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CSIQ
ACCE-researched

Canadian Solar Inc. Common Shares (ON) (CSIQ) fair value

Technology · Solar · NASDAQ · United States
$9.23+0.11%
Market cap $626MNext earnings 2026-11-12Updated Oct 16, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 46% below our fair value
Price
$9.23
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $17.01
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionCanadian Solar Inc. Common Shares (ON) (CSIQ)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$10.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST; previously $11.50 since 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $9.23 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
23
out of 100
Analysts
33% buy
12 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 21.5x
1-year return
-34.8%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Canadian Solar Inc. Common Shares (ON) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Canadian Solar makes crystalline silicon solar modules, battery energy storage systems through its e-Storage unit, and utility-scale project development, and it is one of the largest module suppliers globally by shipments. The structural case rests on its vertical integration and its storage business, which is growing faster than its module division and is less exposed to the price collapse that has hit polysilicon and modules. The near-term picture is weak: revenue is down 28.7% year on year, operating margin is -5.9%, return on equity is -6.0%, and gross margin of 17.6% leaves little cushion against continued module price pressure. The forward P/E of 21.5 is not cheap for a company with negative operating earnings, so the multiple depends on the storage ramp and a turn in module pricing that the current numbers do not yet show. The score of 30/100 and absence from any index are consistent with a name that needs evidence of margin recovery before it earns a deeper look.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 5 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • severe
    Negative free cash flow
    FCF of -$1.29B indicates the company is burning cash at an unsustainable rate, raising going-concern questions.
  • high
    Revenue collapse
    Revenue down 28.7% YoY with 5-year CAGR of -9.2%. Core business is shrinking despite quarterly bounce of 12%.
  • high
    Negative profitability across metrics
    Operating margin -5.9%, net margin -3.7%, ROE -6.0%. Company is unprofitable on all major measures.
  • high
    High leverage with deteriorating fundamentals
    Debt/Equity 1.72 combined with negative FCF and shrinking revenue limits financial flexibility.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    34.2% short interest suggests significant investor skepticism about the turnaround narrative.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 16, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-11 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analyst consensus sees 56.1% upside to $17.76, with one-third of coverage rated Buy or Strong Buy.
  • Share dilution was minimal at 0.6% last fiscal year, preserving shareholder value per share.
  • Current stock price of $11.38 trades well below analyst mean target, suggesting meaningful margin of safety.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue collapsed 28.7% year over year with negative 3.7% net margin, destroying shareholder capital.
  • Negative free cash flow of $1.3B and negative 166.7% free cash flow yield show the business burns cash faster than it generates returns.
  • Debt to equity of 1.72 leaves minimal cushion if margins compress further in a capital-intensive, oversupplied market.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 12, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where CSIQ's valuation models land
Price
$9.23
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $17.01
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
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Quality

INVESTOR
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  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish33% buy · 12 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 1● Hold 6● Sell 1● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

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Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-5.9%
1 month
-18.6%
3 months
-30.9%
6 months
-34.6%
YTD
-61.2%
1 year
-34.8%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price target$10.00$11.50$9.81
3 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$11.50first publication$11.19

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth43Value11Quality21Momentum17Total23
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
21.5x
PEG
0.16
P/B
0.28x
EV / Revenue
1.5x
Book value/sh
$40.58
Enterprise value
$7.3B
Profitability
ROE
-6.0%
FCF yield
-262.65%
ROIC
-0.8%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
2.73
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.53

Price

-38.5% · 1Y

Ask anything about CSIQ

Answered from Canadian Solar Inc. Common Shares (ON) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 40.7x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -366%-6%high 5%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 18.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
CSIQ Canadian Solar Inc. Common Shares (ON)$9.23----6.0%2123
ARRY Array Technologies Inc. Common Stock$3.30----26.0%3431
JKS JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited American Depositary Shares (each representing 4 Common Shares)$8.14----19.2%1314
SHLS Shoals Technologies Group Inc. Class A Common Stock$7.73$79% above40.7x5.3%6050
SOL.MC Soltec Power Holdings, S.A.€0.49----366.2%2720
RUN Sunrun Inc. Common Stock$7.70--5.2x-19.9%3447
S92.DE SMA Solar Technology AG€50.10----13.9%3640

Sector report card

Where CSIQ ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 6, 2026
    e‑STORAGE to Supply and Commission 100 MW/200 MWh Battery Storage System for OX2 in New South Wales
  • PR Newswire•Sep 23, 2026
    Recurrent Energy Achieves ISO 14001 Certification for Operations and Maintenance Services
  • Business Wire•Sep 16, 2026
    First Solar Recalibrates TOPCon IP Enforcement Strategy Following Section 232 Action
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 14
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-12
View on SEC →
Oct 14
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-12
View on SEC →
Oct 14
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-12
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR