LTC

LTC Properties Inc. Common Stock (LTC) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities · NYSE · United States
$43.75+0.97%
Market cap $2.4BNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 21% above our fair value
Price
$43.75
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$36.09
Model range
$34.79 to $37.39
Fair value $36.09
Price $43.75
2 models fit LTC Properties Inc. Common Stock and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Bronze58
Valued as a REIT (property company): Price to FFO and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionLTC Properties Inc. Common Stock (LTC)
Fair value (2 models)
$36.09
ACCE price target
$44.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CEST; previously $48.82 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CEST.
Price used: $43.75 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: EV/EBITDA comparison and Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
21.2% above
-17.5% to fair value
ACCE score
83
out of 100
Analysts
38% buy
8 covering
P/E
15.2x
forward 12.5x
1-year return
+24.3%
Dividend yield
5.26%

LTC Properties Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

LTC Properties is a healthcare REIT that owns skilled nursing and assisted living facilities, mostly leased on long-term triple-net terms to regional operators, so the tenant carries most of the property-level cost. The structural appeal is the lease structure itself: rent is paid regardless of occupancy swings, and the company's 60.5% gross margin and 32.7% operating margin reflect how little overhead sits between rent collected and earnings. The reported 65.5% revenue growth is a headline that flatters the underlying trend and should be checked against acquisition timing before it is treated as organic. At 15.3 times trailing earnings and 12.5 times forward, the stock prices in a modest recovery in earnings rather than a sharp one, and the 11.8% ROE is adequate for a REIT that carries leverage. The question for a deeper look is how much of the growth came from new acquisitions versus rent escalators on existing leases, and how the tenant base is holding up.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 1 flagAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Short interest elevated
    Short interest sits at 7.2% of shares. That is a meaningful bet against the stock, and it can add volatility on any earnings or dividend surprise.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 65.5% year over year, well above its 10.5% average annual pace over the past five years.
  • The stock offers a 5.8% free cash flow yield and a 5.2% dividend yield at a forward P/E of 12.5x.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on invested capital is only 5.0% and return on equity 11.8%, thin returns for capital tied up in the business.
  • The latest quarter missed expectations, with earnings per share of 0.68 against 0.72 expected, a 5.6% shortfall.
  • Only 38% of covering analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and the analyst mean target of $46.00 sits just 8.7% above the price.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where LTC's valuation models land
Price
$43.75
Model fair value
$36.09
Model range
$34.79 to $37.39
Fair value $36.09
Price $43.75
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
EV/EBITDA comparison
Price to FFO
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish38% buy · 8 covering analysts
● Strong buy 1● Buy 2● Hold 5● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
0 buys · 1 sell
Since Jul 28, 2025, 1 member
Average delay
358 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+0.2%
1 month
+2.8%
3 months
+3.7%
6 months
+14.4%
YTD
+27.3%
1 year
+24.3%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$42.32
20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CESTFair value$36.09$48.82$42.32
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$48.82$36.88$43.20
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$44.00first publication$42.46
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.88$35.25$42.46
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$35.25$35.69$42.43
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$35.69$35.12$42.94
18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$35.12$35.61$43.08
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$35.61$36.04$42.27
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.04$37.93$41.90

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value69Quality81Momentum83Total83
Valuation
Trailing P/E
15.2x
Forward P/E
12.5x
PEG
0.20
P/B
1.85x
EV / Revenue
8.9x
Book value/sh
$23.53
Enterprise value
$3.1B
Profitability
ROE
11.8%
FCF yield
5.77%
ROIC
5.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.79
Dividend yield
5.26%
Beta
0.54

Price

+23.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about LTC

Answered from LTC Properties Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 60% of peers
low 0.0x15.2xhigh 78.2x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -15%12%high 12%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.5%5.3%high 13.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
LTC LTC Properties Inc. Common Stock$43.75$3621% above15.2x11.8%8183
DHC Diversified Healthcare Trust Common Shares of Beneficial Interest$7.86----15.5%2632
PHP.L Primary Health Properties Plc£0.92£176% above15.2x8.1%7660
NHI National Health Investors Inc. Common Stock$67.06$5425% above18.8x10.7%8168
MPT Medical Properties Trust Inc. common stock$2.70----0.6%5039
SBRA Sabra Health Care REIT Inc. Common Stock$19.56--78.2x2.4%4445
THRL.L Target Healthcare REIT Ord£1.15£227% below8.9x10.8%8571

Sector report card

Where LTC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 13, 2026
    LTC’s SHOP Momentum Continues with $95 Million in New Acquisitions
  • Business Wire•Oct 1, 2026
    LTC Declares Its Monthly Common Stock Cash Dividend for the Fourth Quarter of 2026
  • Business Wire•Oct 1, 2026
    LTC Accelerates SHOP Growth With Another $160 Million in Acquisitions
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 25
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-22
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 13
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-11
View on SEC →
Aug 6
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-06
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR