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CECO

CECO Environmental Corp. Common Stock (CECO) fair value

Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls · NASDAQ · United States
$49.08-4.72%
Market cap $2.9BNext earnings 2026-10-27Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 9% above our fair value
Price
$49.08
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$44.91
Model range
$27.25 to $53.75
Fair value $44.91
Price $49.08
2 models fit CECO Environmental Corp. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Bronze40
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionCECO Environmental Corp. Common Stock (CECO)
Fair value (2 models)
$44.91
ACCE price target
$48.00
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CEST; previously $40.78 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 24 Oct 2026, 03:20 CEST; previously $70.00 since 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $49.08 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
9.3% above
-8.5% to fair value
ACCE score
41
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
7 covering
1-year return
-3.5%
Dividend yield
0.00%

CECO Environmental Corp. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

CECO Environmental makes industrial air and fluid handling equipment, including filtration, separation, and emissions control systems sold to refineries, petrochemical plants, and power generators, and it also runs the aftermarket parts and services that come with that installed base. Its edge is in engineered filtration and emissions technology for regulated industrial customers, where specification-driven projects and replacement cycles are sticky and hard for new entrants to win. Revenue growth of 53.7% points to a large step up in project volume, most likely from acquisitions and a backlog of new orders, but the 4.9% operating margin and a negative 2.4% ROE show that the expansion has not yet translated into profit. The forward P/E of 26.2 means the market is already paying for earnings recovery, so the thesis depends on margins widening as the larger revenue base absorbs fixed costs. At a 3.3 billion dollar market cap with a score of 47/100 and no index membership, this is a name that needs a closer look at backlog quality, integration of recent acquisitions, and whether operating margin can move meaningfully above 5%.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Free cash flow negative
    FCF was $-5,482,000 despite revenue up 53.7% YoY. Growth is not converting to cash, and earnings fell 41.5% in the same period.
  • moderate
    Earnings falling with revenue
    Revenue grew 53.7% YoY while earnings fell 41.5%, and net margin is -3.4%. Profitability has not kept pace with the top line.
  • moderate
    Insider selling outweighs buying
    Last 10 disclosed insider transactions show $20.88M of sales against $1.10M of buys. Heavy net selling is worth noting.
  • moderate
    Score down sharply in 90 days
    ACCE score fell 10 points, from 53 to 43, over the last 90 days. Value (25) and quality (44) are the weakest components.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 53.7% year over year, well ahead of its 19.6% average annual pace over five years.
  • The company beat earnings expectations by 95.8% in its latest quarter, reporting $0.47 per share against $0.24 expected.
Why it could disappoint
  • The company lost money, with a net margin of -3.4% and free cash flow of -$5M over the last twelve months.
  • The share price implies yearly cash flow growth of +9.5% forever, a demanding assumption for a company with negative free cash flow.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 27, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where CECO's valuation models land
Price
$49.08
Model fair value
$44.91
Model range
$27.25 to $53.75
Fair value $44.91
Price $49.08
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 7 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 2● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
2 buys · 0 sells
Since Jun 30, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
9 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-13.5%
1 month
-34.6%
3 months
-35.1%
6 months
-24.4%
YTD
-18.0%
1 year
-3.5%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 03:20 CESTACCE price target$48.00$70.00$49.08
20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$57.49
20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CESTFair value$44.91$40.78$57.49
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$40.78$31.29$62.39
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$70.00first publication$65.82
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$31.29$30.96$74.96
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$30.96$31.35$73.66
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$31.35$31.80$73.50
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$31.80$30.48$70.83
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$30.48$31.36$70.67

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value25Quality44Momentum32Total41
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
15.5x
PEG
no data
P/B
2.00x
EV / Revenue
5.4x
Book value/sh
$35.52
Enterprise value
$5.1B
Profitability
ROE
-2.4%
FCF yield
-0.18%
ROIC
12.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.08
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.50

Price

-5.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about CECO

Answered from CECO Environmental Corp. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -2%-2%high 22%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 5.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
CECO CECO Environmental Corp. Common Stock$49.08$459% above--2.4%4441
6368.T Organo Corporation¥2309.00--19.4x21.6%8055
MTRS.ST Munters Group AB (publ)kr 126.35kr 9041% above48.7x9.9%4649
6370.T Kurita Water Industries Ltd.¥7055.00--16.9x13.5%6164
7004.T Kanadevia Corporation¥1046.00--11.8x7.8%4356
GVS.MI GVS S.p.A.€5.26--23.9x9.3%6764
ZWS Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation Common Stock$48.66$22119% above30.2x16.9%7965

Sector report card

Where CECO ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 2, 2026
    CECO Environmental to Transfer U.S. Stock Exchange Listing to the Texas Stock Exchange
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 24, 2026
    CECO Environmental Announces Upcoming Investor Conferences
  • GlobeNewswire•Jun 1, 2026
    CECO Environmental Completes Acquisition of Thermon Group Holdings
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 5
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-02
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 18
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-15
View on SEC →
Aug 10
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-10
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR