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GPGI

GPGI Inc. Class A Common Stock (GPGI) fair value

Industrials · Metal Fabrication · NYSE · United States
$11.34-9.64%
Market cap $3.3BNext earnings 2026-11-02Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 24% below our fair value
Price
$11.34
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $15.00
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a pre-revenue company: Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionGPGI Inc. Class A Common Stock (GPGI)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$12.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $11.34 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
25
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
1 covering
1-year return
-45.0%
Dividend yield
0.08%

GPGI Inc. Class A Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

GPGI Inc. Class A is a metal fabrication name in Industrials carrying a $3.7B market cap, but the figures you've given point to a reporting or data problem rather than an operating business you can underwrite: revenue growth of -100%, an operating margin of roughly -342,000%, and a gross margin of 195.8% cannot all describe the same company in the same period. The 0.0 trailing P/E and 11.0 forward P/E are similarly hard to reconcile with a loss-making, ROE of -20.6% profile, so the earnings base is either near zero or distorted. Its composite score of 25/100 and absence from any index are consistent with a thinly followed name where the underlying filings need checking before any valuation work starts. Pull the audited income statement and the share count behind that market cap, and confirm whether the revenue line has been restated, before this earns more of the team's time.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • severe
    Revenue collapse and negative FCF
    Revenue growth is reported at -100.0% YoY with a 5-year revenue CAGR of -25.5%, and free cash flow is $-23,269,000. Operating margin of -342212.5% signals the core business is not generating income.
  • high
    Negative ROE and unreliable margins
    ROE is -20.6% and the operating margin is -342212.5%, while the gross margin reads +195.8%. Those figures are internally inconsistent and suggest the reported financials cannot be relied on without checking the filings.
  • high
    Short interest elevated
    Short interest stands at 18.3% of shares. Combined with the ACCE score falling from 30 to 25 over 90 days, the market is positioned against the stock.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analysts' mean price target of $15.00 sits 17.6% above the current share price, suggesting some expect upside.
  • The latest quarter beat expectations, with earnings per share of 0.15 against 0.13 expected, a 15.4% surprise.
  • At a forward P/E of 11.0x, the shares are priced at a modest multiple of expected earnings.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 100.0% year over year, and the 5-year average annual revenue growth is -25.5%, a steep long-term decline.
  • Free cash flow over the last 12 months was -$23M, and the free cash flow yield is -0.6%, so the business is burning cash.
  • The diluted share count rose 151.1% in the last fiscal year, heavily diluting existing shareholders' stakes.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 2, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where GPGI's valuation models land
Price
$11.34
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $15.00
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
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Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

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  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 1 covering analyst
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

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Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-9.1%
1 month
-5.8%
3 months
-19.1%
6 months
-29.4%
YTD
-41.2%
1 year
-45.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$12.00first publication$12.60
6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.11$10.22$12.90
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.22$10.04$12.34
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.04$10.20$12.98
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.20$10.09$13.30
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.09$10.31$13.96
3 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.31$10.46$13.09
31 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.46$14.66$13.25
28 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$14.66$15.16$13.49
20 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$15.16$15.45$12.61

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value42Quality34Momentum17Total25
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
9.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.10x
EV / Revenue
140651.4x
Book value/sh
$10.94
Enterprise value
$3.4B
Profitability
ROE
-20.6%
FCF yield
-0.71%
ROIC
-45.9%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
no data
Dividend yield
0.08%
Beta
0.91

Price

-44.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about GPGI

Answered from GPGI Inc. Class A Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -21%-21%high 18%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0%0.1%high 6.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
GPGI GPGI Inc. Class A Common Stock$11.34----20.6%3425
WOR Worthington Enterprises Inc. Common Shares$63.65$4637% above19.2x16.2%6069
ESAB ESAB Corporation Common Stock$66.95$7814% below20.8x8.7%5646
PRLB Proto Labs Inc. Common stock$85.61$36137% above67.9x4.5%5964
NDA.DE Aurubis AG€130.70€10920% above5.4x18.3%5870
RHIM.L RHI Magnesita N.V.£25.35£3834% below12.8x9.9%3858
CMC Commercial Metals Company Common Stock$62.77--11.0x14.8%6071

Sector report card

Where GPGI ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 1, 2026
    CompoSecure Opens New London Design Centre to Meet Growing International Demand for Premium Metal Cards
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 6, 2026
    Resolute Holdings Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 6, 2026
    GPGI Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
August 2026
Aug 6
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-06
View on SEC →
Aug 6
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
June 2026
Jun 15
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-06-11
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR