Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
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Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionKlarna Group plc Ordinary Shares (KLAR)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$14.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $12.81 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
43
out of 100
Analysts
42% buy
24 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 15.0x
1-year return
-65.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Klarna Group plc Ordinary Shares in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Klarna runs the buy-now-pay-later checkout that sits inside retailer sites and apps, along with the Klarna card, its in-store payments and a consumer banking app that bundles them together. The structural draw is the merchant network: once a retailer integrates Klarna, consumers see it at the moment of purchase, which is where most of the lending and fee revenue is generated. Revenue grew 26.6% over the last year, and at a 36.8% gross margin the business has room to convert that top line into profit as credit losses and funding costs stabilise, though the 3.0% operating margin shows how thin that conversion still is. The shares trade at a forward P/E of about 15, which looks modest only if the margin expansion arrives on schedule, and the negative 4.3% ROE means the equity base has not yet earned its keep. The name is worth a deeper look for the margin trajectory and credit performance, not the growth rate alone, and the score of 42 out of 100 suggests the bear case still carries real weight.
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Negative free cash flow
Free cash flow is -$1.035B against a $5.3B market cap, and net margin is -3.5%. The business is burning cash while revenue grows 26.6%, so growth is not yet converting to cash.
moderate
Elevated short interest
Short interest sits at 13.3% of float. That is a meaningful bet against the stock, and it can amplify moves in either direction.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Klarna's revenue grew 26.6% over the past year, well ahead of its 21.4% average annual growth across five years.
Analysts' mean price target of $19.54 sits 41.0% above the $13.86 share price, and 42% of covering analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy.
The latest quarter beat expectations, with earnings per share of 0.01 against a forecast loss of 0.07, a 114.3% surprise.
Why it could disappoint
Klarna's net margin is -3.5% and its return on equity is -4.3%, so it still loses money on the revenue it brings in.
Free cash flow over the last twelve months was -$1.0B, and the free cash flow yield of -19.4% shows the business is consuming cash, not generating it.
Shares rose 2.1% in dilution last fiscal year, so existing holders own a slightly smaller piece of the company each year.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Nov 17, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where KLAR's valuation models land
Price
$12.81
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $25.87
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Analyst consensus
Sales comps
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Quality
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