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FTI
ACCE-researched

TechnipFMC plc Ordinary Share (FTI) fair value

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · NYSE · United States
$69.89+4.59%
Market cap $26.2BNext earnings 2026-10-29Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 101% above our fair value
Price
$69.89
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$34.75
Model range
$21.07 to $50.74
Fair value $34.75
Price $69.89
4 models fit TechnipFMC plc Ordinary Share and they partly agree: 2 of 4 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze42
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionTechnipFMC plc Ordinary Share (FTI)
Fair value (4 models)
$34.75
ACCE price target
$79.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST; previously $36.13 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST.
Price used: $69.89 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
101.1% above
-50.3% to fair value
ACCE score
69
out of 100
Analysts
68% buy
22 covering
P/E
24.4x
forward 21.3x
1-year return
+70.8%
Dividend yield
0.29%

TechnipFMC plc Ordinary Share in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

TechnipFMC designs and builds subsea production systems, floating facilities and surface wellhead equipment for offshore oil and gas projects, and it sells these as complete project packages rather than individual parts. Its moat sits in that integration: few rivals can deliver a full subsea field from design through installation and aftermarket service, and the multi-year contracts that follow give it a long revenue tail. Management is leaning into this with a steady flow of offshore awards and a growing share of recurring service and lifecycle revenue. Current numbers support a closer look: revenue is growing 9.0%, operating margin is 17.7%, return on equity is 35.8%, and the stock trades at 19.3 times forward earnings against 24.3 times trailing. The gap between those two multiples implies the market expects earnings to rise, and whether that happens depends on the pace of offshore project awards, which is the first thing to check in the filings.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    ACCE score deterioration
    Score fell 5 points in 90 days (77 to 72). Valuation component (V:66) is weakest; forward P/E 19.2 sits above historical norms for the sector.
  • moderate
    Earnings growth sustainability risk
    YoY earnings up 40.6% but revenue only +9.0%. Margin expansion driving earnings; reversion to historical rates would pressure growth narrative.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 12, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • The company generated $1.5B in free cash flow last 12 months and reduced share count by 4.9%, boosting per-share value.
  • FTI beat earnings expectations by 13.7% in July, and 67% of analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy.
Why it could disappoint
  • Consensus fair value is $37.20, implying 46.5% downside from the current $69.57 share price.
  • Current valuation implies only 7.1% annual cash flow growth over five years, below the 14.0% five-year historical average.
  • Year-over-year revenue growth slowed to 9.0%, and the stock trades at a 5.4% free cash flow yield despite energy sector cyclicality.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 29, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where FTI's valuation models land
Price
$69.89
Model fair value
$34.75
Model range
$21.07 to $50.74
Fair value $34.75
Price $69.89
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish68% buy · 22 covering analysts
● Strong buy 10● Buy 5● Hold 6● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+0.3%
1 month
-1.9%
3 months
-8.9%
6 months
-6.5%
YTD
+56.8%
1 year
+70.8%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTFair value$34.75$36.13$69.67
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$69.67
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.13$37.20$70.72
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$37.20$36.82$69.57
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.82$37.68$70.99
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$79.00first publication$70.82
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$37.68$38.21$70.82
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$38.21$38.88$72.02
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$38.88$39.28$76.34
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$39.28$39.87$75.58

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth76Value65Quality74Momentum61Total69
Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.4x
Forward P/E
21.3x
PEG
0.60
P/B
8.49x
EV / Revenue
2.7x
Book value/sh
$8.33
Enterprise value
$28.0B
Profitability
ROE
35.8%
FCF yield
5.52%
ROIC
14.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.60
Dividend yield
0.29%
Beta
0.83

Price

+77.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about FTI

Answered from TechnipFMC plc Ordinary Share fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 15.5x24.4xhigh 33.8x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low 11%36%high 36%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 0.3%0.3%high 3.8%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
FTI TechnipFMC plc Ordinary Share$69.89$35101% above24.4x35.8%7469
HAL Halliburton Company Common Stock$34.92$1895% above25.0x18.8%6062
TEN.MI Tenaris S.A.€25.93€1663% above16.1x11.6%7056
TS Tenaris S.A. American Depositary Shares$58.23$5213% above15.5x11.6%7055
BKR Baker Hughes Company Class A Common Stock$55.86$3083% above18.0x16.5%6042
SPM.MI Saipem SpA€4.39€415% above33.8x10.9%3853
SLB SLB Limited Common Shares$53.06$3361% above23.9x12.9%6054

Sector report card

Where FTI ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 6, 2026
    TechnipFMC Awarded Flexibles Contract by Petrobras
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 25, 2026
    Remote Operated Vehicle Market Outlook 2026-2035 - Featuring Profiles of Oceaneering International, Saab, and TechnipFMC
  • Business Wire•Sep 17, 2026
    TechnipFMC Announces Third-Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 23
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-22
View on SEC →
Sep 23
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-21
View on SEC →
Sep 23
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-21
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR