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GCO

Genesco Inc. Common Stock (GCO) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail · NYSE · United States
$36.99-1.07%
Market cap $400MNext earnings 2026-12-03Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 8% above our fair value
Price
$36.99
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$34.37
Model range
$23.79 to $38.38
Fair value $34.37
Price $36.99
4 models fit Genesco Inc. Common Stock and they partly agree: 3 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Silver66
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionGenesco Inc. Common Stock (GCO)
Fair value (4 models)
$34.37
ACCE price target
$32.00
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST; previously $35.37 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: $36.99 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
7.6% above
-7.1% to fair value
ACCE score
63
out of 100
Analysts
25% buy
4 covering
P/E
9.6x
forward 12.5x
1-year return
+22.6%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Genesco Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Genesco sells footwear and accessories through its Journeys, Schuh, and Johnston & Murphy banners, with Journeys being the core mall-based youth chain. The business carries a 46.6% gross margin, which is high for a footwear retailer and points to pricing power in its brand mix and limited markdown pressure. Revenue is shrinking at 3.0% and operating margin is negative at -3.1%, so the case rests on whether the cost base can be reset and sales stabilize rather than on any current earnings momentum. At 9.4 trailing and 14.6 forward earnings, the market is pricing in a recovery that the trailing numbers do not yet show. The stock is a small-cap with no index membership, so the first question for a deeper look is how much of the margin gap is cyclical versus structural.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026

Next results

Dec 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

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Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where GCO's valuation models land
Price
$36.99
Model fair value
$34.37
Model range
$23.79 to $38.38
Fair value $34.37
Price $36.99
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish25% buy · 4 covering analysts
● Strong buy 1● Buy 0● Hold 3● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-0.3%
1 month
+8.3%
3 months
+3.6%
6 months
+5.2%
YTD
+49.3%
1 year
+22.6%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$36.63
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTFair value$34.37$35.37$36.63
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$35.37$47.15$37.42
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$32.00first publication$36.16
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$47.15$42.57$36.51
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$42.57$42.14$34.54
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$42.14$42.75$32.76
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$42.75$40.92$35.12
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$40.92$42.50$33.31
9 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$42.50$43.32$35.81

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth43Value91Quality42Momentum76Total63
Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.6x
Forward P/E
12.5x
PEG
0.23
P/B
0.68x
EV / Revenue
0.4x
Book value/sh
$50.02
Enterprise value
$907M
Profitability
ROE
7.8%
FCF yield
20.69%
ROIC
1.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.92
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.81

Price

+20.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about GCO

Answered from Genesco Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 80% of peers
low 8.5x9.6xhigh 54.1x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low -6%8%high 21%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 2.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
GCO Genesco Inc. Common Stock$36.99$348% above9.6x7.8%4263
CTRN Citi Trends Inc. Common Stock$46.00$2585% above54.1x6.2%3347
CAL Caleres Inc. Common Stock$13.35--8.5x7.7%4766
FORUS.SN Forus S.ACLP 1681.90--18.2x9.2%6446
SFIX Stitch Fix Inc. Class A Common Stock$2.72----6.3%3930
JILL J. Jill Inc. Common Stock$22.85$245% below12.6x20.8%6076
SMCP.PA SMCP S.A.€4.32€1161% below13.7x1.9%5553

Sector report card

Where GCO ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 15, 2026
    Genesco Launches Wrangler Footwear Collection
  • Business Wire•Sep 3, 2026
    Peyton Manning Returns as Johnston & Murphy Brand Ambassador
  • Business Wire•Aug 27, 2026
    Genesco to Present at 2026 Goldman Sachs Global Consumer and Retail Conference
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 22
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-21
View on SEC →
Sep 10
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-08-01
View on SEC →
Sep 3
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-03
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR