CMCSA
ACCE-researchedOverview
ACCE thesis
Comcast bundles broadband infrastructure, NBC/Telemundo broadcast networks, Peacock streaming, and Universal theme parks into a cash-generating conglomerate that still controls the last-mile connection for roughly 32 million residential internet subscribers. The broadband moat is real - switching costs are high and overbuilder competition, while real in select markets, hasn't materially dented ARPU, which continues to drift upward as customers trade into higher-speed tiers. Peacock crossed 36 million paid subscribers and is inflecting toward profitability after years of drag, removing the single biggest overhang on segment-level margins. The stock trades at 4.9x trailing earnings and under 7x forward - a multiple more consistent with a melting cable box than a company generating $15B+ in annual operating cash flow, which management has been returning aggressively through buybacks that have reduced share count by double digits over the past five years. The cord-cutting narrative is priced in and then some; the question is whether broadband pricing power and theme park momentum - Orlando attendance records in 2023, Epic Universe opening in 2025 - are enough to re-rate a name the market has effectively written off.
- highEarnings collapse severeEarnings YoY down 66.8% is a dramatic deterioration, far exceeding any revenue decline of -1.2%, signaling significant one-time charges or structural margin erosion.
- highDebt load elevatedDebt/Equity of 100.47 is extremely high; while FCF of $12.7B provides coverage, rising rates and cord-cutting pressure amplify refinancing risk.
- moderateRevenue growth stagnant5-year revenue CAGR of just 0.6% and current YoY decline of -1.2% indicate Comcast is effectively a no-growth business facing secular headwinds.
- moderateACCE score deterioratingScore dropped 6 points in 90 days (55→49), with Momentum at just 23/100, reflecting weakening price trend and negative near-term sentiment.
Walk me through this stock
Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.
Price
Valuation
INVESTORSix independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.
- +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
- +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
- +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios
Quality
INVESTORThe full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.
- +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
- +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
- +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests
Analysts
Wall Street consensus
The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.
- +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
- +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
- +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street
Smart Money
PROFollow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.
- +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
- +Recent open-market insider transactions
- +Active 13D activist filings and top holders
Compare
Where it sits vs peers
Algorithmic peers (6)
| Ticker | Company | Mcap | P/E | ROE | D/E | Yield | Quality | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9434.T | SoftBank | $75.5B | 22.0 | 16.7% | 159.99 | 3.5% | - | Compare |
| 9433.T | KDDI | $71.9B | 16.7 | 14.6% | 93.80 | 2.8% | - | Compare |
| 9432.T | Nippon Telegraph and Telephone | $91.5B | 14.1 | 10.7% | 168.40 | 3.0% | - | Compare |
| Z74.SI | Singtel | $55.2B | 12.7 | 20.5% | 40.67 | 3.1% | - | Compare |
| BHARTIARTL.NS | Bharti Airtel | $118.9B | 38.1 | 20.2% | 100.42 | 1.3% | - | Compare |
| ORA.PA | Orange | $45.9B | 10.2 | 14.2% | 0.29 | 4.7% | - | Compare |
Sector report card
Where CMCSA ranks against its sector peers on each metric.
News and Record
Press releases mentioning this company
- Business Wire•Sep 17, 2026FreeWheel Brings Attention, Quality and Emotional Resonance Signals into CTV Buying
- Business Wire•Sep 15, 2026Comcast to Host Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call
- Business Wire•Sep 15, 2026Xfinity and Comcast Business Services Now Available in Beaufort and Edisto, South Carolina
Ask anything, Pro feature
Ask questions about this stock in plain language. Answered from company fundamentals + recent valuations.
Recent performance
SEC filings
Recent ACCE blog coverage
- TTD, CMCSA, NFLX, BABA, ORCL: Open Picks Scorecard 2026TTD is down 74.6% over one year and logged a confirmed loss. Here's how every open ACCE pick, CMCSA, NFLX, BABA, ORCL, BSX and more, stands today.2026-08-24
- $CMCSA ACCE Score Jumps 13 Points to 68 - What Drove ItComcast's ACCE composite score moved from 55 to 68. Here's what likely drove the +13-point shift and what the data says now.2026-06-25