AACCE Investments
ScreenerStocksIndicesPicksETFsBlogPricing

© 2026 ACCE Investments. All rights reserved.

ACCE Investments - Institutional-grade stock research for retail investors | BetaList
IndicesStocksETFsScreenerBlogGlossaryCompareMarket dataAdvisors
TermsPrivacyCookiesDisclaimerLegal noticeProfessional termsAboutContact
BTSG

BrightSpring Health Services Inc. Common Stock (BTSG) fair value

Healthcare · Health Information Services · NASDAQ · United States
$60.11-1.23%
Market cap $11.9BNext earnings 2026-10-30Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 70% above our fair value
Price
$60.11
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$35.42
Model range
$26.24 to $44.61
Fair value $35.42
Price $60.11
2 models fit BrightSpring Health Services Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze55
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionBrightSpring Health Services Inc. Common Stock (BTSG)
Fair value (2 models)
$35.42
ACCE price target
$60.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST; previously $38.02 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
Price used: $60.11 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
69.7% above
-41.1% to fair value
ACCE score
69
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
18 covering
P/E
53.2x
forward 26.4x
1-year return
+79.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%

BrightSpring Health Services Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

BrightSpring runs a home and community-based pharmacy and provider network, delivering specialty pharmacy, infusion, home health and hospice services to Medicaid and Medicare patients, mostly with complex or chronic conditions. Its scale in this niche is the core of the case: revenue is growing 23.0% year on year while a 12.4% gross margin and 3.4% operating margin reflect a thin-margin distribution model where volume and payer mix matter more than pricing power. The shares trade at 53.9 times trailing earnings but 22.2 times forward, so the market is pricing in a substantial earnings ramp from the current base. A 13.0% return on equity and a 69/100 score put it in the group that merits a closer look at margin trajectory and reimbursement exposure before any conviction is formed.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Heavy insider selling
    Insiders sold $818.04M across the last 10 disclosed transactions and bought $0.00M, a one-directional pattern worth weighing against the stock's run.
  • moderate
    Leveraged balance sheet
    Debt/Equity of 1.44 is elevated, and the stock trades 69.7% above the model fair value of $35.42, leaving little valuation cushion if earnings slow.
  • moderate
    Thin operating margin
    Operating margin is 3.4% and net margin 2.5% on a 23.0% revenue rise, so most of the top-line growth is not yet reaching profit.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 19, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 23.0% year over year, ahead of its 18.3% average annual pace over the past five years.
  • Trailing free cash flow of $395M and a 13.0% return on equity show the business generates real cash and returns on shareholder capital.
Why it could disappoint
  • At $60.11, the shares trade 69.7% above the model fair value of $35.42, which the consensus of two models supports.
  • A trailing P/E of 53.9x and a 3.4% return on invested capital leave little room for error if growth slows.
  • Diluted share count rose 13.9% last fiscal year, and debt to equity of 1.44 adds balance sheet risk on top of thin net margins.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 30, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where BTSG's valuation models land
Price
$60.11
Model fair value
$35.42
Model range
$26.24 to $44.61
Fair value $35.42
Price $60.11
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.

See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 18 covering analysts
● Strong buy 15● Buy 3● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-1.2%
1 month
+7.8%
3 months
-17.6%
6 months
+24.8%
YTD
+60.5%
1 year
+79.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$62.42
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$35.42$38.02$62.42
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$38.02$39.15$63.35
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$39.15$26.95$63.74
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$60.00first publication$63.66
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$26.95$27.60$56.59
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$27.60$27.91$56.78
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$27.91$28.25$58.73
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.25$28.86$57.88
6 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.86$28.52$60.73

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

Get the full BTSG page, free

Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the full page.

Snapshot

Growth88Value46Quality44Momentum97Total69
Valuation
Trailing P/E
53.2x
Forward P/E
26.4x
PEG
0.27
P/B
5.39x
EV / Revenue
0.9x
Book value/sh
$9.94
Enterprise value
$12.9B
Profitability
ROE
13.0%
FCF yield
3.28%
ROIC
3.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.44
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.88

Price

+79.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about BTSG

Answered from BrightSpring Health Services Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 20% of peers
low 28.2x53.2xhigh 76.3x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low -67%13%high 75%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 1.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
BTSG BrightSpring Health Services Inc. Common Stock$60.11$3570% above53.2x13.0%4469
TEM Tempus AI Inc. Class A Common Stock$63.81----67.4%3341
PME.AX Pro Medicus LimitedA$193.42--76.3x75.0%10066
HNGE Hinge Health Inc. Class A Common Stock$109.93$16333% below36.8x30.4%9370
HQY HealthEquity Inc. Common Stock$100.97$8519% above37.5x11.4%7866
2413.T M3, Inc.¥1934.50--28.2x12.0%7456
DOCS Doximity Inc. Class A Common Stock$33.68$2917% above39.3x17.2%8657

Sector report card

Where BTSG ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 1, 2026
    BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on October 30, 2026
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 8, 2026
    BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. to Announce Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on July 31, 2026
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 16
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-14
View on SEC →
July 2026
Jul 31
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-07-31
View on SEC →
Jul 31
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR