CMCSA

ACCE-researched
Comcast Corporation Class A Common Stock
Communication Services · Telecom Services · NASDAQ · United States
$22.93+0.84%
Market cap $80.7BNext earnings 2026-10-22Updated Sep 20, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$22.93+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 4 of 6 models
Now $22.93
$22.93
$20.57$97.82
Strong BuyBronze54
Price vs fair value
46.9% below
+88.3% to fair value
ACCE score
48
out of 100
Analysts
27% buy
26 covering
P/E
7.3x
forward 6.0x
1-year return
-22.6%
Dividend yield
5.76%
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Overview

ACCE thesis

Comcast bundles broadband infrastructure, NBC/Telemundo broadcast networks, Peacock streaming, and Universal theme parks into a cash-generating conglomerate that still controls the last-mile connection for roughly 32 million residential internet subscribers. The broadband moat is real - switching costs are high and overbuilder competition, while real in select markets, hasn't materially dented ARPU, which continues to drift upward as customers trade into higher-speed tiers. Peacock crossed 36 million paid subscribers and is inflecting toward profitability after years of drag, removing the single biggest overhang on segment-level margins. The stock trades at 4.9x trailing earnings and under 7x forward - a multiple more consistent with a melting cable box than a company generating $15B+ in annual operating cash flow, which management has been returning aggressively through buybacks that have reduced share count by double digits over the past five years. The cord-cutting narrative is priced in and then some; the question is whether broadband pricing power and theme park momentum - Orlando attendance records in 2023, Epic Universe opening in 2025 - are enough to re-rate a name the market has effectively written off.

Written May 19, 2026
Investor warnings · 4 flags
  • high
    Earnings collapse severe
    Earnings YoY down 66.8% is a dramatic deterioration, far exceeding any revenue decline of -1.2%, signaling significant one-time charges or structural margin erosion.
  • high
    Debt load elevated
    Debt/Equity of 100.47 is extremely high; while FCF of $12.7B provides coverage, rising rates and cord-cutting pressure amplify refinancing risk.
  • moderate
    Revenue growth stagnant
    5-year revenue CAGR of just 0.6% and current YoY decline of -1.2% indicate Comcast is effectively a no-growth business facing secular headwinds.
  • moderate
    ACCE score deteriorating
    Score dropped 6 points in 90 days (55→49), with Momentum at just 23/100, reflecting weakening price trend and negative near-term sentiment.
Reports in 30 days, last quarter beat by 0.1%.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Price

-22.3% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

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Quality

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The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

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  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish27% buy · 26 covering analysts
Strong buy 6 Buy 1 Hold 16 Sell 1 Strong sell 2
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 7.3x7.3xhigh 38.1x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low 11%11%high 21%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 1.3%5.8%high 5.8%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
9434.TSoftBank$75.5B22.016.7%159.993.5%-Compare
9433.TKDDI$71.9B16.714.6%93.802.8%-Compare
9432.TNippon Telegraph and Telephone$91.5B14.110.7%168.403.0%-Compare
Z74.SISingtel$55.2B12.720.5%40.673.1%-Compare
BHARTIARTL.NSBharti Airtel$118.9B38.120.2%100.421.3%-Compare
ORA.PAOrange$45.9B10.214.2%0.294.7%-Compare

Sector report card

Where CMCSA ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 30 days, last quarter beat by 0.1%.

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Recent performance

1 week
-7.8%
1 month
-14.6%
3 months
+0.6%
6 months
-20.2%
YTD
-18.1%
1 year
-22.6%

SEC filings

40 filings
September 2026
Sep 3
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-01
Sep 3
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-01
August 2026
Aug 18
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-17
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR

Recent ACCE blog coverage