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LEU

Centrus Energy Corp. Class A Common Stock (LEU) fair value

Energy · Uranium · NYSE · United States
$102.45-1.63%
Market cap $2.1BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 23, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 88% above our fair value
Price
$102.45
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$54.59
Model range
$54.18 to $54.94
Fair value $54.59
Price $102
2 models fit Centrus Energy Corp. Class A Common Stock and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionCentrus Energy Corp. Class A Common Stock (LEU)
Fair value (2 models)
$54.59
ACCE price target
$83.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST; previously $57.02 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST; previously $126 since 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 15:05 CEST.
Price used: $102 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
87.7% above
-46.7% to fair value
ACCE score
32
out of 100
Analysts
63% buy
19 covering
P/E
48.7x
forward 114.9x
1-year return
-70.2%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Centrus Energy Corp. Class A Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Centrus Energy supplies enriched uranium fuel for commercial nuclear reactors, operating the Piketon, Ohio enrichment facility and the American Centrifuge technology behind it, and it is one of very few US suppliers able to produce high-assay low-enriched uranium, a product that Western reactor designers increasingly need. The structural case rests on that scarcity: enrichment capacity is slow and expensive to build, and the company is one of the few domestic sources that can meet US government demand under long-term contracts. Revenue grew 14.0% over the trailing period, but the margin profile is thin, with a 23.7% gross margin and only a 5.3% operating margin, and ROE of 8.1% gives little evidence yet that growth is converting into shareholder returns. At 59.4 times trailing earnings and 114.9 times forward earnings, the stock is pricing in a sharp earnings ramp that the forward multiple implies is not yet visible in current estimates. The composite score of 29/100 and the absence of index membership point to a name that screens poorly on current fundamentals despite the policy tailwind, so the deeper look should focus on whether the enrichment contracts and the timing of the high-assay buildout can close that gap.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings collapsing year over year
    Earnings are down 51.6% YoY and 47.5% QoQ while revenue grew 14.0%, so margins are shrinking even as sales rise. A P/E of 53.7 leaves little room for further earnings decline.
  • high
    Heavy short interest
    Short interest stands at 30.3% of the float, a level that signals strong bearish conviction among informed sellers and can amplify volatility in either direction.
  • moderate
    Leveraged balance sheet
    Debt/Equity of 1.59 with free cash flow of only $31M gives limited cushion if earnings keep falling.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-20 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 14.0% year over year and has averaged 12.7% annual growth over five years, a steady pace for a business in this sector.
  • Analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy at 63% (12 of 19), and their mean price target sits well above today's share price.
  • Latest quarterly earnings beat expectations, with earnings per share of 0.77 against 0.74 expected, a surprise of 4.1%.
Why it could disappoint
  • At a forward P/E of 114.9x against a sector median of 16.1x, investors are paying a large premium for future earnings.
  • Free cash flow yield is only 1.3%, and the diluted share count rose 21.7% last year, diluting existing shareholders.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where LEU's valuation models land
Price
$102.45
Model fair value
$54.59
Model range
$54.18 to $54.94
Fair value $54.59
Price $102
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish63% buy · 19 covering analysts
● Strong buy 10● Buy 2● Hold 7● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-10.9%
1 month
-32.3%
3 months
-37.5%
6 months
-50.2%
YTD
-57.8%
1 year
-70.2%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price target$83.00$126$104
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$54.78$57.02$110
18 Oct 2026, 15:05 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$115
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$57.02$56.23$120
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$56.23$62.03$142
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$126first publication$142
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$62.03$60.38$139
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$60.38$61.99$140
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$61.99$62.71$147
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$62.71$65.83$145

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth40Value29Quality41Momentum17Total32
Valuation
Trailing P/E
48.7x
Forward P/E
114.9x
PEG
2.87
P/B
3.82x
EV / Revenue
5.4x
Book value/sh
$42.37
Enterprise value
$2.5B
Profitability
ROE
8.1%
FCF yield
1.47%
ROIC
3.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.59
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.54

Price

-73.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about LEU

Answered from Centrus Energy Corp. Class A Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 25% of peers
low 0.0x48.7xhigh 344.0x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -67%8%high 8%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
LEU Centrus Energy Corp. Class A Common Stock$102.45$5588% above48.7x8.1%4132
PDN.AX Paladin Energy LtdA$7.26--344.0x-1.0%4045
EFR.TO Energy Fuels Inc.C$10.77----11.5%3437
DML.TO Denison Mines Corp.C$3.05----66.8%1722
UROY Uranium Royalty Corp. Common Stock$3.38$417% below8.9x8.5%7764
NXG.AX NexGen Energy Ltd.A$11.89----17.7%2721
NXE Nexgen Energy Ltd. Common Shares$8.10----17.7%2721

Sector report card

Where LEU ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 19, 2026
    Centrus Acquires Westerman Holdings, LLC, Bringing a Key Supplier In-House and Diversifying Its Manufacturing Capacity
  • PR Newswire•Sep 17, 2026
    Centrus and Antares Sign Multi-Year HALEU Supply Contract
  • PR Newswire•Sep 10, 2026
    Centrus Announces Pricing of $500 Million Underwritten Public Offering of Class A Common Stock and Warrants
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 19
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-16
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 17
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-17
View on SEC →
Sep 11
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-09
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR