3 models fit CareTrust REIT Inc. Common Stock and they partly agree: 2 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)
Valued as a REIT (property company): Price to FFO, Dividend discount, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionCareTrust REIT Inc. Common Stock (CTRE)
Fair value (3 models)
$20.96
ACCE price target
$37.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $27.27 since 21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 17:05 CEST.
Price used: $36.62 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
74.7% above
-42.8% to fair value
ACCE score
66
out of 100
Analysts
92% buy
13 covering
P/E
22.9x
forward 20.8x
1-year return
+4.8%
Dividend yield
4.26%
CareTrust REIT Inc. Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
Overview
ACCE thesis
CareTrust REIT owns and leases skilled nursing, senior housing and behavioral health facilities, collecting rent from operators under long-term triple-net leases that push most property costs onto the tenant. That structure explains the 96.4% gross margin and 64.9% operating margin, which are unusually high even for a REIT. Revenue growth of 43.5% is the headline, but it reflects acquisitions funded by new capital, so the durable question is whether rent coverage from operators holds up as they carry their own cost and staffing pressure. The stock trades at 22.9 times trailing earnings and 21.3 times forward, a modest premium for a sector where the market pays for predictable cash flow. With an 8.6 billion dollar market cap and a 66 out of 100 score, the name is worth a closer look at tenant coverage ratios and the pace of acquisitions before deciding whether the growth is being bought at a fair price.