Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
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Valued as a loss-making company: Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionHF Foods Group Inc. Common Stock (HFFG)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$1.50
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $1.48 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
40
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
2 covering
1-year return
-38.1%
Dividend yield
0.00%
HF Foods Group Inc. Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
HF Foods Group distributes Asian and Hispanic food products, including fresh and frozen proteins, produce and dry goods, mainly to restaurants across the US, with a small operating margin of 0.9% on a 16.6% gross margin. At an 86M market cap and revenue growing 2.8%, the stock trades at a forward P/E of 3.8, but a negative 15.3% ROE and a reported P/E of 0.0 mean the earnings base is too unstable to value with confidence. Scale in a fragmented, low-margin distribution business is the main structural argument, yet the thin operating margin leaves little room for error on working capital or customer concentration. The name merits a deeper look only if the balance sheet and cash conversion can be verified, since the headline multiple is cheap for reasons that need explaining. With a score of 40/100 and no index membership, it sits outside most screens, which is part of why the valuation gap is worth checking rather than assuming.
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Thin margins, net loss
Operating margin is 0.9% and net margin is -2.8% on a 16.6% gross margin, so most gross profit is consumed by costs. ROE of -15.3% confirms the bottom line is still negative.
high
Score down 9 points in 90 days
The ACCE score fell from 49 to 40 over 90 days, with quality at 26 and momentum at 17. Revenue growth has slowed to 2.8% year on year.
moderate
Leverage and debt load
Debt/Equity of 1.10 sits alongside only $7M of free cash flow against an $83M market cap. Thin operating margins leave little room if revenue softens.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Revenue grew 2.8% over the past year, and the company has averaged 16.7% annual growth across five years.
Free cash flow over the last twelve months was $7M, a 7.9% yield at the current share price of $1.48.
Why it could disappoint
The company lost money on sales, with a net margin of -2.8% and a return on equity of -15.3%.
Debt stands at 1.10 times equity, and the share count rose 0.8% last fiscal year, diluting holders.
Return on invested capital of -7.5% shows the business is currently destroying value on the capital it uses.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Nov 9, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where HFFG's valuation models land
Price
$1.48
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $5.67
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
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Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.
+A plain reason under every score
+Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores