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ELAN

Elanco Animal Health Incorporated Common Stock (ELAN) fair value

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · NYSE · United States
$22.52-0.75%
Market cap $11.3BNext earnings 2026-11-06Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 32% above our fair value
Price
$22.52
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$17.00
Model range
$7.68 to $27.86
Fair value $17.00
Price $22.52
2 models fit Elanco Animal Health Incorporated Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Silver67
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionElanco Animal Health Incorporated Common Stock (ELAN)
Fair value (2 models)
$17.00
ACCE price target
$23.30
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST; previously $16.78 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: $22.52 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
32.5% above
-24.5% to fair value
ACCE score
55
out of 100
Analysts
88% buy
16 covering
1-year return
+3.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Elanco Animal Health Incorporated Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Elanco makes animal health products, including parasiticides and vaccines for companion animals and livestock, and has built a sizeable franchise around its Credelio and Seresto lines for dogs and cats. The structural case rests on recurring, consumable demand: flea, tick and heartworm treatments are bought every month, which gives the business a sticky revenue base that is less exposed to hospital capital spending. Revenue growth of 10.2% is the headline number, and the forward P/E of 17.4 sits well below where many branded pharma names trade, though the company's 8.6% operating margin and negative ROE show it has not yet converted growth into durable earnings power. The near-term question is whether margins keep expanding as the sales base scales, since a 55.4% gross margin leaves room for improvement if operating costs are controlled. At roughly $11.8B in market cap with no index membership, the name is a candidate for a deeper look at margin trajectory and pipeline execution.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Heavy short interest
    Short interest sits at 11.9% of float, a meaningful bet against the stock that could amplify volatility on any negative surprise.
  • moderate
    Thin net margin and negative ROE
    Net margin is -4.0% and ROE is -3.0% despite 10.2% revenue growth, so the top-line gains are not yet reaching shareholders as profit.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 10.2% over the past year, well above its 7.6% average pace across the last five years.
  • Trailing free cash flow reached $284M, and the stock's forward P/E of 17.4x sits below the sector median of 24.2x.
  • Analysts are overwhelmingly positive, with 88% rating it Buy or Strong Buy, and the latest quarter beat expectations by 25.9%.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin is -4.0% and return on equity is -3.0%, so the company is still losing money on what it sells.
  • The price implies cash flow growth of 8.5% a year forever, and the risk-free rate used in the valuation is 5.2%.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 6, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where ELAN's valuation models land
Price
$22.52
Model fair value
$17.00
Model range
$7.68 to $27.86
Fair value $17.00
Price $22.52
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish88% buy · 16 covering analysts
● Strong buy 10● Buy 4● Hold 2● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-4.4%
1 month
-0.2%
3 months
-9.6%
6 months
-1.0%
YTD
-0.5%
1 year
+3.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$22.70
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTFair value$17.00$16.78$22.70
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$16.78$16.30$23.54
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$23.30first publication$22.54
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$16.30$15.87$22.48
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$15.87$16.30$22.31
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$16.30$17.77$22.42
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$17.77$18.01$22.74
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$18.01$18.42$22.86
30 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$18.42$17.85$24.49

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth76Value43Quality48Momentum54Total55
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
17.5x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.71x
EV / Revenue
2.9x
Book value/sh
$13.19
Enterprise value
$14.7B
Profitability
ROE
-3.0%
FCF yield
2.52%
ROIC
-1.8%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.61
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.71

Price

+2.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about ELAN

Answered from Elanco Animal Health Incorporated Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 1.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
ELAN Elanco Animal Health Incorporated Common Stock$22.52$1732% above--3.0%4855
LAURUSLABS.NS Laurus Labs Limited₹2002.50--99.0x-8570
CIPLA.NS Cipla Limited₹1330.90--31.9x-8550
DRREDDY.NS Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited₹1239.00--31.1x8.8%6338
ZYDUSLIFE.NS Zydus Lifesciences Limited₹1135.00--25.2x-8565
MANKIND.NS Mankind Pharma Limited₹2275.60--45.0x-8553
AUROPHARMA.NS Aurobindo Pharma Limited₹1610.90--24.6x-8176

Sector report card

Where ELAN ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Sep 17, 2026
    Elanco to Participate in BofA Securities Global Healthcare Conference 2026
  • PR Newswire•Sep 15, 2026
    Expanding Tick and Itch Season Supports Momentum in Elanco Innovation, Meeting Pet Owner Demand for Health and Wellness Care
  • PR Newswire•Sep 11, 2026
    Elanco Confirms Date and Conference Call for Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results Announcement
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 19
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
Oct 6
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-02
View on SEC →
Oct 6
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-02
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR