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JAZZ
ACCE-researched

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc Common Stock (Ireland) (JAZZ) fair value

Healthcare · Biotechnology · NASDAQ · United States
$214.00-0.30%
Market cap $13.9BNext earnings 2026-11-02Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 47% below our fair value
Price
$214.00
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$407
Model range
$312 to $517
Fair value $407
Price $214
2 models fit Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc Common Stock (Ireland) and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Gold88
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionJazz Pharmaceuticals plc Common Stock (Ireland) (JAZZ)
Fair value (2 models)
$407
ACCE price target
$283
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST; previously $377 since 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: $214 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
47.4% below
+90.0% to fair value
ACCE score
75
out of 100
Analysts
91% buy
22 covering
P/E
14.5x
forward 10.9x
1-year return
+54.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc Common Stock (Ireland) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Jazz Pharmaceuticals makes Xywav and Xyrem, its franchise treatments for narcolepsy and idiopathic hypersomnia, alongside oncology products such as Zepzelca and Ziihera. The sleep franchise gives the company a concentrated, specialty-prescribed revenue base with high switching costs and very strong pricing power, which is visible in the 91.4% gross margin. Revenue growth of 15.5% and a 26.9% operating margin show the business converting that pricing into profit, while the 22.1% ROE indicates good use of shareholder capital. At a 14.4 trailing P/E against an 8.1 forward P/E, the market is pricing in a sharp expected earnings step-up, so the case rests on whether that step-up arrives and whether Xywav's growth holds up against generic pressure on Xyrem. The name merits a deeper look to test those earnings estimates and the franchise's durability.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings growth deceleration
    Earnings YoY +3.2% vs revenue +15.5% signals margin pressure or one-time headwinds. Operating leverage absent despite strong top-line growth.
  • moderate
    Elevated leverage
    Debt/Equity 1.26 is material for biotech. Combined with $1.1B FCF, serviceable but limits financial flexibility for M&A or downturns.
  • moderate
    Short interest at 8.7%
    Above-average short position warrants monitoring for catalyst-driven volatility or thesis challenges not yet reflected in fundamentals.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 16, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • The company generates 8.1% free cash flow yield on a $1.1B annual base, providing a strong cash return to shareholders.
  • Jazz has reduced share count by 7.6% while maintaining 20.4% net margins and 22.1% ROE, demonstrating disciplined capital allocation.
Why it could disappoint
  • Jazz's negative 3.0% ROIC means the company destroys shareholder value on its invested capital base despite strong margins.
  • Debt to equity of 1.26 is elevated and constrains financial flexibility if revenue growth slows or cash flow disappoints.
  • The stock's implied 5.2% cash flow growth over five years trails the 15.5% current revenue growth, signaling deceleration priced in.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 2, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where JAZZ's valuation models land
Price
$214.00
Model fair value
$407
Model range
$312 to $517
Fair value $407
Price $214
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish91% buy · 22 covering analysts
● Strong buy 13● Buy 7● Hold 2● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+1.8%
1 month
-8.9%
3 months
-15.7%
6 months
+8.9%
YTD
+25.9%
1 year
+54.9%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $JAZZ ACCE Score Jumps 11 Points to 78 - What Drove It
    Jazz Pharmaceuticals' ACCE composite score rose from 67 to 78. Here's what the data shows about quality, momentum, and fair value behind the move.
    2026-08-06

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$214
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTFair value$407$377$214
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$377$322$218
6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$322$327$236
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$327$333$238
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$283first publication$236
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$333$338$235
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$338$342$241
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$342$348$246
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$348$352$241

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value83Quality86Momentum68Total75
Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.5x
Forward P/E
10.9x
PEG
0.96
P/B
3.25x
EV / Revenue
3.9x
Book value/sh
$74.10
Enterprise value
$17.5B
Profitability
ROE
22.1%
FCF yield
8.33%
ROIC
-3.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.26
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.37

Price

+54.5% · 1Y

Ask anything about JAZZ

Answered from Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc Common Stock (Ireland) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 14.5x14.5xhigh 256.0x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low -1790%22%high 174%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc Common Stock (Ireland)$214.00$40747% below14.5x22.1%8675
HALO Halozyme Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock$124.54$10518% above36.5x173.7%8284
BBIO BridgeBio Pharma Inc. Common Stock$68.12----1789.7%2939
SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock $15.55----192.5%3124
EXEL Exelixis Inc. Common Stock$65.31$695% below20.4x44.4%10083
ASND Ascendis Pharma A/S American Depositary Shares$242.99--18.3x118.8%8263
CORT Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated Common Stock$107.50$38180% above256.0x8.2%7573

Sector report card

Where JAZZ ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 13, 2026
    Claritas Rx Appoints Biopharma Commercial Leader Jonathan Witt to Board of Directors
  • PR Newswire•Oct 6, 2026
    CNBC's Becky Quick to Moderate CEO Leadership Dialogue on the Next Decade of Rare Disease at the NORD Breakthrough Summit
  • PR Newswire•Sep 2, 2026
    Jazz Pharmaceuticals to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 9
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-06
View on SEC →
Oct 7
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-06
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR