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HNI

HNI Corporation Common Stock (HNI) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · NYSE · United States
$47.57-1.33%
Market cap $3.4BNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Oct 18, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 13% above our fair value
Price
$47.57
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$42.27
Model range
$25.02 to $76.60
Fair value $42.27
Price $47.57
3 models fit HNI Corporation Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Bronze59
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionHNI Corporation Common Stock (HNI)
Fair value (3 models)
$42.27
ACCE price target
$55.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $41.45 since 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $47.57 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
12.5% above
-11.1% to fair value
ACCE score
64
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
2 covering
1-year return
+6.2%
Dividend yield
2.90%

HNI Corporation Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

HNI Corporation makes office seating and workplace furniture, including its Allsteel, Gunlocke and HON lines, and its Hearth segment sells residential fireplaces and related products. The business sells largely into commercial office buyers, which gives it a real switching-cost and dealer-network moat in institutional contract furniture. Revenue growth of 120.7% is almost certainly distorted by an acquisition or a base effect, so it should not be read as organic momentum without checking the bridge. At a forward P/E of 10.0 against a trailing P/E of 0.0 (a sign the trailing earnings base is depressed or distorted), with a gross margin of 41.9% and an operating margin of 8.2%, the valuation rests on whether margins recover; the 0.3% ROE says the equity base is not yet earning much, so the case needs a deeper look at the earnings bridge before any conviction.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Earnings declining despite revenue jump
    Revenue growth of 120.7% YoY sits alongside earnings down 31.5% YoY and a net margin of 0.1%, so top-line growth is not reaching the bottom line.
  • moderate
    Insider selling with no buys
    Insiders sold $4.65M across the last 10 disclosed transactions and bought $0.00M, a one-directional pattern worth noting.
  • moderate
    Thin return on equity
    ROE of 0.3% and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.89 mean the balance sheet is carrying leverage without generating meaningful returns for shareholders.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 19, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analysts are unanimous, with both covering analysts rating the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and their mean price target sits well above the share price.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 10.0x against a sector median of 18.1x, and it pays a dividend yield of 2.9%.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $210M, which gives a free cash flow yield of 6.2% at the current price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin is only 0.1% and return on equity is 0.3%, so the business is barely turning its sales into profit for shareholders.
  • Return on invested capital of 1.3% is thin, and debt to equity of 0.89 leaves less room to absorb a downturn in office furniture and housing demand.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where HNI's valuation models land
Price
$47.57
Model fair value
$42.27
Model range
$25.02 to $76.60
Fair value $42.27
Price $47.57
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 2 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 0● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+1.5%
1 month
+0.9%
3 months
+14.3%
6 months
+26.2%
YTD
+13.2%
1 year
+6.2%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$46.86
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value$42.27$41.45$46.86
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$41.45$34.98$47.29
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$55.00first publication$46.86
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$34.98$35.47$46.91
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$35.47$36.37$45.32
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.37$37.25$46.70
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$37.25$23.85$46.87
2 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$23.85$24.23$48.43
25 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$24.23$24.55$48.27

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value64Quality46Momentum83Total64
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
10.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.91x
EV / Revenue
1.1x
Book value/sh
$25.01
Enterprise value
$4.9B
Profitability
ROE
0.3%
FCF yield
6.13%
ROIC
1.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.89
Dividend yield
2.90%
Beta
0.92

Price

+5.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about HNI

Answered from HNI Corporation Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 20% of peers
low -11%0%high 110%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%2.9%high 4.8%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
HNI HNI Corporation Common Stock$47.57$4213% above-0.3%4664
VOLTAS.NS Voltas Limited₹950.00--70.0x-5646
SK.PA SEB SA€53.80€6922% below24.7x4.9%3053
BRG.AX Breville Group LimitedA$31.27A$1692% above33.3x13.6%6854
5947.T Rinnai Corporation¥3494.00--13.5x9.2%6360
ALH Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. Common Stock$21.30$1359% above23.9x109.8%6453
ELUX-A.ST AB Electrolux (publ)kr 28.60kr 4333% below--11.4%1334

Sector report card

Where HNI ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 21, 2026
    Allsteel and Certified Professional Ergonomist Dr. Lauren Gant on Maximizing Workplace Wellness for National Ergonomics Month 2026
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 25, 2026
    Allsteel Elevates Office Materiality with Zero-Waste Knit Innovation
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 17, 2026
    HNI Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 16
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-14
View on SEC →
Sep 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-28
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 28
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-26
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR