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KGS

Kodiak Gas Services Inc. Common Stock (KGS) fair value

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · NYSE · United States
$44.31+0.54%
Market cap $4.5BNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Oct 23, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 9% above our fair value
Price
$44.31
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$40.51
Model range
$39.48 to $42.51
Fair value $40.51
Price $44.31
3 models fit Kodiak Gas Services Inc. Common Stock and they agree: 3 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Bronze40
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionKodiak Gas Services Inc. Common Stock (KGS)
Fair value (3 models)
$40.51
ACCE price target
$51.70
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 10:03 CEST; previously $41.63 since 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 23 Oct 2026, 10:03 CEST.
Price used: $44.31 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
9.4% above
-8.6% to fair value
ACCE score
61
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
15 covering
P/E
57.2x
forward 19.7x
1-year return
+25.7%
Dividend yield
4.00%

Kodiak Gas Services Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Kodiak Gas Services rents and services natural gas compression units, the large skid-mounted engines that keep gas moving through pipelines and processing plants, and it is the largest pure-play compression fleet operator in the US. The moat is the fleet itself: the compressors are expensive to build, hard to site, and sit on multi-year contracts, so incumbents rarely lose share to newcomers. Revenue grew 21.1% over the latest period, and a 63.8% gross margin and 34.2% operating margin point to strong pricing on the installed base. The trailing P/E of 57.6 looks stretched, but the forward P/E of 19.7 implies earnings are expected to climb sharply, which is the number to test. Return on equity is only 4.6%, so the case rests on growth and cash generation rather than current profitability. At a 4.8 billion dollar market cap and with no index membership, the name is small enough to be overlooked, and the score of 62 out of 100 suggests it is worth a deeper look at the contract backlog and leverage.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Rich trailing valuation
    Trailing P/E of 62.2 sits far above the 19.7 forward P/E, so the stock relies on earnings growth arriving as expected. Net margin is only 5.8%.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest is 9.8% of shares outstanding. Insiders disclosed $2.05M in sales and no buys over the last 10 filings.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analysts are unanimous, with all 15 rating the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and their mean target sits well above the current price.
  • Revenue grew 21.1% over the past year, and has averaged 19.7% a year over five years.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $284M, and the stock offers a 5.3% free cash flow yield.
Why it could disappoint
  • The forward P/E of 19.7x is above the sector median of 16.0x, and the trailing P/E is 62.2x.
  • Return on equity is only 4.6%, and the diluted share count rose 2.7% last fiscal year, diluting existing holders.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where KGS's valuation models land
Price
$44.31
Model fair value
$40.51
Model range
$39.48 to $42.51
Fair value $40.51
Price $44.31
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 15 covering analysts
● Strong buy 10● Buy 5● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-6.1%
1 month
-16.9%
3 months
-25.0%
6 months
-32.8%
YTD
+18.5%
1 year
+25.7%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 10:03 CESTRatingFairly valuedOvervalued$44.07
23 Oct 2026, 10:03 CESTFair value$40.51$41.63$44.07
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$47.21
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTFair value$41.63$29.64$47.21
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$29.64$27.37$53.47
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$51.70first publication$53.57
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$27.37$26.81$52.72
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$26.81$27.65$52.91
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$27.65$28.43$53.30
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.43$28.80$58.73

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth80Value52Quality71Momentum39Total61
Valuation
Trailing P/E
57.2x
Forward P/E
19.7x
PEG
2.46
P/B
2.49x
EV / Revenue
5.8x
Book value/sh
$21.41
Enterprise value
$8.1B
Profitability
ROE
4.6%
FCF yield
6.38%
ROIC
5.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.04
Dividend yield
4.00%
Beta
0.94

Price

+23.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about KGS

Answered from Kodiak Gas Services Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 11.2x57.2xhigh 371.8x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -1%5%high 35%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%4.0%high 4.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
KGS Kodiak Gas Services Inc. Common Stock$44.31$419% above57.2x4.6%7161
WHD Cactus Inc. Class A Common Stock$63.15$4153% above53.1x13.1%7270
TDW Tidewater Inc. Common Stock$86.07$5752% above16.2x19.4%8059
AROC Archrock Inc. Common Stock$29.12$2234% above15.7x22.2%8150
WBI WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC Class A Shares Representing Limited Liability Company Interests$29.74--371.8x-1.3%5662
OII Oceaneering International Inc. Common Stock$39.27$3128% above11.2x34.6%7370
WFRD Weatherford International plc Ordinary Shares$86.85$6533% above16.0x23.3%6456

Sector report card

Where KGS ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 21, 2026
    Kodiak Gas Services Announces Power Supply Agreement with West Texas Data Center
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 8, 2026
    Kodiak Gas Services, Baker Hughes Announce Multi-Year Gas Turbine Order Agreement to Support U.S. Data Center Growth
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 13
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-12
View on SEC →
Oct 6
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-05
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 28
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-04-01
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR