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KLAR

Klarna Group plc Ordinary Shares (KLAR) fair value

Financial Services · Credit Services · NYSE · United States
$12.81-3.17%
Market cap $5.0BNext earnings 2026-11-17Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 50% below our fair value
Price
$12.81
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $25.87
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionKlarna Group plc Ordinary Shares (KLAR)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$14.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $12.81 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
43
out of 100
Analysts
42% buy
24 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 15.0x
1-year return
-65.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Klarna Group plc Ordinary Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Klarna runs the buy-now-pay-later checkout that sits inside retailer sites and apps, along with the Klarna card, its in-store payments and a consumer banking app that bundles them together. The structural draw is the merchant network: once a retailer integrates Klarna, consumers see it at the moment of purchase, which is where most of the lending and fee revenue is generated. Revenue grew 26.6% over the last year, and at a 36.8% gross margin the business has room to convert that top line into profit as credit losses and funding costs stabilise, though the 3.0% operating margin shows how thin that conversion still is. The shares trade at a forward P/E of about 15, which looks modest only if the margin expansion arrives on schedule, and the negative 4.3% ROE means the equity base has not yet earned its keep. The name is worth a deeper look for the margin trajectory and credit performance, not the growth rate alone, and the score of 42 out of 100 suggests the bear case still carries real weight.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    Free cash flow is -$1.035B against a $5.3B market cap, and net margin is -3.5%. The business is burning cash while revenue grows 26.6%, so growth is not yet converting to cash.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest sits at 13.3% of float. That is a meaningful bet against the stock, and it can amplify moves in either direction.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Klarna's revenue grew 26.6% over the past year, well ahead of its 21.4% average annual growth across five years.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $19.54 sits 41.0% above the $13.86 share price, and 42% of covering analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy.
  • The latest quarter beat expectations, with earnings per share of 0.01 against a forecast loss of 0.07, a 114.3% surprise.
Why it could disappoint
  • Klarna's net margin is -3.5% and its return on equity is -4.3%, so it still loses money on the revenue it brings in.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was -$1.0B, and the free cash flow yield of -19.4% shows the business is consuming cash, not generating it.
  • Shares rose 2.1% in dilution last fiscal year, so existing holders own a slightly smaller piece of the company each year.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 17, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where KLAR's valuation models land
Price
$12.81
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $25.87
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Sales comps
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed42% buy · 24 covering analysts
● Strong buy 9● Buy 1● Hold 14● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
1 buy · 0 sells
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-1.6%
1 month
-1.0%
3 months
-26.2%
6 months
-9.0%
YTD
-55.7%
1 year
-65.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$14.00first publication$14.06
8 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$13.11$13.28$19.75
16 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$13.28$13.02$19.41
2 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$13.02first publication$19.95

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth52Value58Quality35Momentum25Total43
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
15.0x
PEG
0.08
P/B
2.00x
EV / Revenue
0.6x
Book value/sh
$6.44
Enterprise value
$2.3B
Profitability
ROE
-4.3%
FCF yield
-20.63%
ROIC
-6.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.57
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
no data

Price

-66.6% · 1Y

Ask anything about KLAR

Answered from Klarna Group plc Ordinary Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 32.7x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -4%-4%high 89%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 8.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
KLAR Klarna Group plc Ordinary Shares$12.81----4.3%3543
SLMBP SLM Corporation Floating Rate Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock Series B$71.44--32.7x30.3%8653
SEZL Sezzle Inc. Common Stock$139.30$10829% above29.9x88.8%9186
SUNDARMFIN.NS Sundaram Finance Limited₹4064.60--19.8x-7662
SBICARD.NS SBI Cards and Payment Services Limited₹566.30--22.8x-6155
8572.T Acom Co., Ltd.¥448.90--10.8x9.3%7355
CACC Credit Acceptance Corporation Common Stock$558.90$81431% below12.0x31.9%8275

Sector report card

Where KLAR ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 6, 2026
    Wayfair and Klarna Deepen Ties With More Flexible Payment Options Across U.S. and Canada
  • PR Newswire•Sep 10, 2026
    Flex Dental Solutions Launches Buy Now, Pay Later with Affirm and Klarna, and Surcharging, Inside FlexPayments
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 10, 2026
    Solidgate Partners with Klarna to Bring Flexible Payments to Merchants Across Europe
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
32 filings
September 2026
Sep 23
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 28
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-26
View on SEC →
Aug 18
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
29 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR