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HESM

Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests (HESM) fair value

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream · NYSE · United States
$30.61+1.90%
Market cap $6.3BNext earnings 2026-11-02Updated Oct 17, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 13% below our fair value
Price
$30.61
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$35.15
Model range
$24.69 to $50.96
Fair value $35.15
Price $30.61
4 models fit Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionHess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests (HESM)
Fair value (4 models)
$35.15
ACCE price target
$34.30
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $47.39 since 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $30.61 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, Dividend discount, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
12.9% below
+14.8% to fair value
ACCE score
55
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
7 covering
P/E
10.6x
forward 11.0x
1-year return
-9.3%
Dividend yield
10.28%

Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Hess Midstream owns and operates gathering, processing and storage assets in the Bakken and Williston Basin, moving crude oil, natural gas and water for Hess and third-party producers under long-term, fee-based contracts. Its operating margin of 63.5% and gross margin of 77.5% reflect that fee structure, and the business is priced at roughly 10 times forward earnings with a $6.3 billion market cap. Revenue fell 3.7%, so the case rests on contract durability and cash generation rather than top-line growth, and the sustained drop in volumes from the Bakken would be the first thing to test. The 150.7% ROE is inflated by a small equity base and should not be read as evidence of exceptional capital efficiency. A deeper look is warranted to size the contracted acreage dedication from Hess and its parent's drilling plans, and to compare distributions against free cash flow after maintenance capex.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Revenue shrinking year on year
    Revenue fell 3.7% year on year, and the score dropped 11 points over 90 days (68 to 57). Growth is the weakest pillar at 19.
  • moderate
    Leverage elevated
    Debt/Equity is 6.64, so the balance sheet is heavily geared even with $728M of free cash flow. Position sizing should reflect that.
  • moderate
    Insider selling without buying
    Last 10 disclosed insider transactions total $5.45M in sales and $0.00M in buys.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • The stock trades at a 10.9% free cash flow yield, which is high for a business producing steady cash flow.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $34.83 sits above the current $31.20 share price.
  • Earnings per share beat expectations, coming in at 0.75 against 0.69 expected.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 3.7% over the past year, breaking from a five-year average of 8.2% annual growth.
  • No covering analyst rates the stock Buy or Strong Buy, with zero of seven recommending it.
  • Debt is 6.64 times equity, and the diluted share count rose 38.3% last fiscal year, diluting existing holders.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 2, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where HESM's valuation models land
Price
$30.61
Model fair value
$35.15
Model range
$24.69 to $50.96
Fair value $35.15
Price $30.61
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 7 covering analysts
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 4● Sell 1● Strong sell 2
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-0.2%
1 month
-21.1%
3 months
-24.7%
6 months
-18.0%
YTD
-11.3%
1 year
-9.3%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$35.15$47.39$30.66
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$47.39$55.66$32.37
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$34.30first publication$34.00
9 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$55.66$56.93$33.03
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$56.93$56.30$38.69
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$56.30$55.62$37.75
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$55.62$56.52$37.63
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$56.52$58.13$38.25
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$58.13$59.00$39.17
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$59.00$60.06$40.16

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth19Value93Quality82Momentum25Total55
Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.6x
Forward P/E
11.0x
PEG
7.65
P/B
9.67x
EV / Revenue
5.4x
Book value/sh
$4.01
Enterprise value
$8.7B
Profitability
ROE
150.7%
FCF yield
11.37%
ROIC
6.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
6.64
Dividend yield
10.28%
Beta
0.56

Price

-9.5% · 1Y

Ask anything about HESM

Answered from Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 6.2x10.6xhigh 31.2x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low 10%151%high 151%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.4%10.3%high 10.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
HESM Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests$30.61$3513% below10.6x150.7%8255
VPK.AS Koninklijke Vopak N.V.€52.50€4615% above12.6x15.4%8173
SOBO.TO South Bow CorporationC$48.36C$2870% above16.3x17.3%7273
SOBO South Bow Corporation Common Shares$34.57$1982% above16.1x17.3%7271
INSW International Seaways Inc. Common Stock $108.42$6958% above6.9x37.4%10093
CMBT CMB.TECH NV Ordinary Shares$18.08$181% below6.2x29.6%8287
GLNG Golar Lng Ltd$44.03$15200% above31.2x10.1%7659

Sector report card

Where HESM ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 6, 2026
    Hess Midstream LP Announces Transformative Transaction Leading to New Independent Multi-basin Midstream Company
  • Business Wire•Oct 6, 2026
    Chevron to Divest its Ownership Interests in Hess Midstream and DJ Basin Crude Midstream Assets
  • Business Wire•Aug 3, 2026
    Hess Midstream LP Reports Estimated Results for the Second Quarter of 2026
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
15 filings of 40
May 2026
May 7
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-03-31
View on SEC →
May 4
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-05-04
View on SEC →
March 2026
Mar 10
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-03-08
View on SEC →
12 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR