The Vita Coco Company Inc. Common Stock (COCO) fair value
Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · NASDAQ · United States
$56.53-4.19%
Market cap $3.2BNext earnings 2026-10-22Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 106% above our fair value
Price
$56.53
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$27.39
Model range
$18.40 to $38.38
Fair value $27.39
Price $56.53
3 models fit The Vita Coco Company Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver69
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionThe Vita Coco Company Inc. Common Stock (COCO)
Fair value (3 models)
$27.39
ACCE price target
$60.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST; previously $28.65 since 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST; previously $54.00 since 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $56.53 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
106.4% above
-51.5% to fair value
ACCE score
75
out of 100
Analysts
75% buy
12 covering
P/E
28.6x
forward 25.0x
1-year return
+38.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%
The Vita Coco Company Inc. Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
The Vita Coco Company sells packaged coconut water, principally its Vita Coco branded coconut water in cartons and bottles, along with coconut-based and flavoured beverages, mostly through grocery, mass and club channels in the US and abroad. Its moat rests on brand recognition in a category it helped define, plus a scale position in sourcing and co-packing that smaller rivals struggle to match. The near-term driver is continued volume and distribution gains in international markets and newer product lines, and the company is still compounding revenue at 28.1% with a 41.1% gross margin and 29.2% operating margin. At 31.9x trailing and 28.8x forward earnings, with an ROE of 31.4%, the valuation is demanding for a consumer staples name, so the question for a deeper look is whether that growth is durable beyond a single hot category cycle.