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ACCE-researched

General Dynamics Corporation Common Stock (GD) fair value

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · NYSE · United States
$349.36-0.41%
Market cap $94.5BNext earnings 2026-10-30Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 34% above our fair value
Price
$349.36
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$260
Model range
$181 to $398
Fair value $260
Price $349
4 models fit General Dynamics Corporation Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Silver69
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionGeneral Dynamics Corporation Common Stock (GD)
Fair value (4 models)
$260
ACCE price target
$341
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 17:05 CEST; previously $292 since 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $360 since 18 Apr 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 17:05 CEST.
Price used: $349 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
34.2% above
-25.5% to fair value
ACCE score
61
out of 100
Analysts
58% buy
24 covering
P/E
21.3x
forward 18.8x
1-year return
+2.3%
Dividend yield
1.81%

General Dynamics Corporation Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

General Dynamics builds Gulfstream business jets, Virginia- and Columbia-class submarines and Abrams tanks, plus a large Technologies segment that supplies military IT and communications. Its moat is the switching cost of defense programs: once a platform is designed in, the Navy and Army rarely re-source it, and the company's shipyards are among the few that can build nuclear submarines. The near-term driver is the submarine backlog, where Electric Boat's production ramp is the main lever on revenue, alongside sustained demand for Gulfstream aircraft. Revenue growth of 8.1% is solid for a prime contractor, and the forward P/E of 18.5 sits below the trailing 21.0, which implies earnings are expected to rise. The offsetting risks are thin operating margins of 10.4% and execution delays on fixed-price shipbuilding contracts, so this is worth a deeper look mainly to test whether the submarine ramp is converting into margin.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    ACCE score deterioration
    Score fell 7 points in 90 days (63 to 56), driven by M-score collapse to 40. Momentum weakness warrants monitoring despite stable fundamentals.
  • moderate
    Momentum score weakness
    M-score of 40 is the only sub-60 pillar. No offsetting insider buys ($0M) to signal conviction; $3.21M in sales observed.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-10 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • The company generated 4.0 billion dollars in free cash flow over the last twelve months while shrinking share count by 1.3%.
  • GD delivered a 17.8% return on equity with a conservative 0.38 debt-to-equity ratio, showing efficient capital deployment.
Why it could disappoint
  • Consensus fair value sits 11.9% below the current share price of 331.27 dollars, with 4 of 5 models agreeing.
  • The stock's implied 5-year cash flow growth of 6.2% trails the historical 8.1% year-over-year revenue growth rate.
  • At 4.4% free cash flow yield against a 5.2% risk-free rate, the stock offers minimal equity risk premium.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 30, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where GD's valuation models land
Price
$349.36
Model fair value
$260
Model range
$181 to $398
Fair value $260
Price $349
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed58% buy · 24 covering analysts
● Strong buy 10● Buy 4● Hold 9● Sell 0● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
0 buys · 1 sell
Since Jun 10, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
1 day
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+1.5%
1 month
+1.8%
3 months
-9.7%
6 months
+11.5%
YTD
+3.8%
1 year
+2.3%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • ACCE Defense & Aerospace Index 2026: RTX, LMT, GD, NOC Analyzed
    ACCE Defense & Aerospace sits at NAV 1003.29 with RTX, LMT, GD, HII, and NOC as top holdings. Here's what the weights reveal about the sector in 2026.
    2026-09-07

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 17:05 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$344
19 Oct 2026, 17:05 CESTFair value$260$292$344
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$341$360$332
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$292$265$331
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$265$268$337
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$268$275$357
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$275$271$356
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$271$281$354
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$281$286$366
26 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$286$290$383

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth60Value62Quality60Momentum61Total61
Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.3x
Forward P/E
18.8x
PEG
1.57
P/B
3.46x
EV / Revenue
1.8x
Book value/sh
$99.30
Enterprise value
$98.1B
Profitability
ROE
17.8%
FCF yield
4.17%
ROIC
9.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.38
Dividend yield
1.81%
Beta
0.33

Member of

ACCE Defense & Aerospace

Price

-0.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about GD

Answered from General Dynamics Corporation Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 17.4x21.3xhigh 44.8x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low 18%18%high 114%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.2%1.8%high 2.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
GD General Dynamics Corporation Common Stock$349.36$26034% above21.3x17.8%6061
NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation Common Stock$552.35$41633% above17.4x26.1%6551
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. Common Stock$193.29--44.8x34.7%8858
BA.L BAE Systems£19.30£1256% above27.6x18.6%6152
SAF.PA Safran€302.00€133127% above29.2x27.5%7856
RR.L Rolls-Royce Holdings£12.60--31.0x114.5%7154
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation Common Stock$589.91$45430% above21.5x89.2%5268

Sector report card

Where GD ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 9, 2026
    General Dynamics to Webcast 2026 Third-Quarter Financial Results Conference Call
  • PR Newswire•Oct 7, 2026
    Deep Elected CEO of General Dynamics, Novakovic to Executive Chairman
  • PR Newswire•Oct 7, 2026
    General Dynamics Land Systems and Primordial Labs to Bring Natural Language Control to Ground Combat Vehicles
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 8
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-07
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 25
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-23
View on SEC →
Sep 18
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-16
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR