4 models fit Hubbell Inc Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionHubbell Inc Common Stock (HUBB)
Fair value (4 models)
$288
ACCE price target
$470
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $296 since 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $448 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
55.7% above
-35.8% to fair value
ACCE score
54
out of 100
Analysts
50% buy
14 covering
P/E
26.5x
forward 19.4x
1-year return
+3.4%
Dividend yield
1.27%
Hubbell Inc Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Hubbell makes electrical and utility connectivity products, including connectors, grounding and lightning protection gear, utility distribution and transmission components, and industrial controls, sold largely into utility grids, data centers and commercial construction. Its franchise rests on specified-product positions with utilities and electrical contractors, where a component is engineered into a design and rarely switched out, which supports the 35.3% gross margin and 24.4% ROE. The near-term driver is grid and data center spending, and revenue growth of 15.3% is running well ahead of what most of the electrical equipment peer group delivers. At 20.6x forward earnings against a trailing 28.1x, the market is pricing in a meaningful earnings step-up, so the question for the portfolio is whether that step-up is already visible in order trends. The score of 56/100 and absence from any major index suggest it is not yet a crowded idea, so this merits a deeper look at backlog and utility capex guidance before any conclusion.
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
ACCE score collapse
Score fell 12 points in 90 days (66 to 54). Growth and Valuation subcomponents particularly weak (52 and 47). Suggests deteriorating fundamentals or multiple compression.
high
Earnings decline amid revenue growth
Revenue up 15.3% YoY but earnings down 0.9%. Indicates margin pressure or one-time charges. Operating margin of 21.7% masks underlying profitability headwind.
moderate
Elevated leverage
Debt/Equity of 1.42 is material for an industrial cyclical. Combined with earnings stagnation, limits financial flexibility if demand softens.
moderate
Valuation stretched vs model
Current price near top of $390-$540 range. Limited upside cushion if growth concerns persist.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-09 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Revenue growth of 15.3% year over year far exceeds the 5.7% five-year average, signaling strong operational momentum.
Return on equity of 24.4% and net margin of 14.5% demonstrate Hubbell generates exceptional returns on shareholder capital.
Free cash flow of 496 million dollars with share count down 0.8% shows disciplined capital allocation and per-share value accretion.
Why it could disappoint
Consensus fair value of 296.28 dollars sits 37.5% below the current share price of 474.11 dollars, indicating significant overvaluation.
Forward P/E of 20.6x trades below the sector median of 23.7x, yet the stock commands a trailing P/E of 28.1x suggesting stretched current earnings.
Free cash flow yield of 2.0% is thin relative to the 5.2% risk-free rate, offering poor compensation for equity risk.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Oct 27, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
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Where HUBB's valuation models land
Price
$448.10
Model fair value
$288
Model range
$165 to $484
Fair value $288
Price $448
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
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+Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores