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KRT

Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock (KRT) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers · NASDAQ · United States
$53.00-1.56%
Market cap $1.1BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 24, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 44% above our fair value
Price
$53.00
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$36.73
Model range
$29.74 to $48.87
Fair value $36.73
Price $53.00
3 models fit Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze56
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionKarat Packaging Inc. Common Stock (KRT)
Fair value (3 models)
$36.73
ACCE price target
$50.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $56.61 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $53.00 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
44.3% above
-30.7% to fair value
ACCE score
73
out of 100
Analysts
67% buy
3 covering
P/E
21.2x
forward 22.7x
1-year return
+110.2%
Dividend yield
3.49%

Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Karat Packaging distributes disposable foodservice products, including takeout containers, cups, cutlery and gloves, sourced largely from Asian manufacturers and sold to restaurants and cleaning-supply channels in the US and Canada. The core advantage is a broad, stocked catalogue that lets small and mid-sized operators buy a full set of consumables from one supplier, which supports the ROE of 30.6%. Revenue growth of 9.9% is the figure to watch, since it reflects the company's ability to keep adding customers and categories in a market still dominated by fragmented local distributors. At a P/E of 21.5 on a 35.5% gross margin, the market is paying for that compounding rather than for a turnaround, so the case rests on whether operating margin, currently 8.7%, can widen as volumes scale. A forward P/E of 0.0 means no usable forward estimate is in the data, so the valuation case needs to be built from the historical margin trajectory before going further.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Insider selling heavy
    Insiders sold $69.86M across the last 10 disclosed transactions against only $0.03M of buys, and insiders already own 58.1% of the company.
  • moderate
    Revenue growth slowing
    Revenue grew 9.9% year over year, below the 9.6% five-year CAGR only marginally, and was up just 1.2% quarter over quarter.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 9.9% over the last year, slightly ahead of its 9.6% average annual pace across five years.
  • Return on equity of 30.6% shows the business turns shareholder money into profit at an unusually high rate.
  • Free cash flow of $29M over the last twelve months and a 3.5% dividend yield give shareholders a tangible cash return.
Why it could disappoint
  • At 23.2x forward earnings against a sector median of 17.9x, the stock carries a clear valuation premium.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $46.50 sits 13.8% below the current price, and one earnings surprise of 190.0% is unlikely to repeat.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where KRT's valuation models land
Price
$53.00
Model fair value
$36.73
Model range
$29.74 to $48.87
Fair value $36.73
Price $53.00
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish67% buy · 3 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 0● Hold 0● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-0.6%
1 month
-0.1%
3 months
+34.1%
6 months
+81.4%
YTD
+134.8%
1 year
+110.2%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$53.00
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value$36.73$56.61$53.00
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$56.61$55.96$54.21
13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$50.00first publication$54.58
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$55.96$46.23$54.58
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$46.23$47.12$53.69
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$47.12$30.63$53.09
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$30.63$30.32$54.16
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$30.32$30.66$46.94
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$30.66$49.47$46.77

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth76Value45Quality74Momentum97Total73
Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.2x
Forward P/E
22.7x
PEG
0.12
P/B
6.16x
EV / Revenue
2.1x
Book value/sh
$8.36
Enterprise value
$1.0B
Profitability
ROE
30.6%
FCF yield
2.77%
ROIC
11.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.53
Dividend yield
3.49%
Beta
0.76

Price

+112.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about KRT

Answered from Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0x21.2xhigh 23.8x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -118%31%high 31%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%3.5%high 5.9%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
KRT Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock$53.00$3744% above21.2x30.6%7473
OI O-I Glass Inc. Common Stock$6.47----118.3%1834
MYE Myers Industries Inc. Common Stock$32.13$2154% above23.8x17.2%6077
ORA.AX Orora LimitedA$1.53A$27% below--25.5%4042
TRS TriMas Corporation Common Stock$39.60--16.2x7.7%5755
ZV.MI Zignago Vetro S.p.A.€6.41--16.0x10.0%5956
WPK.TO Winpak Ltd.C$43.58C$5013% below13.7x10.2%6664

Sector report card

Where KRT ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 19, 2026
    Karat Packaging to Present at Lake Street’s 10th Annual Best Ideas Growth Conference, September 10
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 6, 2026
    Karat Packaging Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 5, 2026
    Karat Packaging Board Increases Quarterly Cash Dividend
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
29 filings of 38
September 2026
Sep 8
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-04
View on SEC →
Sep 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-01
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 21
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-20
View on SEC →
26 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR