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LNZA

LanzaTech Global Inc. Common Stock (LNZA) fair value

Industrials · Waste Management · NASDAQ · United States
$4.81-3.41%
Market cap $63MNext earnings 2026-11-18Updated Oct 17, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 68% below our fair value
Price
$4.81
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $15.00
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Treated as a cyclical company. None of the usual models had enough data, so this uses Analyst consensus instead.
ACCE opinionLanzaTech Global Inc. Common Stock (LNZA)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$5.20
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $4.81 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
31
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
2 covering
P/E
0.3x
forward -14.1x
1-year return
-81.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%

LanzaTech Global Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

LanzaTech sells gas fermentation technology that converts carbon-rich waste gases, such as industrial off-gas from steel mills and ethanol plants, into ethanol and other fuels and chemicals, and licenses its process to plant owners. The moat is real but thin: the technology is proprietary and the company has several operating installations, yet revenue fell 0.8% and operating margin sits at -109.5%, so the business is still spending well ahead of what it earns. Gross margin of 44.6% and an ROE of 138.7% look strong, but they rest on a small, shrinking revenue base and a low equity figure, so they should not be read as evidence of durable profitability. The near-term catalysts are project commissioning and licensing wins that could turn the model from pilot scale to recurring royalty income, and the shares trade at a 0.3 trailing P/E with a $60M market cap, which signals a market that doubts those milestones will arrive. This is a name for a deep dive on balance sheet runway, cash burn and the timing of commercial plants, not a conclusion on valuation; its 31/100 score and absence from any index reflect that the case is unproven.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026

Next results

Nov 18, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where LNZA's valuation models land
Price
$4.81
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $15.00
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 2 covering analysts
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 2● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+4.1%
1 month
-18.3%
3 months
-13.0%
6 months
-80.7%
YTD
-65.0%
1 year
-81.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$5.20first publication$5.48

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value39Quality61Momentum17Total31
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.3x
Forward P/E
-14.1x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.30x
EV / Revenue
1.0x
Book value/sh
$19.91
Enterprise value
$61M
Profitability
ROE
138.7%
FCF yield
-101.42%
ROIC
no data
Health and risk
Debt / equity
-7.06
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.36

Price

-81.6% · 1Y

Ask anything about LNZA

Answered from LanzaTech Global Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0x0.3xhigh 18.1x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -291%139%high 139%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 3.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
LNZA LanzaTech Global Inc. Common Stock$4.81--0.3x138.7%6131
YDDL One and One Green Technologies. Inc Class A Ordinary Shares$1.20$230% below5.1x30.4%7762
AURE.PA Aurea SA€4.94----4.5%3233
GRI.MC Griñó Ecologic, S.A.€1.45--18.1x5.8%5666
AREC American Resources Corporation Class A Common Stock$1.11----290.7%3122
ENGS Energys Group Limited Ordinary Shares$4.21---0.0%2026
QRHC Quest Resource Holding Corporation Common Stock$1.15----50.3%2148

Sector report card

Where LNZA ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 16, 2026
    LanzaTech Global Inc. CEO Dr. Jennifer Holmgren featured on Water Tower Research Small-Cap Spotlight Podcast
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 14, 2026
    LanzaTech Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
  • GlobeNewswire•Jun 29, 2026
    LanzaTech Announces Inclusion in the Russell 3000® Index
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
21 filings of 34
August 2026
Aug 14
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
Aug 14
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-14
View on SEC →
June 2026
Jun 24
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-06-23
View on SEC →
18 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR